内蒙古草原生态服务演替轨迹

运用灰色系统理论及方法,基于生态学家、经济学家对内蒙古草原生态服务边际量指标体系、数理模型及相对重要性的评价和判断,创建草原生态服务边际量的数学模型系统。选取1947—2006年期间统计数据,测算过去60 a内蒙古草原生态服务的判明值,分析其基本演替轨迹。结果表明,60 a来内蒙古草原生态服务变迁过程基本遵循早期缓慢水平下降,中期快速曲线下降,后期骤然快速直线下降的演替轨迹。同时,分析了内蒙古草原生态服务“M”形波浪式下降原因的草原开垦之说。     

Impacts of Oceanic Fronts and Eddies in the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension Region on the Atmospheric General Circulation and Storm Track

This paper reviews the progress in our understanding of the atmospheric response to midlatitude oceanic fronts and eddies,emphasizing the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension(KOE)region.Oceanic perturbations of interest consist of sharp oceanic fronts,temperature anomalies associated with mesoscale eddies,and to some extent even higher-frequency submesoscale variability.The focus is on the free atmosphere above the boundary layer.As the midlatitude atmosphere is dominated by vigorous transient eddy activity in the storm track,the response of both the time-mean flow and the storm track is assessed.The storm track response arguably overwhelms the mean-flow response and makes the latter hard to detect from observations.Oceanic frontal impacts on the mesoscale structures of individual synoptic storms are discussed,followed by the role of oceanic fronts in maintaining the storm track as a whole.KOE fronts exhibit significant decadal variability and can therefore presumably modulate the storm track.Relevant studies are summarized and intercompared.Current understanding has advanced greatly but is still subject to large uncertainties arising from inadequate data resolution and other factors.Recent modeling studies highlighted the importance of mesoscale eddies and probably even submesoscale processes in maintaining the storm track but confirmation and validation are still needed.Moreover,the atmospheric response can potentially provide a feedback mechanism for the North Pacific climate.By reviewing the above aspects,we envision that future research shall focus more upon the interaction between smaller-scale oceanic processes(fronts,eddies,submesoscale features)and atmospheric processes(fronts,extratropical cyclones etc.),in an integrated way,within the context of different climate background states.     

Tracking surface cyclones with moist potential vorticity

1. Introduction There have been two di?erent approaches used fortracking extratropical cyclones. The traditional andmost common approach is to follow the minimum sur-face pressure of a cyclone (e.g., Petterssen, 1956; Car-nell and Senior, 1998; Serreze…     

裂变径迹、同位素年龄研究苏皖周边隆起构造抬升

利用裂变径迹测年、同位素测年等研究了苏皖周边的江南隆起、张八岭隆起、苏鲁隆起在不同地质年代发生的不同级别构造抬升。研究表明,这些隆起虽然出露元古代地层,然而并非持久存在的"古隆起",而是有过"隆升-夷平-沉积-再隆升"经历的古、今隆起。包括三大隆起在内的苏皖下扬子区曾大面积覆盖古生界、上白垩统、下第三系等沉积物,由于印支—早燕山运动,始新世中期的真武事件(51Ma)和渐新世(38～24Ma)沉积间断等导致了目前海相、陆相盆地的分割和残存。     

济阳坳陷新生代地温场特征研究

为了找出济阳坳陷内各凹陷成烃演化与古热场间的关系,综合应用镜质体反射率法和磷灰石裂变径迹法恢复了济阳坳陷新生代地温演化历史,结果表明济阳坳陷古地温梯度在新生代是逐渐降低的,其中古近纪比新近纪下降的幅度大;同时济阳坳陷内各凹陷的古地温梯度演化也存在差异,特别是古近纪末期的东营构造运动后,各凹陷的地温梯度演化差异更加明显;根据各凹陷的古热场恢复,新近纪以来东营凹陷的古地温最高,其次是沾化凹陷、惠民凹陷和车镇凹陷;烃源岩的生烃演化历史与其经历的古热场密切相关,古热场越高的地区,烃源岩进入生烃门限的深度就越浅、时间越早。     

