地统计学用于空间不确定性的描述

Most geospatial phenomena can be interpreted probabilistically because we are ignorant of the biophysical processes and mechanisms that have jointly created and observed events. This philosophy is important because we are certain about the phenomenon under study at sampled locations, except for measurement errors, but, in between the sampled, we become uncertain about how the phenomenon behaves. Geostatistical uncertainty characterization is to generate random numbers in such a way that they simulate the outcomes of the random processes that created the existing sample data. This set of existing sample is viewed as a partially sampled realization of that random function model. The random function’s spatial variability is described by a variogram or covariance model. The realized surfaces need to honour sample data at their locations, and reflect the spatial structure quantified by the variogram models. They should each reproduce the sample histogram representative of the whole sampling area. This paper will review the fundamentals in stochastic simulation by covering univariate and indicator techniques in the hope that their applications in geospatial information science will be wide-spread and fruitful. Supported by the National 973 Program of China (No. 2006CB701302).     

基于正常轮廓更新的自适应异常检测方法

根据网络系统发生正常改变的基本特征,提出了确定网络系统正常改变的“三条件”计算方法,其计算结果可作为更新正常轮廓的依据。对正常轮廓的更新问题进行了深入探讨,提出了自适应异常检测的实现机制。并以网络流量分析为例,验证了在异常检测中应用这一方法的可行性。     

典型巴东组泥质粉砂岩双轴压缩试验细观组构特征

基于泥质粉砂岩室内双轴压缩试验,建立PFC_2D颗粒流数值模型,以此来探究泥质粉砂岩破坏的细观机理。考虑组成泥质粉砂岩试样的颗粒形状,根据电镜扫描图勾选出5种典型颗粒形状,与圆形颗粒一起生成给定孔隙率的稳定数值试样。颗粒间选用平行粘结接触模型,选取弹性模量、泊松比、峰值应力分别对饱和、天然状态的泥质粉砂岩试样进行不同围压下的细观参数标定,然后进行双轴压缩试验模拟,分析试样在双轴压缩试验过程中颗粒法向接触力、切向接触力、配位数、孔隙率等细观组构参数的分布特征和演化规律。试验结果表明：双轴压缩试验的细观参数标定可不考虑抗剪强度指标黏聚力c和内摩擦角ϕ值的影响。破坏前后,试样各方向统计范围内都存在法向接触力和切向接触力。围压的存在影响试样的起始配位数、孔隙率和试样破坏后的稳定配位数和孔隙率,对配位数和孔隙率的改变速率影响很小。试样空间孔隙率的演化在一定程度上反映了试样破坏时内部结构的变迁,能更加直观地反映试样的破坏模式。     

藏南多庆错地堑冲巴雍错段最新史前大地震遗迹及其年龄证据

西藏亚东-谷露裂谷是青藏高原南部规模最大的活动裂谷,但与其全新世强烈活动性不符的是该裂谷南段多庆错地堑历史上缺少M_W ≥ 6地震记录,因此通过古地震研究来揭示该区大地震活动与断裂活动性的关系显得十分重要。本文根据在亚东-谷露裂谷南段多庆错地堑冲巴雍错至多庆错段（范围：28°21'~27°52'N和89°44'~89°17'E）发现的最新史前大地震的地表破裂遗迹,初步研究了地震的时间与震级。通过高分辨率卫星影像解译、利用小型无人机获得的数字高程模型分析和详细的地表调查,发现该区最新史前大地震的同震破裂带在冲巴雍错段错断了河流T2及同期泉华台地,形成了最高约4.5 m的断层陡坎。根据断层陡坎上探槽中古土壤样品的AMS¹⁴C测年结果,揭示被错断的最新地层年龄为6460~3260 cal.a B.P.。综合分析认为,西藏亚东-谷露裂谷南段的多庆错地堑在约3260 cal.a B.P.之后至少发生过一次矩震级为M_W7.1~7.2的大地震,该地震同时造成冲巴雍错段和多庆错段断裂破裂,总的破裂带长度可能达到62 km,最大地震位移可能大于4.5 m。新发现的多庆错地堑全新世古地震填补了亚东-谷露裂谷南段古地震研究的不足,并且有助于更深入地认识西藏亚东-谷露裂谷南段大地震活动历史和区域强震危险性。

