夏热冬暖地区建筑节能设计分析

本文根据夏热冬暖地区的气候特点，针对目前建筑节能设计存在的薄弱环节，分析了建筑围护结构的构造措施及其热工性能，提出在节能设计中应注意的问题。     

南海晚新生代地层结构特征、沉积厚度及沉积模式

本文综合地震、钻井及区域地质资料，通过分析地震相参数等，研究南海晚新生代（E3-Q）地层结构特征和沉积厚度变化，建立了晚新生代沉积模式，所取得的研究成果可为南海油气的进一步勘探开发提供有效的基础资料。     

浅析莱芜接触交代-热液铁矿的双交代渗滤作用

莱芜接触交代-热液铁矿赋存于奥陶系马家沟组碳酸盐岩与燕山晚期闪长岩的接触带及其附近.通过对各矿床有益有害组分分析,以及对成矿母岩、围岩岩石化学特征、双交代渗滤作用和围岩蚀变类型等研究,总结出"三位一体"成矿模式,进而探讨了矿体的空间分布规律及其找矿意义.     

磁异常数据处理方法的应用

文章以冀东一些铁矿区地面磁测成果为例,总结了磁异常转换、定量解释推断一些方法的应用及效果.     

Progress in Predictability Studies in China （2003-2006）

Since the last International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics General Assembly(2003),predictability studies in China have made significant progress.For dynamic forecasts,two novel approaches of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation and nonlinear local Lyapunov exponents were proposed to cope with the predictability problems of weather and climate,which are superior to the corresponding linear theory.A possible mechanism for the"spring predictability barrier"phenomenon for the El Ni(?)o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)was provided based on a theoretical model.To improve the forecast skill of an intermediate coupled ENSO model,a new initialization scheme was developed,and its applicability was illustrated by hindcast experiments.Using the reconstruction phase space theory and the spatio-temporal series predictive method, Chinese scientists also proposed a new approach to improve dynamical extended range(monthly)prediction and successfully applied it to the monthly-scale predictability of short-term climate variations.In statistical forecasts,it was found that the effects of sea surface temperature on precipitation in China have obvious spatial and temporal distribution features,and that summer precipitation patterns over east China are closely related to the northern atmospheric circulation.For ensemble forecasts,a new initial perturbation method was used to forecast heavy rain in Guangdong and Fujian Provinces on 8 June 1998.Additionally, the ensemble forecast approach was also used for the prediction of a tropical typhoons.A new downscaling model consisting of dynamical and statistical methods was provided to improve the prediction of the monthly mean precipitation.This new downsealing model showed a relatively higher score than the issued operational forecast.     

中国冬季气温的集合典型相关分析和预报

以欧亚大陆地面温度、北半球500 hPa高度、热带印度洋SST(sea surface temperature)以及北太平洋SST为预报因子,通过典型相关分析(canonical correlation analysis,简称CCA)建立预报关系,然后用集合典型相关分析预报(ensemble canonical correlation prediction,简称ECC)方法预报中国冬季气温,并分析预报技巧及进行独立样本检验.结果表明,不同的预报因子对各个地区有不同的预报技巧,以欧亚大陆地面温度为预报因子预报技巧较高,而ECC模式对中国冬季气温有更好的预报能力,预报技巧高于任何一个单因子场的CCA预报;采用回归法的集合平均比简单的等权集合平均预报技巧更稳定.     

大雾天气对城市环境中空气质量的影响及危害

商丘市的大雾多形成在大陆高压型、冷锋前暖区型、均压场型、(低压)倒槽型天气形势中。空气中的污染物不仅增加了水汽凝结核,那些可溶性气溶胶还降低了饱和水汽压,使空气中的水汽更容易饱和,因此被污染的空气更容易形成雾。而大雾天气抑制了近地面层污染物的垂直扩散,加剧了城市污染。     

库尔勒地区两次强对流天气过程的形势和雷达回波对比分析

通过对2006年5月3日和7月17日库尔勒地区两次强对流天气的形势和物理量对比分析,以及库尔勒新一代天气雷达(CINRAD-CC)产品中的组合反射率(CR)、风暴相对平均径向速度(V)等产品的分析,得出库尔勒地区夏季强对流天气过程发生时的有利天气形势、物理量场分布及多谱勒天气雷达产品特征。     

Development and behaviour of a radar-based operational tool for hailstorms identification

Hailstorms are a common meteorological phenomenon in Spain which causes substantial economic damage especially in spring and summer. During 2000 and 2001, a radar-based application for convective monitoring was developed at STAP (Forecasting and Analysis Techniques Department); in order to improve this nowcasting tool, it is needed to include an advanced procedure to estimate the presence of hail as a complementary module in the operational application. A preliminary study, carried out during 2001, showed that the Waldvogel technique, VIL (vertical integrated liquid) density and the hail detection algorithm (HDA) are the methodologies which proved more accurate in our latitudes.Throughout the spring and summer of 2001, all available information about hail events (time, place and hail size) and about storms without hail was used for tuning an experimental module to detect severe and non-severe hailstorms, taking into account the selected algorithms. During 2002, further information about storms was gathered in order to assess the behaviour of the developed hail module. Afterwards, a new module calibration was carried out with the information of the complete storms data set of 2001 and 2002. With this new calibration, the hail module became an operational tool during the spring and summer of 2003. Currently, the verification of the operational module using the data from the storms in 2003 is being elaborated. The aim of this work is to put forward the calibration procedure carried out, the verification results of 2002, and the performance of the hail estimate module in selected cases during 2003 in Spain.     

单液硅化灌浆法加固豫西湿陷性黄土地基施工技术和质量控制

通过总结单液硅化灌浆法加固豫西三门峡地区湿陷性黄土地基的多个成功工程实例,介绍了该法加固本地区湿陷性黄土地基施工工艺及施工质量控制措施。