Regional Temperature Forecast for the Next Day in Hong Kong

For a century or so, the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) has been providing temperature forecast for the whole of Hong Kong with the HKO Headquarters as the reference location. In recent decades, due to spreading of population from the main urban center to satellite towns, there is an increasing demand for regional temperature forecasts. To support such provision, the HKO has developed a regression model to provide objective guidance to forecasters in formulating forecasts of maximum and minimum temperatures for the next day at various locations in Hong Kong. In this paper, the regression model is presented, together with the assessment of its performance. Based on the verification of one year of forecasts, it is found that the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of maximum (minimum) temperature forecasts are from about 1.3 to 2.1 (1.1 to 1.4) degrees, respectively. The regression model is shown to have generally out-performed the operational regional spectral model then operated by HKO. Regional temperature forecast methods of other meteorological or research centers are also surveyed. Equipped with the regression model, the HKO has launched an online regional temperature forecast service for the next day in Hong Kong since March 2008.     

Trophic ecology and vertical patterns of carbon and nitrogen stable isotopes in zooplankton from oxygen minimum zone regions

The unique physical and biogeochemical characteristics of oxygen minimum zones (OMZs) influence plankton ecology, including zooplankton trophic webs. Using carbon and nitrogen stable isotopes, this study examined zooplankton trophic webs in the Eastern Tropical North Pacific (ETNP) OMZ. δ¹³C values were used to indicate zooplankton food sources, and δ¹⁵N values were used to indicate zooplankton trophic position and nitrogen cycle pathways. Vertically stratified MOCNESS net tows collected zooplankton from 0 to 1000 m at two stations along a north-south transect in the ETNP during 2007 and 2008, the Tehuantepec Bowl and the Costa Rica Dome. Zooplankton samples were separated into four size fractions for stable isotope analyses. Particulate organic matter (POM), assumed to represent a primary food source for zooplankton, was collected with McLane large volume in situ pumps.The isotopic composition and trophic ecology of the ETNP zooplankton community had distinct spatial and vertical patterns influenced by OMZ structure. The most pronounced vertical isotope gradients occurred near the upper and lower OMZ oxyclines. Material with lower δ¹³C values was apparently produced in the upper oxycline, possibly by chemoautotrophic microbes, and was subsequently consumed by zooplankton. Between-station differences in δ¹⁵N values suggested that different nitrogen cycle processes were dominant at the two locations, which influenced the isotopic characteristics of the zooplankton community. A strong depth gradient in zooplankton δ¹⁵N values in the lower oxycline suggested an increase in trophic cycling just below the core of the OMZ. Shallow POM (0–110 m) was likely the most important food source for mixed layer, upper oxycline, and OMZ core zooplankton, while deep POM was an important food source for most lower oxycline zooplankton (except for samples dominated by the seasonally migrating copepod Eucalanus inermis). There was no consistent isotopic progression among the four zooplankton size classes for these bulk mixed assemblage samples, implying overlapping trophic webs within the total size range considered.     

龙门山断裂带南段地壳一维P波速度结构

基于2009年1月1日至2013年5月6日四川地震台网、重庆地震台网记录的龙门山断裂带南段587个地震的5 012个P波到时数据,利用最小一维速度模型方法反演了龙门山断裂带南段地壳一维P波速度模型及台站校正值,并将其应用到龙门山地区地震重定位中。结果表明,台站校正值表征出龙门山断裂带南段地表速度结构的横向不均匀性,青藏高原的彭灌杂岩体及宝兴杂岩体在近地表表现为高速异常,而四川盆地的第四纪沉积表现为低速异常。重定位后地震震源在北西向的剖面上呈明显的条带状并向北西倾斜,该地震带与宝兴杂岩下方的滑脱带延伸趋势一致。此外,该地震带上方分布着一条反冲地震带,两地震带呈"y"型分布,这可能是宝兴杂岩上方的岩层为调节逆冲过程受阻而产生的反冲运动所致。     

1961-2004年宁夏极端气温变化趋势分析

 利用1961-2004年宁夏逐日最高、最低气温资料,分析了宁夏44 a来最高、最低气温的变化趋势。结果表明：宁夏的最高、最低气温表现出了明显的变化趋势,最高气温＜0℃的日数减少,＞30℃的日数增加;在年平均最低气温升高的同时,极冷日数也在增加,相对于1961-1990年的平均值,20世纪90年代和21世纪最初的4 a年极冷日数分别增加了1.1 d和0.7 d,距平百分率分别达350%和275%。     

