中等质量富金属AGB长周期变星的振动研究

本文采用恒星演化计算与恒星振动计算相结合的方法，对中等质量富金属恒星演化到渐近巨星分支时的振动性质进行了分析研究，从理论上得出这类恒星的振动方式是处于一阶谐频振动，而振动的激发则是在氢电离区和氦的二次电离区由多种机制共同作用造成的，同时提出很长周期的ＡＧＢ长周期变星只能是由中等质量恒星演化到ＡＧＢ阶段形成的。我们的理论计算结果还比较支持在ＡＧＢ顶端存在巨大星风物质损失的观点，且这种星风物质损失很可能与恒星振动有关。     

On the Period Variation of the W UMa-type Contact Binary V502 Ophiuchi

The variation in the orbital period of the W UMa type contact binary V502 Oph is analyzed. The orbital period exhibits a wavelike variation with a periodicity of 23.0 years and an amplitude of △P = 1.24×10~(-6) days superimposed on secular decrease of dP/dt = 1.68×10-7 day per year. The long-term decrease may be accompanied by the contraction of the secondary at a rate of 83 m per year and a mass transfer rate from the primary to the secondary of 4.28×10~8 M per year. The short-term oscillation may be explained by the presence of a third component. Orbital elements of the third body and its possible mass are presented.     

The impact of overfishing and El Niño on the condition factor and reproductive success of Peruvian hake, Merluccius gayi peruanus

In this study we examine physiological responses of Peruvian hake (Merluccius gayi peruanus) to changes in their population structure and physical environment during the period 1971–2004. In particular, we assess the relative investment of energy in growth and/or reproduction of small (20–35 cm) and large (35–50 cm) hake. We calculated the (i) condition (Fulton’s K), (ii) gonad and (iii) gut fullness indices for 42,761 female hakes sampled from commercial landings; these indices indicate fish somatic, reproductive and feeding condition, respectively. Using Generalized Additive Models we then examined potential relationships between these indices and sea surface temperature anomalies and date. Drastic energy exhaustion and a decrease in female hake fecundity were observed during El Niño events. The long-term trend showed a general increase in condition factor and a decrease in gonad index for large hake between 1971 and 2004. Small hake exhibited a different trend with an increase in reproductive activity, which was accompanied by an earlier maturation. We hypothesise that the observed low investment of energy in reproduction by large female hake might be related to the lack of large males, due to a sex-selective fishery and the impact of El Niño. We suggest that fishing diminished hake reproductive capacity, modified the sex ratio in favour of females and increased population vulnerability to environmental stress, in particular to the El Niño. The impact of multidecadal variability and predators like the squid, Dosidicus gigas, remain unresolved until longer time series become available.     

渤海地区平台结构设计环境条件选取分析

随着平台的使用年限增长,环境条件随着海洋环境的变化而变得日益恶劣,对于渤海地区,提出了是否采用100年一遇环境条件替换50年一遇环境条件进行结构设计.经过对渤海地区的部分中心平台和井口平台50年/100年环境条件对比分析,提出了对于渤海地区海上平台结构采用100年一遇环境条件替换50年一遇环境条件.     

Characteristics of developing waves as a function of atmospheric conditions,water properties,fetch and duration

For any specific wind speed, waves grow in period, height and length as a function of the wind duration and fetch until maximum values are reached, at which point the waves are considered to be fully developed. Although equations and nomograms exist to predict the parameters of developing waves for shorter fetch or duration conditions at different wind speeds, these either do not incorporate important variables such as the air and water temperature, or do not consider the combined effect of fetch and duration. Here, the wind conditions required for a fully developed sea are calculated from maximum wave heights as determined from the wind speed, together with a published growth law based on the friction velocity. This allows the parameters of developing waves to be estimated for any combination of wind velocity, fetch and duration, while also taking account of atmospheric conditions and water properties.     

新石器晚期颍河上游旱作农业的多元化特征

用王城岗遗址地层中炭化作物种子、植物花粉的分选鉴定结果,讨论了颍河上游地区龙山文化晚期至二里岗文化时期(约4.2~3.3 kaBP)的气候背景、作物类型和农业活动对环境的影响。结果显示,粟、黍种子数目一直占绝对优势,小麦种子在二里岗时期出现并逐渐走强;由于土地承载力和气候条件限制,王城岗地区的早期农业自龙山晚期后加速了多元化的进程,逐渐形成了以粟、黍、麦、豆为主,水稻、高粱、荞麦、稗子为辅,兼有果实采集的多样化农业生产。小麦的引入表明,本区早期农业与西部地区文化交流是主体,同时促进了颍河上游早期农业的多元化,巩固了史前社会可持续发展的物质基础。     

Triple diagram method for the prediction of wave height and period

Many formulations have been developed so far to predict the wave height and period from fetch length and wind blowing duration for a constant wind speed. This study aimed to predict wave parameters from fetch length and meteorological factors by using triple diagram methodology based on Kriging principles. Proposed model results were compared with Joint North Sea Wave Project (JONSWAP) model which is used so commonly in the ocean and coastal engineering studies. For the implementation of the methodology hourly wave and wind data were obtained from a buoy located in Lake Ontario. Numerical and graphical comparisons demonstrated that the proposed method outperforms the classical formulation.     

Understanding El Niño — The importance of Grey Literature in Coastal Ecosystem Research and Management

Access to information about past states of the environment and social systems is fundamental to understand, and cope with, the challenges of climate change and over-exploitation of natural resources at the onset of the 21st century. The loss of (old) data is a major threat to understanding better and mitigating long-term effects of human activities and anthropogenic changes to the environment. Although this is intuitively evident for old and local literature of any kind, even present-day international publishing of papers without the underlying raw data makes access to basic information a crucial issue. Here, we summarise experience resulting from a EU-funded International Science & Technology Cooperation (INCO) project (CENSOR) addressing Coastal Ecosystem Research and Management in the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) context. We show that indeed “Grey Literature” is still one of the most important sources of knowledge about natural science research and management of natural resource systems in Latin American countries. We argue that public archiving of original data of present-day research and old (Grey) Literature and easy public access are important for appreciating today's global environmental challenges caused by human activities, both past and present.     

抗震设计反应谱特征周期研究

搜集整理1933—2015年美国西部地区166个有详细钻孔资料台站场地上的1 237条水平方向强震记录,按照我国建筑抗震设计规范(GB 50011-2010)中反应谱的形状对强震记录的加速度反应谱进行拟合,提取反应谱的特征周期。分析特征周期随场地类别、震级、震中距的变化特征;按特征周期分区统计计算不同场地类别上的特征周期平均值,并与我国现行的建筑抗震设计规范中给定的特征周期值进行对比研究;最后探讨地震动峰值加速度对特征周期的影响。根据研究分析结果提出关于抗震设计反应谱特征周期值的改进建议。