A middle Miocene post‐rift stress regime revealed by dikes and mesoscale faults in the Kakunodate area,NE Japan

Significant advances were made in the last century in the investigations of the Neogene stress history of the NE Japan arc. However, previous studies have failed to fully resolve middle Miocene post‐rift stress conditions owing to their assumption of Andersonian faulting and an inability to determine maximum and intermediate stress axes from dike orientations. We applied the latest methods of paleostress analysis in this study to igneous dikes and mesoscale faults in the Kakunodate area of the NE Japan arc to elucidate post‐rift stress conditions. Stratigraphic constraints and U–Pb dating indicate that the doleritic and dacitic dikes were formed at 16–12 Ma and 15–12 Ma, respectively. Dolerite and dacite dikes yielded NW–SE extensional stresses with intermediate and low stress ratios, respectively. Mesoscale faults in the middle Miocene formations of the studied area indicated similar stresses. We suggest the sluggish deformations resulting in the dike intrusion and faulting in the normal‐faulting stress regime after the termination of intra‐arc rifting at ca. 15 Ma.     

Spatial distribution of the apatite fission‐track ages in the Toki granite,central Japan: Exhumation rate of a Cretaceous pluton emplaced in the East Asian continental margin

The Cretaceous Toki granitic pluton of the Tono district, central Japan was emplaced in the East Asian continental margin at about 70 Ma. The Toki granite has apatite fission‐track (AFT) ages ranging from 52.1 ±2.8 Ma to 37.1 ±3.6 Ma (number of measurements, n = 33); this indicates the three‐dimensional thermal evolution during the pluton's low‐temperature history (temperature in the AFT partial annealing zone: 60–120 °C). The majority of the Toki granite has a spatial distribution of older ages in the shallower parts and younger ages in the deeper parts, representing that the shallower regions arrived (were exhumed) at the AFT closure depth earlier than the deeper regions. Such a cooling pattern was predominantly constrained by the exhumation of the Toki granitic pluton and was related to the regional denudation of the Tono district. The age–elevation relationships (AERs) of the Toki granite indicate a fast exhumation rate of about 0.16 ±0.04 mm/year between 50 Ma and 40 Ma. The AFT inverse calculation using HeFTy program gives time‐temperature paths (t–T paths), suggesting that the pluton experienced continuous slow cooling without massive reheating since about 40 Ma until the present day. A combination of the AERs and AFT inverse calculations represents the following exhumation history of the Toki granite: (i) the fast exhumation at a rate of 0.16 ±0.04 mm/year between 50 Ma and 40 Ma; (ii) slow exhumation at less than 0.16 ±0.04 mm/year after 40 Ma; and (iii) exposure at the surface prior to 30–20 Ma. The Tono district, which contains the Toki granite, underwent slow denudation at a rate of less than 0.16 ±0.04 mm/year within the East Asian continental margin before the Japan Sea opening at 25–15 Ma and then within the Southwest Japan Arc after the Japan Sea opening, which is in good agreement with representative denudation rates obtained in low‐relief hill and plain fields.     

两种边界层参数化方案模拟热带气旋Megi(2010)路径差异的机理分析

本文利用中尺度数值模式WRF,分别采用YSU和MYJ两种边界层参数化方案对2010年超强台风Megi的移动路径进行了模拟,研究了热带气旋(TC)路径模拟对边界层方案的敏感性,并从模拟TC尺度差异所造成的影响角度揭示了模式边界层方案影响TC路径的机理.结果表明:由于两种方案对边界层垂直混合作用过程的描述不同,两个试验模拟的低层水汽垂直输送存在差异.相对于能很好模拟出Megi路径的MYJ方案,YSU方案模拟的TC外围螺旋雨带更活跃,造成TC尺度增大,引起TC中心北侧外围气压梯度和径向风速增加,使得由副高向TC中心输送更多的质量,造成副高异常减弱,从而导致由副高主导的引导气流发生改变,最终使得采用YSU方案模拟的Megi路径出现提前转向.     

基于飞机真实轨迹的一次层状云催化的增雨效果及其作用机制的模拟研究

层状云降水效率通常较低,但却具有较高的云水资源开发潜力,是人工增雨作业的重要对象.随着中国南方地区生态改善、水库增蓄、抗旱等社会需求的增加,针对这些地区降水云系的人工增雨研究显得愈发重要.使用三维中尺度冷云催化模式,对2018年10月21日湖北省一次层状云飞机人工增雨作业过程进行了数值模拟研究,并将模拟结果与卫星、降水...     

近60年永兴岛热带气旋降水的气候特征分析

对1958-2019年期间,进入永兴岛及附近区域(11.5°～21.5°N,101.2°～117.5°E)范围内的热带气旋(Tropical Cyclone,TC)的气候特征进行分析,结果表明:①永兴岛平均每年受9.4个TC影响,TC有显著的下降趋势,以0.68个/10a逐渐减少,趋势系数为-0.406;②永兴岛TC路...     

