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41.
42.
Hari Om Vats 《Journal of Astrophysics and Astronomy》2006,27(2-3):227-235
Examples of extreme events of solar wind and their effect on geomagnetic conditions are discussed here. It is found that there
are two regimes of high speed solar wind streams with a threshold of ∼ 850 km s-1. Geomagnetic activity enhancement rate (GAER) is defined as an average increase in Ap value per unit average increase in
the peak solar wind velocity (Vp) during the stream. GAER was found to be different in the two regimes of high speed streams
with +ve and-ve IMF. GAER is 0.73 and 0.53 for solar wind streams with +ve and -ve IMF respectively for the extremely high
speed streams (< 850 km s-1). This indicates that streams above the threshold speed with +ve IMF are 1.4 times more effective in enhancing geomagnetic
activity than those with -ve IMF. However, the high speed streams below the threshold with -ve IMF are 1.1 times more effective
in enhancing geomagnetic activity than those with +ve IMF. The violent solar activity period (October–November 2003) of cycle
23 presents a very special case during which many severe and strong effects were seen in the environment of the Earth and
other planets; however, the z-component of IMF (Bz) is mostly positive during this period. The most severe geomagnetic storm
of this cycle occurred when Bz was positive. 相似文献
43.
Wolfram Neutsch Herbert Kalisch Horst Fichtner S. Ranga Sreenivasan Maurice Shevalier 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2003,288(3):391-408
The study of the expansion of the solar wind out of a system of coronal holes is continued. To this end, we consider the numerical
integration of partial differential equations for problems with icosahedral symmetry, in general. First, employing Weyl theory,
orbifold coordinates are introduced. Second, the icosahedral coordinates are discussed in detail. Third, following an analysis
of the properties of these coordinates and the derivation of a few expressions useful for grid construction, various alternatives
for the distribution of lattice points required for numerical integration are considered. A comparison of these numerical
grids motivates the choice of a specific grid optimized for the numerical integration carried out in the accompanying paper
by Kalish et al.(2002).
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
44.
本文通过对成都10个重污染日进行天气学分析,将污染浓度与气象要素进行聚类、研究了重污染日形成原因及污染浓度与气象要素的关系。在此基础上,建立了SO_2、TSP日平均浓度分级预报方程。 相似文献
45.
利用三维有限元模拟两层地球模型(包括弹性层和粘弹性层)介质的横向不均匀和断层错动的复杂性对震后地表位移场的影响,其数值结果包括弹性解和粘弹性解。结果表明,震后位移场的分布特征不仅与粘弹性层的流变特性有关,还与弹性层介质的剪切模量以及断层的同震错动有关。 相似文献
46.
47.
以首都圈地区现今活动断层上近20年的位移测量资料为依据,用二维线弹性有限元对该区断层的活动特征进行了拟合,并结合有关资料讨论了该区的地震危险性。结果表明:1977-1986年间该区主压应力优势方位与华北较一致,约为N45°-80°E;1986-1990年其主压应力方向向北偏转,约为N5°-60°E;1990年至现在其主压应力又向东偏转,角度大于第一阶段,约为N80°-95°E。该区的张家口-延庆一带近期有发生中强震的可能;丰镇-阳高-大同地区和凉城-古营盘地区应力较高,也应引起注意。 相似文献
48.
A theoretical model for wind‐sand flow is developed by considering the coupling between wind flow and sand particle motion, the latter subject to the Magnus effect, under different atmospheric stability conditions. Using this model, the characteristics of the wind‐sand flow are discussed in detail. The results show that the atmospheric stability and the Magnus effect both have a strong influence on wind profiles and on the trajectories of sand particles. This approach produces results with characteristics that differ from those previously reported; the latter only applying to atmospheric conditions of neutral stability. The saltating sand reaches a greater height under non‐neutral stability than under neutral stability, while the maximum horizontal distance is greater under unstable conditions and is smaller under stable conditions than under conditions of neutral stability. 相似文献
49.
David P. Bacon Nash’at N. Ahmad Thomas J. Dunn Michael C. Monteith Ananthakrishna Sarma 《Natural Hazards》2008,44(3):317-327
By definition, a crisis is a situation that requires assistance to be managed. Hence, response to a crisis involves the merging
of local and non-local emergency response personnel. In this situation, it is critical that each participant: (1) know the
roles and responsibilities of each of the other participants; (2) know the capabilities of each of the participants; and (3)
have a common basis for action. For many types of natural disasters, this entails having a common operational picture of the unfolding events, including detailed information on the weather, both current and forecasted, that may impact on either
the emergency itself or on response activities. The Consequences Assessment Tool Set (CATS) is a comprehensive package of
hazard prediction models and casualty and damage assessment tools that provides a linkage between a modeled or observed effect
and the attendant consequences for populations, infrastructure, and resources, and, hence, provides the common operational
picture for emergency response. The Operational Multiscale Environment model with Grid Adaptivity (OMEGA) is an atmospheric
simulation system that links the latest methods in computational fluid dynamics and high-resolution gridding technologies
with numerical weather prediction to provide specific weather analysis and forecast capability that can be merged into the
geographic information system framework of CATS. This paper documents the problem of emergency response as an end-to-end system
and presents the integrated CATS–OMEGA system as a prototype of such a system that has been used successfully in a number
of different situations. 相似文献
50.
中国滑坡预测预报研究综述 总被引:14,自引:1,他引:13
滑坡预测预报是有效预防滑坡灾害的重要途径之一,这方面的研究不仅受到广泛重视,且硕果累累。将中国滑坡预测预报的研究历史划分为四个阶段:① 经验判断——被动防灾避灾阶段;② 定性——半定量分析预测预报阶段;③ 理论方法探索——检验预测预报阶段;④ 理论方法深化——综合应用预测预报阶段。从监测(观测)方法、预测预报方法,以及研究特点等方面进行简要回顾,总结已有监测方法(手段)、预测预报理论、方法的研究现状,认为尚存在:① 监测方法(手段),包括仪器、设备的精度不足;② 预测预报方法综合性、实用性不强;③ 预测预报专门理论尚待完善等问题。在分析的基础上,提出自己的观点,并进行了发展趋势展望。 相似文献