湿地生态系统服务功能价值评估问题探讨

湿地生态系统服务功能价值评估能够将湿地各项服务功能价值货币化,提供直观的经济数字,是应用较为广泛的一种评估方式。其技术仍处在探索阶段,尚不完善,在应用中反映出许多问题。分析了湿地净化污染、调节大气、调蓄洪水、物质生产等几项代表性的服务功能,总结了评估应用中存在的一些问题,并提出相应的改进建议,为今后的工作提供参考。     

What does Gunshot Detection Technology tell us about gun violence?

PurposeEvaluate the sensitivity of Gunshot Detection Technology (GDT) relative to Calls for Service. Existing crime data sources have biases that do not present a complete picture of gun-related crime. GDT may offer a new metric for firearm crimes. However, few studies have assessed the accuracy of GDT and its relationship to other measures of violence.MethodsGDT and gun crime-related Calls for Service in Washington, DC during 2010 were studied. Using temporal comparisons for month, day of year, weekday, and hour of the day, spatial comparisons on a quarter-mile square grid, and a Poisson-Lognormal-CAR spatial regression model on a combined grid by time period dataset, we examined the sensitivity of GDT activations relative to gunshot-related calls for service.ResultsThe results showed that relative GDT sensitivity changed by time and by space. In particular, the relative sensitivity of GDT was much stronger in the evening and at nighttime than in the daytime. In terms of spatial variation, we found that GDT sensitivity decreased with distance from the nearest zone centroid. In addition, there were two small geographic areas in the study area in which the relative GDT sensitivity was lower than expected.ConclusionsGDT systems identify the frequency and locational accuracy of gunshot incidents, particularly at nighttime. This technology has the potential to improve data collection on gun use and violence and produce more accurate representations if the temporal and distance limitations of the technology are understood. GDT may improve gun detection and, thereby, improve police operations and public support for police.     

Meteorological and Streamflow Droughts: Characteristics,Trends, and Propagation in the Milwaukee River Basin

This study examined meteorological and streamflow droughts for the period from 1951 to 2006 using the Milwaukee River basin in Wisconsin as the study area in an effort to improve the understanding of drought propagation. Specifically, this study aimed to answer the following research questions: (1) What are the temporal trends of meteorological and streamflow droughts identified by drought indicators? (2) How do the drought indicators manifest drought propagation? Meteorological droughts were identified using the Effective Drought Index (EDI), and streamflow droughts were identified using a threshold-level approach. The intensity and duration of both types of drought were found to have decreased over time, most likely due to increasing precipitation. Therefore, in the study area, and likely in the larger region, drought has become of less concern. The propagation of meteorological drought into streamflow drought was detected generally after moderate and severe sequences of negative EDI that eventually led to extreme meteorological drought events. The study finds that both EDI and the threshold-level approach are effective in diagnosing meteorological and streamflow drought events of all durations.     

云南干季月蒸发量与常规气象要素的关系

基于112个站点干旱期4月39年蒸发皿蒸发量和常规地面气象观测8要素数据,应用EOF和典型相关分析,深入论证各常规气象要素与气候蒸发量的相关性,分析并比较各要素对蒸发量场总方差的解释能力;同时应用线性回归分析作为验证,并探寻多气象要素对蒸发量模拟的最优要素组合。结果显示,从单要素影响角度分析,常规地面气象观测要素与蒸发量相关性的排列次序为：平均相对湿度＞平均气温＞平均地面温度＞日照时数＞平均风速＞平均水汽压＞气压＞降水量,这与蒸发的热力学和动力学理论解释相一致。回归分析验证了典型相关的主要结果;单个常规气象要素中平均相对湿度对气候蒸发量的模拟效果最好;基于平均相对湿度、平均气温、风速、日照时数和平均水汽压资料的前3个要素组合和全部5要素组合,分别是简便普通精度和高精度需求下常规气象要素推算模拟气候蒸发量的最优要素组合。本文加深了对气候蒸发量的相关认识,并对其模拟推算和空间分布量化有重要指导意义。     