WRF模式空间分辨率对南海台风模拟的敏感性分析

为准确模拟南中国海台风路径和强度,对建立的WRF模式开展水平和垂向网格分辨率的敏感性分析。水平网格分辨率分别采用5 km,10 km,20 km,30 km以及15 km和5 km的嵌套方案等5种情况,垂向网格分辨率采用35层、28层和20层等3种情况,顶部最大压强采用1000 Pa,2000 Pa,3500 Pa和5000 Pa等4种情况,针对台风"启德"的路径和强度进行模拟分析。对不同条件组合下的台风路径、风速和海面压强进行对比,发现水平和垂向网格分辨率对台风路径的影响比较有限,对台风强度的影响相对显著。基于高精度空间分辨率模拟得到的台风强度与实测值吻合更好,采用嵌套网格技术对计算结果精度的提高效果显著。采用35层的垂向分辨率得到的模拟结果明显优于基于20层和28层得到的模拟结果。经过对比分析,确定适用于本研究的最优参数设置：水平空间分辨率采用15 km和5 km的双向嵌套网格方案;垂向分层为35层,顶部最大压强为2000 Pa。     

道路信息提取方法综述

道路信息提取旨在使用相关数据和方法提取一条道路上的信息,如车道数量、中心线和边界线等。道路信息提取在交通规划和车辆导航等方面具有重要的应用价值。随着各种传感器设备的广泛应用,交通数据爆炸式增长,道路信息提取的方法也日新月异。本文结合近年来道路信息提取的研究进展,将道路信息提取方法按照数据来源分为基于影像视频数据、基于高密度点云数据和基于浮动车轨迹数据3类,并分别深入论述了这3类方法的主要实现算法,对这些算法模型进行了对比分析,最后探讨了现有道路信息提取方法在未来的研究趋势和面临的挑战。     

基于双注意力机制的台风轨迹预测模型

台风轨迹的准确预测对于减少台风灾害及风险评估意义重大。本文提出了一种基于双注意力机制的台风轨迹预测模型(Dual-Attention-Encoder-Decoder),首先根据台风轨迹数据计算台风轨迹的变化曲率,将台风曲率序列与台风轨迹序列一同作为预测模型的特征输入,充分考虑了台风轨迹中隐藏的转向、偏折信息;然后构建双注意力机制增强的编码器-解码器网络(Encoder-Decoder)作为预测模型,利用特征注意力机制和时间注意力机制分别对模型输入和隐藏状态进行权重分配,能够学习输入特征和预测目标之间的关系,并且有效解决编码器-解码器结构对过长序列预测的性能下降问题,编码器和解码器均采用LSTM网络,能够存储长时间依赖并且收敛性好,不易发生梯度消失或爆炸;最后,本文使用1949—2017年中国气象局提供的西北太平洋台风最佳路径数据集,将DA-Encoder-Decoder模型与BP、SVR、LSTM、ELM等模型进行对比,分别对24 h、48 h、72 h台风轨迹进行预测。结果表明:DA-Encoder-Decoder模型的均方根误差和实际误差距离指标均优于其他四种预测方法,验证了本文方法的有效性。     

IMPROVED SCHEME OF AXISYMMETRIC TYPHOON BOGUS MODEL AND ITS IMPACT ON NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF TYPHOON NOCKTEN （NO.0405）

There is distinct difference in the tangential wind profile between different typhoons in the western North Pacific. At present, only two parameters, maximum wind and radius of maximum wind, are used in NCAR-AFWA bogus for MM5 mesoscale numerical model. As a result, sometimes the outer structure of typhoon cannot be described accurately. The tangential wind profile of NCAR-AFWA bogus is improved by introducing radii of 25.7 m/s and 15.4 m/s, and then the track and intensity of Typhoon Nockten (No.0425) are simulated. The results show that the simulations of track and intensity of typhoon both have been improved by simultaneously introducing the radii in the tangential wind profile of typhoon bogus. At the same time, there is improvement in the gale wind range of the typhoon simulated.     

ANALYSIS OF TYPHOON MATSA （NO.0509） AFFECTING SHANDONG PROVINCE

The characteristics of the moving course of Typhoon Matsa (No.0509), associated heavy rain and physical quantities fields have been analyzed, with the focus on the reason of the typhoon’s abrupt northeastward turn in Anhui Province and heavy rain concentrating in the northeast of typhoon center instead of near it. Meaningful conclusions are as follows. The reasons for typhoon abrupt turning are that the subtropical high pressure was moving southward and divergence fields of 200 hPa were to the right of the typhoon center; there was no obvious cold air invading Shandong after the typhoon entered the westerly belt; the southeasterly jet of typhoon and shear brought heavy rainfall to the Shandong peninsula before the typhoon entered Shandong. But after the typhoon’s movement into Shandong, the typhoon’s inverted trough brought the rainfall to the northern and central Shandong.