0509号台风"麦莎"影响山东分析

分析了0509号台风的移动路径、强降水分布及物理量场分布,重点分析台风在安徽突然转向东北和强降水不在中心附近而是偏于中心东北侧的原因。结果表明:副高突然南落及200hPa辐散偏向台风中心右侧是台风在安徽转向进入江苏的原因;台风进入西风带以后没有明显的冷空气侵入;台风进入山东前,半岛大暴雨是由台风右侧东南急流和切变线引起,而台风进入山东境内时,鲁北、鲁中强降水由台风倒槽引起。     

南海北部扩张的地表过程响应：来自海南岛五指山的磷灰石裂变径迹年龄证据

海南岛是南海地块的重要组成部分,其构造演化很大程度上能够反映整个南海的构造活动特征。新生代,海南岛在新构造运动作用下,断块差异升降比较明显,形成了大致以王五 文教断裂为界,北为沉降区,南为断隆区的构造格局。对断隆区隆升过程的研究能够帮助揭示海南岛新构造活动历史,但至今为止,琼中南山地隆升的原因和时限仍存在争议。为了厘清海南岛中部的剥露隆升事件,本文选择琼中南地区海拔最高、高差最大的五指山为研究区,采集8组高程岩石样品,高程范围为203. 55~1153. 52 m。对采集的样品进行了磷灰石裂变径迹测试和热历史模拟分析,结果表明海南岛五指山地区新生代主要经历了两期快速隆升剥露。第一期为渐新世—中新世（32~17 Ma)：隆升速率较快,此时期太平洋板块向欧亚板块俯冲后撤,南海正经历第二次扩张,使得海南岛拉张,活动强烈,造成琼中山地区快速隆升,直到中中新世转为缓慢隆升。第二期为中新世末期（5 Ma)的快速剥蚀隆升阶段：南海扩张已经结束,随着菲律宾板块俯冲亚洲板块,南海北部陆缘整体处于加速热沉降阶段,且全球气候变化加快,造成了海南岛广泛的隆起和加速剥蚀。     

Multiple Uplift and Exhumation of the Southeastern Tibetan Plateau: Evidence from Low-Temperature Thermochronology

Since the Cenozoic, the Tibetan Plateau has experienced large-scale uplift and outgrowth due to the India–Asia collision. However, the mechanism and timing of these tectonic processes still remain debated. Here, using apatite fission track dating and inverse thermal modeling, we explore the mechanism of different phases of rapid cooling for different batholiths and intrusions in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau. In contrast to previous views, we find that the coeval granitic batholith exposed in the same tectonic zone experienced differential fast uplift in different sites, indicating that the present Tibetan Plateau was the result of differential uplift rather than the entire lithosphere uplift related to lithospheric collapse during Cenozoic times. In addition, we also suggest that the 5–2 Ma mantle-related magmatism should be regarded as the critical trigger for the widely coeval cooling event in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau, because it led to the increase in atmospheric CO2 level and a hotter upper crust than before, which are efficient for suddenly fast rock weathering and erosion. Finally, we propose that the current landform of the southeastern Tibetan Plateau was the combined influences of tectonic and climate.     

热带气旋Meranti(2010)异常路径的成因分析

采用MTSAT2卫星红外云图资料及NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,研究了热带气旋Meranti(2010)异常路径的成因。结果表明:Meranti的路径由西行、打转、北上三个阶段组成。在西行、北上阶段,环境场引导流起着主要作用,Meranti的非对称结构对其也有一定影响,非对称对流系统的作用较弱。在打转阶段,环境场引导流和非对称结构均不能解释Meranti打转的原因,而非对称对流系统则起着主要作用。不同阶段的Meranti外缘线的分形维数特征存在明显区别。在西行、北上阶段,其分形维数处于高值段且变化平缓;在打转阶段,则处于低值段且变化较大。     

台风Maggie路径异常的数值研究

台风Maggie（1999年）是近年来比较特殊的一个台风，所有台风预报中心均未能准确预报其登陆前的异常路径。通过两个数值试验揭示了台风Maggie路径异常的原因。即Maggie路径异常的主要原因是它与邻近的一个热带气旋相互作用的结果。