可吸入颗粒物(PM10)浓度时空变异性及影响因素分析

本文以厦门市为例,首先对PM10平均浓度数据进行趋势性、周期性和空间变异性进行分析,然后分析了气温、降水强度、降水日数、风向等气候因子对PM10浓度变化在时间上的影响,同时使用了交叉相关分析的方法对月平均降水日数和PM10大气污染指数(API)为优(PM10浓度<0.05mg/m3)的月内天数百分比的相关性进行分析,最后利用从遥感影像获取的地表覆盖数据,分析了土地利用类型与局部PM10年平均浓度的关系。分析结果表明：厦门市PM10浓度年内变化无明显的上升和下降的趋势,但有显著的周期性,分别为3、7和29天,气候因素对PM10浓度的变化有显著的影响,其中月平均降水日数对API为优的月内天数百分比的影响有明显的滞后性,滞后周期大约为3个月,局部PM10年均浓度与该地区的土地覆盖类型有明显的相关性,并且植被覆盖的比例越大,该地区的PM10年平均浓度就越小。     

THE NEW CORPORATE LANDSCAPE: AMERICA'S FASTEST GROWING PRIVATE COMPANIES

Analysis of the location of the fastest growing private companies in the United States suggests that a new corporate landscape is emerging. During the 1980s this corporate landscape has increasingly been dominated by companies in the service sector rather than in manufacturing. Sunbelt metropolises, especially in California, are more favored locations for the fast-growth firms than for the traditional Fortune 500 industrial and 500 service corporations. The fast-growth firms are also more likely to locate in suburban areas than the traditional corporations. These service, Sunbelt, and suburban characteristics of the new corporate landscape are interpreted as a consequence of the restructuring of the US economy.     

艾比湖湿地调节气候生态服务价值评价

增湿调温的气候调节功能是湿地重要的生态功能。位于干旱区的湿地,其增湿调温功能尤为明显。湿地自由水面巨大的水汽蒸发及湿地茂密植被剧烈的水汽蒸腾,是其增湿调温、调节气候的主要物质基础。通过计算艾比湖湿地年水汽蒸发、蒸腾量,得出其每年调节气候的生态服务价值为97788.86×104元,占艾比湖湿地总生态服务价值的31.9%,位居研究区各项生态价值之首。结果表明,增湿调温的气候调节功能是处于极端干旱地理条件下的艾比湖湿地最重要的生态服务功能。     

MONITORING OF 1991 EASTERN CHINA FLOODING WITH POLAR ORBITING METEOROLOGICAL SATELLITES FY-1 AND NOAA

With polar orbiting meteorological satellites FY-1 and NOAA,flooding was monitored in the areas of the HuaiheRiver basin and the Taihu Lake region during June and July 1991.All satellite images from FY-1 and NOAA for concerned areas before and during flooding were examined.Thoseof cloud-free,with small amount of cumulus or thin cirrus were selected to exam the situation.Navigation and projec-tion were carefully performed,to ensure the projected images at different time overlap accurately with each other in 1—2pixels.Channel 1 (CH1) and Channel 2 (CH2) data of FY-1 and NOAA satellites with wavelength of 0.58—0.68μm and0.725—1.1μm were used to monitor the flooding.Albedo of Channel 2 and normalized vegetation index (NDVI) wereadopted as indicators to identify water body from land.With histogram and man-machine interactive methods,analysiswas done.In cloud-free condition,the two indicators identified the same area and scope of the water body.Totally cloud-free image in a large area is quite rare.To understand flood process,it is necessary to use more fre-quent images.It was investigated to distinguish water from land in partly cloudy condition.The result showed that whenthere is small amount of cumulus or thin cirrus,satellite images are still valuable in monitoring water body.In case ofmonitoring area covered with cirrus,vegetation index is useful,and while there is small amount of cumulus on land,albedo of Channel 2 can be used.Ten images from May 16 to August 18 of 1991 were examined.The results show that in the Lixiahe area,JiangsuProvince,the area submerged in total was the largest;along main stream of the Huaihe River,the Chuhe River,andaround the Chaohu Lake,a large percentage of area submerged;while in the Taihu Lake area,less field submerged.Flood monitoring was performed for 87 counties in the region concerned.These counties were put in order accord-ing to the percentage of submerged area in total.This order showed the extent of disaster at one view point.     

梧州市森林火险气象预报

使用１９８０－１９９１年森林火灾及相应的气象资料，分析了森林火灾与有关气象要素的相关性。在此基础上，计算了森林火险天气预报指标，建立了预报模式，开展了森林火险天气等级预报。经试用效果较好。     

气象条件对小麦白粉病发生影响的研究

这１０多年来江苏省代表站的小麦白粉病始病期、严重率和同期的气象资料,采用滑动相关普查方法,分析了气象条件对白粉病发生的影响作用,发现对白粉病始病期和严重率有着显著的影响,但影响作用具有阶段性和区域性。在此基础上建立了白粉病的预报模式。