     

鄂尔多斯盆地西缘中奥陶统地球化学特征及古环境意义

鄂尔多斯盆地西缘位于中国东西部构造接合区,其奥陶纪末期构造体制的改变引起了广泛关注。选取老石旦剖面中奥陶统碳酸盐岩作为研究对象,通过地球化学分析,恢复其古环境特征并探索盆地西缘中奥陶世构造体制改变在沉积学与地球化学方面的响应。结果显示:(1)三道坎组和桌子山组碳酸盐岩δ¹⁸O为-5.2‰～-8.9‰,平均值为-7.0‰;δ¹³C为1.3‰～-1.8‰,平均值为-0.1‰。δ¹⁸O自下而上不断增加,并在顶部出现小幅降低。δ¹³C与δ¹⁸O变化趋势相似。(2)古环境特征表现为从三道坎组到桌子山组,水温经历了初期震荡,从32.7℃缓慢降至15.7℃。古盐度Z值呈不断增加的趋势,反映出该沉积期水体加深、盐度不断升高。(3)主量、微量元素指标反映出研究区中奥陶世沉积水体不断加深,从三道坎组到桌子山组陆源碎屑物质含量逐渐降低,指示沉积环境由局限台地向开阔台地转变。结合研究区中奥陶统构造背景,认为中奥陶世鄂尔多斯盆地西缘已经处于前陆盆地的构造体制下,逐渐受到阿拉善地块和华北板块碰撞造山影响,...     

利用C_SURF配准的空基视频运动目标检测

目的 针对传统的车辆检测算法的性能易受低空移动平台影响造成相机自运动以及外界的干扰等问题,提出了一种基于改进的C_SURF彩色特征稳像和光流法向量相结合的方法来解决低空视频中的运动车辆检测问题。通过图像稳像消除了相机的自运动和外界干扰问题,提高了运动车辆的检测性能。实验结果显示,该方法不仅在检测车辆方面可以获得更好的检测性能,在复杂的背景环境下也能有效地检测运动车辆。     

THE PROBLEM OF ADEQUATE SAMPLE SIZE IN PATTERN RECOGNITION STUDIES:THE MULTIVARIATE NORMAL CASE

Because many pattern recognition techniques are predicated on the assumption of mutivariate normaldata,Monte Carlo simulation studies were performed to determine the number of samples that arenecessary to describe a multivariate normal population adequately.From these studies we have learnedthat hundreds of sainples are required.These results suggest that parametric procedures should only beused to analyze very large data sets.     

Small‐scale faulting,topographic steps and seismic ruptures in the Alhambra (Granada,southeast Spain

The Alhambra (14th century AD ) in Granada (southeast Spain) is built at the summit of a Pliocene to Lower Pleistocene conglomeratic formation. Tens of small‐scale normal faults crop out along the northern hillslope of the Alhambra, which have a N130–N150°E strike, dipping 65–75° mostly to the southwest. These are closely spaced faults (approximately 5–30 m) with centimetre to several metre displacements. Several topographic steps in this area coincide with hectometre‐ to kilometre‐scale faults with the same kinematics as the small‐scale ones. Some of these faults appear to be active and related to the present seismicity detected in this region, and associated with the cracks and other damage observed in the Alhambra. Several focal mechanisms calculated in this study are in accordance with the dominant NW–SE orientated normal faults. We interpret that the topographic steps of these faults are a consequence of repeated earthquakes during the past 800 ka. The last large earthquake of approximately 5.1 magnitude in this area occurred in 1431, destroying the Alixares Palace, the Arabian fence and part of the Alhambra wall. We consider the seismic risk associated with these faults to be moderate, as the displacement is partitioned into several hectometre‐ to kilometre‐scale faults. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Stability and Geometry of Third-Order Resonances in four-Dimensional Symplectic Mappings

We analyze four-dimensional symplectic mappings in the neighbourhood of an elliptic fixed point whose eigenvalues are close to satisfy a third-order resonance. Using the perturbative tools of resonant normal forms, the geometry of the orbits and the existence of elliptic or hyperbolic one-dimensional tori (fixed lines) is worked out. This allows one to give an analytical estimate of the stability domain when the resonance is unstable. A comparison with numerical results for the four-dimensional Hénon mapping is given. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.