江苏东海预先导孔（CCSD-PP2）岩心样中磷灰石裂变径迹年龄测定

对中国大陆科学钻探预先导孔(CCSD-PP2)的11个钻孔岩心样进行了裂变径迹年龄测定，其中lO个样品的结果为79.6～52．0Ma。经数学处理后，初步可以看出裂变径迹年龄随深度的变化趋势，并在此基础上，对隆升速度和古地温梯度进行了初步讨论，推算该地块在80．4～52．0Ma以前的隆升速度约为35．0m／Ma，当时的古地温梯度约为35．6℃／km。     

k-nn方法在热带气旋路径预报中的应用

引入k-nn方法，结合经过预报实践检验、应用证明效果较好的预报因子，制作热带气旋路径预报系统，运行效果良好，可以应用到日常预报业务中。     

THE STRUCTURE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE BY TOVS AND ITS APPLICATION IN NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION

The TOVS data are used to study the structure of a number of tropical cyclones for the year 2000. Differences are found to some extent between what is found and classic conceptual models in that (1) the horizontal structure is asymmetric and variable so that the low-value centers at low levels of the geopotential height field (or the high-value centers at high levels) do not necessarily coincide with the high-value centers of the temperature field; (2) the vertical structure is also variable in the allocation of the anomalies of the geopotential height field between low values at low levels and high values at high levels. It is especially noted that the centers of the anomalies are tilting at both high and low levels or the high level is only at the edge of a high-pressure zone. There is not any significant high-value anomalous center in a corresponding location with the tropical cyclone. The structure of tropical cyclone in the TOVS is also used as reference to modify the structure of typhoon BOGUS in the numerical prediction model system of tropical cyclones. It is found that the modified BOGUS performs better in coordinating with the environment and predicting the track of the tropical cyclone. The demonstration is two-fold — the structure of the typhoon BOGUS is such that it means much in the track prediction and the use of the TOVS-based tropical cyclone structure really helps in improving it. It provides the foundation for modification and evolution of typhoon BOGUS.     

The thermal history of the eastern Officer Basin (South Australia): evidence from apatite fission track analysis and organic maturity data

The eastern Officer Basin in South Australia contains a Neoproterozoic to Devonian succession overlain by relatively thin (<500 m) Permian, Mesozoic and Tertiary deposits. Within the basin fill, there are several major unconformities representing uncertain amounts of erosion. Three of these surfaces are associated with regional deformational events. Regional unconformities formed between 560 and 540 Ma (Petermann Ranges Orogeny), approximately 510–490 Ma (Delamerian Orogeny), 370–300 Ma (Alice Springs Orogeny), 260–150 Ma; and 95–40 Ma. AFTA® results from 13 samples of Neoproterozoic, Cambrian and Permian sedimentary rocks in five wells (Giles-1, Manya-2, -5 and -6 and Lake Maurice West-1) show clear evidence for a number of distinct thermal episodes. Results from all samples are consistent with cooling from the most recent thermal episode beginning at some time between 70 and 20 Ma (Maastrichtian–Miocene). AFTA results from Giles-1 indicate at least two pre-Cretaceous thermal episodes with cooling beginning between 350 and 250 Ma (Carboniferous–Permian) and between 210 and 110 Ma (Late Triassic–Albian). Results from Manya-2, -5 and -6 and Lake Maurice West-1 show evidence for at least one earlier higher temperature event, with cooling from elevated paleotemperatures beginning between 270 and 200 Ma (Late Permian to Late Triassic). These episodes can be correlated with other cooling/erosional events outside the study area, and the AFTA-derived paleotemperatures are consistent with kilometre-scale erosion for each of the episodes identified. Integration of the AFTA data with organic thermal maturation indicators (MPI) in the Manya and Giles-1 wells suggests that the Cambrian and Neoproterozoic successions in the northern part of the study area reached peak maturation prior to the Permian, while limited data from Lake Maurice West-1 allows peak maturation to have occurred as young as the Late Permian to Late Triassic thermal episode revealed by AFTA. The approach outlined in this study is relevant to all ancient basins as it emphasises the importance of understanding events associated with neighbouring regions. The thermal history of the Officer Basin, as with most other ancient basins, has been strongly affected by significant tectonic events throughout its history, even though younger deposits are not preserved in the basin itself. The recognition of these younger events, and the implications of these events for the depositional history, is important as it allows identification of the best regions for preservation of early generated hydrocarbons, and in some cases, suggests areas where generation of hydrocarbons could have occurred more recently than previously thought.     

