Estimation of quantiles and confidence intervals for the log-Gumbel distribution

The log-Gumbel distribution is one of the extreme value distributions which has been widely used in flood frequency analysis. This distribution has been examined in this paper regarding quantile estimation and confidence intervals of quantiles. Specific estimation algorithms based on the methods of moments (MOM), probability weighted moments (PWM) and maximum likelihood (ML) are presented. The applicability of the estimation procedures and comparison among the methods have been illustrated based on an application example considering the flood data of the St. Mary's River.     

Natural and anthropogenic C2 to C6 hydrocarbons in the central-eastern Venezuelan atmosphere during the rainy season

The levels of low molecular weight hydrocarbons were measured at pristine sites and rural locations affected by hydrocarbon emissions from oil and gas producing fields in Venezuela. At the clean sites, lower concentrations of C₂ to C₆ alkanes were observed, whereas, in comparison with remotes sites, very much higher levels were measured at the polluted sites. Alkenes present relatively high concentrations, with isoprene being the most abundant, all over the study region. The main sources of alkenes are likely to be natural, mainly from vegetation. The levels of alkanes recorded at the clean sites and the alkene levels found everywhere in the region are in agreement with the values reported for other clean sites in the tropics. The increase of ozone production capacity due to the anthropogenic emissions of alkanes from oil and gas fields was estimated. Due to the presence in the atmosphere of important amounts of naturally emitted isoprene, ethene and propene, which makes a substantial contribution to the reactivity of the hydrocarbon mixture, a small increase (<5%) was estimated to occur in the capacity of the ozone production at a regional scale during the rainy season.     

华北地区地震时间结构的多分形特征

利用固定半径法和直接计算法系统研究了华北地区（Ｎ３０°～４３°，λＥ１０６°～１２５°）１３个Ｋ表性子区地震时间结构的广义维数Ｄｑ—ｑ及标度指数谱ｆ（ａ）—ａ的特征，并与单—Ｄｑ—ｔ曲线进行了对比。结果表明；（１）华北地区地震时间结构为多分形结构，单一分形不能完整地描述其分形特征，应该用Ｄｑ—ｑ或ｆ（ａ）—ａ来加以分析；（２）华北强震前的０．５～２．０年．周围地区地震活动的时间多分形结构出现异常，主要表现为ｑ为负时Ｄｑ增大、ｑ为正时Ｄｑ减小，或ｆ（ａ）两端点下降，ａ跨度增大及顶点右偏等现象，这是对地震密集—平静现象的另一种描述；（３）华北地区地震时间多分形方法回顾性预报评分Ｒ＝０．４７，说明其有一定预报效能，是有前景的预报方法。     

中国地表感热的气候计算及其分布

讨论了我国地表感热的气候计算问题,提出以鲍文比法为基础的感热气候计算式,并据此计算出全国215站月、年平均感热通量密度,进而分析了其在全国的时空分布特点。     

1970年通海7.7级地震人员伤亡研究

本详细阐述了通海地震中人员伤亡的空间分布，对人员伤亡率与房屋倒塌率及地震裂度的关系进行了分析。同时讨论了影响人员伤亡的几种主要因素，给出了人员伤亡率与房屋倒塌率及地震裂的经验关系。认为地震主要伤亡区的分布受发震构造的控制，而建筑类型、地形地貌是影响人员伤的主要因素。     

关于地震趋势快速判断的初步研究

从讨论地震序列的空间分布特征出发，结合地震学中的常规手段，研究了对地震趋势进行快速判断的方法。对于如何利用单台地震资料进行地震趋势的快速判断做了初尝试，取得一些有益的结果。     

南极普里兹湾外海大磷虾分布与现存量

本文根据１９９１／１９９２、１９９２／１９９３年度在普里兹湾外海调查的资料，进行了大磷虾水平、垂直分布的研究和资源现存量的估算。结果表明，６３°～６７°Ｓ、６８°Ｅ沿线是大磷虾群分布较密集的海区，在调查海域内大磷虾群主要分布在７０ｍ以上的水层中。１９９１／１９９２，在１５０５３３．９ｋｍ２调查海域内的大磷虾资源现存量为１．６９９×１０６ｔ；１９９２／１９９３，在１２５７４０．７ｋｍ２调查海域内的大磷虾资源现存量为４．０４３×１０６ｔ。     

浙江山区珍稀濒危植物的分布特征与保护

浙江山区的珍稀濒危植物较为丰富，有６７科、１０８属、１２５种．论述了当地珍稀濒危植物的特点、地理分布、属和种的地理成分，探讨了珍稀濒危植物的就地保护、迁地保护和离体保存．     

A NEW QUANTITATIVE WAY FOR DETERMINING LEAF AREA INDEXAND NET PRIMARY PRODUCTIVITY IN REGIONAL SCALE

IntroductionThemaJorpurposeforremotesensingistoobtuinqUantitativevaluabledrirmationonvanousaPplicahons.PanicularlybiophysicalparametersinwionalandglobalscaleareofintereSttoanumberofdomams.ForinStancem,croPyteldestiInatinleafareaindex,chiorophyllcontentandheightofcroparecruaalindex.EvaPotranSirationinroponalscalenedstogctdistnbtaloninformationofcrophdghttoinferrowiessOfsuffoceandsoon.AsthoopthenormaldifferenceVegetaonindex(NDVI)hasbecameaverypoPularmethodtoeinmateLAI,therelationshipbet…