The oxygen minimum zone (OMZ) off Chile as intense source of CO2 and N2O

The oxygen minimum zones (OMZs) are recognized as intense sources of N₂O greenhouse gas (GHG) and could also be potential sources of CO₂, the most important GHG for the present climate change. This study evaluates, for one of the most intense and shallow OMZ, the Chilean East South Pacific OMZ, the simultaneous N₂O and CO₂ fluxes at the air–sea interface. Four cruises (2000–2002) and 1 year of monitoring (21°–30°–36°S) off Chile allowed the determination of the CO₂ and N₂O concentrations at the sea surface and the analysis of fluxes variations associated with different OMZ configurations. The Chilean OMZ area can be an intense GHG oceanic local source of both N₂O and CO₂. The mean N₂O fluxes are 5–10 times higher than the maximal previous historical source in an OMZ open area as in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. For CO₂, the mean fluxes are also positive and correspond to very high oceanic sources. Even if different coupling and decoupling between N₂O and CO₂ are observed along the Chilean OMZ, 65% of the situations represent high CO₂ and/or N₂O sources. The high GHG sources are associated with coastal upwelling transport of OMZ waters rich in N₂O and probably also in CO₂, located at a shallow depth. The integrated OMZ role on GHG should be better considered to improve our understanding of the past and future atmospheric CO₂ and N₂O evolutions.     

K-L变换与NDBI指数法提取ASTER 影像城市用地信息的比较

运用K-L变换和NDBI(Normalized Difference Barren Index)指数法,对试验区--沧州市及其周边地区的ASTER遥感影像进行处理,然后分别对两种方法处理后的图像采用最小距离法监督分类,提取城市用地信息,并对分类后的图像进行对比,结果表明:NDBI指数法对城市用地信息提取的效果较好.     

黄陇煤田煤层气储层特征

基于煤层气解吸和煤层试井等大量的实测数据,对黄陇煤田煤层的气含量、渗透率、储层压力和最小主应力等储层参数进行了研究。结果表明:黄陇煤田煤层气含量、渗透率较高;地应力较低;气含量、储层压力、最小主应力与煤层埋深呈正相关性;渗透率与最小主应力呈负相关性;渗透率与煤层埋深的关系不明显;最小主应力对储层压力影响明显。综合分析认为,煤层气含量和渗透率较高的彬长、焦坪矿区是煤层气开采最具有价值的区块。     

最小生成树相位解缠中冗余去除算法

目前，相位解缠的方法中以Goldstein提出的枝切法最为经典，它通过枝切线将残差点相互连接使得残差点电荷中和，在相位展开处理的积分中，积分路径不能穿过分支，从而限制误差的传播。但是由于枝切线连接策略的不合理，往往造成连成的枝切线过多、过长，甚至多条枝切线形成闭合区域，造成不能解缠的“死区”，特别是在残差点较多的情况，这种现象更为严重。本文在最小生成树原理的基础上，提出的枝切线冗余去除算法能简单、准确地去除枝切树中的冗余，并保证了相位解缠具有最好的效果。     

基于核最小二乘模型的矿产靶区预测

地质统计单元的含矿性与地质找矿证据之间存在复杂的非线性关系,建立这种复杂关系的多元非线性统计模型并预测矿产靶区,对矿产勘查具有重要指导意义。以核函数为理论工具,在核最小二乘原理基础上提出了矿产靶区预测的核最小二乘模型;在GDAL数字图像输入输出函数库和CLAPACK线性代数软件包基础上,用VC++语言开发了面向栅格数据的矿产靶区预测核最小二乘模型算法程序,并把模型应用于新疆阿勒泰地区的矿产靶区预测研究。在MapInfo中生成包含100×151个网格统计单元的栅格图层,把栅格化后的15种找矿证据图层转化成100×151×15的数字图像数据立方体,用自行开发的程序计算每个网格统计单元的核最小二乘判别得分。结果表明,网格统计单元判别得分的高值区与已知矿床（点）的空间分布基本一致。     

A TAXONOMICAL AND ECOLOGICAL SURVEY OF ROTIFER COMMUNITIES IU KROTTENSEE (AUSTRIA)

The composition and distribution of benthic, periphytic and planktonic rotifers in different habitatsin Krottensee were investigated. Sixty-five rotifer taxa were identified, their relative abundance estimated. Classification of the data set by cluster analysis allowed the recognition of distinct habitat groupe con-fined to acid bog ponds, macrophytes, sediments, and open water. Five groups of rotifer taxa were identifiedon the basis of their habitat preferences and the occurrence of the taxa. Highest diversities were found onmacrophytes and in acid bog ponds.