Thermotectonic evolution of the western fold-and-thrust belt, southern Uralides, Russia, as revealed by apatite fission track data

The Uralides, a linear N–S trending Palaeozoic fold belt, reveals an intact, well-preserved orogen with a deep crustal root within a stable continental interior. In the western fold-and-thrust belt of the southern Uralides, Devonian to Carboniferous siliciclastic and carbonate rocks overlay Mesoproterozoic to Neoproterozoic sedimentary rocks. Deformation in the Devonian, Carboniferous and Permian caused thick-skinned tectonic features in the western and central parts of the western fold-and-thrust belt. A stack of several nappes characterizes the deformation in the eastern part. Along the E–W transect AC-TS'96 that crosses the western fold-and-thrust belt, apatite fission track data record various stages of the geodynamic evolution of the Uralide orogeny such as basin evolution during the Palaeozoic, synorogenic movements along major thrusts, synorogenic to postorogenic exhumation and a change in the regional stress field during the Upper Jurassic and Lower Cretaceous. The Palaeozoic sedimentary cover and the Neoproterozoic basement of the Ala-Tau anticlinorium never exceed the upper limit of the PAZ since the Devonian. A temperature gradient similar to the recent one (20 °C/km) would account for the FT data. Reactivation of the Neoproterozoic Zilmerdak thrust was time equivalent to the onset of the Devonian and Carboniferous collision-related deformation in the east. West-directed movement along the Tashli thrust occurred in the Lower Permian. The Devonian and Carboniferous exhumation path of the Neoproterozoic siliciclastic units of the Tirlyan synclinorium mirrors the onset of the Uralian orogeny, the emplacement of the Tirlyan nappe and the continuous west-directed compression. The five main tectonic segments Inzer Synclinorium, Beloretzk Terrane, Ala-Tau anticlinorium, Yamantau anticlinorium and Zilair synclinorium were exhumed one after another to a stable position in the crust between 290 and 230 Ma. Each segment has its own t–T path but the exhumation rate was nearly the same. Final denudation of the western fold-and-thrust belt and exhumation to the present surface probably began in Late Tertiary. In Jurassic and Cretaceous, south-directed movements along W–E trending normal faults indicate a change in the tectonic regime in the southern Uralides.     

影响我国北方热带气旋的若干统计特征

利用中国气象局出版的１９４９—１９９４年台风年鉴资料，在大量普查的基础上，定义进入３０°Ｎ以北、１２５°Ｅ以西热带气旋为影响我国北方的热带气旋。根据其后期移动路径的不同划分为：沿海北上、沿海转向、登陆北上、登陆填塞、登陆转向及西折６类。最后，对各类不同路径的热带气旋的气候特征及产生的暴雨区和暴雨强度做了详细的分析     

用于裂变径迹技术刻度的铀标准玻璃的研制

监测中子积分通量是裂变径迹技术的重要组成部分。铀玻璃监测中子积分通量是国际裂变径迹定年标准化工作组推荐的重要方法之一，铀玻璃测定法还普遍用于测定样品中的铀含量及其空间分布。本文介绍的铀标准玻璃，经过多家实验室定值测定，表明其稳定性、均匀性均达到国家一级标准物质的要求，抗酸性能达到Ⅰ级光学玻璃水平，抗潮性能达到Ⅱ级光学玻璃水平。其它性能指标均达到或超过美国国家标准局的同类产品。     

Thermicité et déformation de la marge continentale dans le Sud de la Tasmanie (Australie) : résultats préliminaires d'une analyse par traces de fission et d'une étude microstructuraleFission track reconnaissance of the thermal and tectonic settings of the South Tasman rise

We present and discuss a few fission track data, and microstructural observations, from rock samples dredged along the western and southwestern continental margin of Tasmania. The results allow assessing the thermal and tectonic regimes that were active prior to and during the margin creation. The different ages, as provided by fission tracks, and deformational styles, as evidenced from microstructures, are then tentatively correlated with the two main rifting episodes, in Late Jurassic–Cretaceous times and Eocene–Oligocene respectively, deduced from kinematical reconstructions, that have led to the present- day southern margin of Tasmania. To cite this article: M. Sélo et al., C. R. Geoscience 334 (2002) 59–66     

用概率圆法决策台风预报路径

在分析了国内外台风预报实际业务流程的背景下，设计了一个业务上实用的概率圆客观综合决策台风路径预报的决策模型。采用了以误差概率圆的重叠区为导向的新的客观综合决策路径预报方法，对综合利用各种路径预报方法，自动客观地决策做了新的尝试。在软件设计上解决了自动判定，抽取客观决策参考点的技术难题。检验效果证明它优于一般的回归决策水平。     

跟踪国外大地震的震情分析资料库

该项研究为应急跟踪国外灾害地震，提供基础性背景资料的一种快速反应措施，它包括资料库和检索应用软件两部分。资料部分包括以下三个方面的内容：全球灾害性地震活动区的地震地质构造背景；灾害性历史地震目录和活动性数据；各国地震管理和观测研究机构概况以及与之配套的资料检索应用软件等．