基于重复地震的地壳介质参数分析软件

随着数字地震学的快速发展,重复地震在地震学的研究中显得越来越重要。本文首先介绍了重复地震的定义和识别方法,然后基于此研制了重复地震识别与分析软件,最后给出了重复地震在地震预测中的一个实际应用例子。结果表明基于该软件工具可充分利用数字地震波形开展相对高精度的地壳介质动态变化分析。     

基于BISQ模型的三维双相各向异性介质数值模拟

Biot-flow and squirt-flow are the two most important fluid flow mechanisms in porous media containing fluids. Based on the BISQ （Biot-Squirt） model where the two mechanisms are treated simultaneously, the elastic wave-field simulation in the porous medium is limited to two-dimensions and two-components （2D2C） or two-dimensions and three-components （2D3C）. There is no previous report on wave simulation in three- dimensions and three-components. Only through three dimensional numerical simulations can we have an overall understanding of wave field coupling relations and the spatial distribution characteristics between the solid and fluid phases in the dual-phase anisotropic medium. In this paper, based on the BISQ equation, we present elastic wave propagation in a three dimensional dual-phase anisotropic medium simulated by the staggered-grid high-order finite-difference method. We analyze the resulting wave fields and show that the results are an improvement.     

倾斜煤层中不同倾向多分支井产能预测模型

煤层气分支井产能预测对区块优选、经济评价和排采生产管理等都具有重要的指导意义。根据多分支井在倾斜煤层不同钻进方式引起的分支井段及末端压降特点,回避煤层气从基质、裂隙系统运移的复杂过程,结合达西定律,分别建立了下倾钻进和上覆钻进两种方式下分支井段内与末端的压降模型、解吸半径模型和产气量预测模型。计算结果表明:这些模型能较准确地预测多分支井产能趋势,且方法简便、快捷,对现场排采工作制度具有一定指导作用。      

变权组合预测模型在地下水水位预测中的应用

为探讨变权组合预测模型在地下水水位预测中的应用,以内蒙古通辽市东郊为研究区,利用该区1997-2008年的地下水水位埋深数据,采用基于指数预测法、灰色预测法以及线性回归预测法的变权组合预测方法进行水位埋深的模拟和预测。经计算,以上3种单项预测方法的预测值以及组合预测方法的预测值与实际值的误差平方和分别为5.116 1、5.080 1、4.914 8、4.672 3。这表明,利用变权组合预测方法比单纯运用某一种预测方法预测精度更高。并且,由预测值可以看出,到2015年该研究区水位埋深将达到15.39 m,相比2008年递增幅度将达到20%。     

基于ETABS的钢筋混凝土框架与楼梯共同工作性能分析

本文利用大型结构分析软件ETABS设计了4种包含和不包含楼梯的钢筋混凝土框架计算模型,分别采用底部剪力法、反应谱法和时程分析法对各模型进行了弹性阶段地震反应特性对比计算分析.结果显示:楼梯参与结构整体计算后,结构出现抗侧刚度明显增加、结构扭转振动显著、梯间框架柱剪力突变等现象;建议结构设计时采用包含楼梯的层间结构计算模型(M-4),使用振型分解反应谱法进行结构抗震分析计算.     

Axisymmetric transient waves in transversely isotropic half-space

A transversely isotropic material in the sense of Green is considered. Using a series of potential functions proposed in [Eskandari-Ghadi M. A complete solution of the wave equations for transversely isotropic media. J Elasticity 2005; 81:1–19], the solutions of the transient wave equations within a half-space under surface load are obtained in the Laplace–Hankel domain for axisymmetric problems. The solutions are investigated in detail in the special case of a surface point force pulse varying with time as Heaviside function. Using Cagniard–De Hoop method, the inverse Laplace transform and inverse Hankel transform of the solutions are then obtained in the form of integrals with finite limits. For validity of the analytical results, the final formulations for surface waves are degenerated for an isotropic material and compared with the existing formulation obtained by Pekeris [The seismic surface pulse. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 1955;41:469–80], to show that they are exactly the same. The numerical evaluations of the integrals for some transversely isotropic materials as well as an isotropic one are obtained. The present approach is then numerically verified by comparing a particular case of displacements for the surface of an isotropic half-space subjected to a point load of Heaviside function with the solutions obtained by Pekeris [The seismic surface pulse. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 1955;41:469–80]. In addition, the wave equations for the mentioned medium are obtained on the vertical line directly under the applied surface load. The final formulations are degenerated for an isotropic material and compared with the existing formulation given in Graff [Wave motion in elastic solids. New York: Dover Publications Inc; 1975 [New Ed edition, November 1991]], to show that they are also exactly the same. Then equations are presented in graphical forms using an appropriate numerical evaluation.     

A parallel evolutionary strategy based simulation–optimization approach for solving groundwater source identification problems

Groundwater characterization involves the resolution of unknown system characteristics from observation data, and is often classified as an inverse problem. Inverse problems are difficult to solve due to natural ill-posedness and computational intractability. Here we adopt the use of a simulation–optimization approach that couples a numerical pollutant-transport simulation model with evolutionary search algorithms for solution of the inverse problem. In this approach, the numerical transport model is solved iteratively during the evolutionary search. This process can be computationally intensive since several hundreds to thousands of forward model evaluations are typically required for solution. Given the potential computational intractability of such a simulation–optimization approach, parallel computation is employed to ease and enable the solution of such problems. In this paper, several variations of a groundwater source identification problem is examined in terms of solution quality and computational performance. The computational experiments were performed on the TeraGrid cluster available at the National Center for Supercomputing Applications. The results demonstrate the performance of the parallel simulation–optimization approach in terms of solution quality and computational performance.     

辽宁及邻区电磁辐射在地震中的应用研究

通过省内、省外台站分布情况、台址情况、观测记录仪器使用情况,观测记录仪器的性能指标,如观测仪器探头类型、架（埋）设方式,记录仪器的采样率、分辨率,震例情况等从电磁辐射的发生机理出发进行深入细致的分析,找出地震前电磁辐射异常信息量、异常起始时间及持续时间与震中距、震级的关系。     

基于性能的结构抗风设计理论框架

提出了基于性能的结构抗风设计理论框架,将风压强度划分为4个设计风压等级（弱风压、中风压、强风压及超强风压）,将人体振动舒适度划分为6个等级（无振感、轻微振感、中等振感、烦恼、非常烦恼和无法忍受）、三种振动水平（与人的舒适感相关的振动水平、与人正常工作和操作有关的振动水平、与人的生理健康直接相关的振动水平）。结合不同类别建筑物的性能需求及人体振动舒适度的要求,将结构风振性能水准划分为4种状态（性能健康、性能亚健康、性能病态及性能丧失）,将结构风振性能目标划分为5个等级（A、B、C、D、E）。提出了结构抗风概念设计与计算分析的一般原则,给出了结构性能抗风安全性评价及社会经济评价基本内容的建议。     

基于井位的地震属性融合技术研究

在利用地震属性对储层预测的研究中,大部分理论方法主要存在利用单一属性预测储层这一缺陷,在实际应用中则存在单一属性不能正确预测储层的问题,这些问题应通过多元属性融合技术来解决,本文在已有井资料的基础上,对属性融合技术进行了研究,分析各属性对储层的影响因素,利用井位计算各地震属性融合比重,有机的结合了各属性的优点,提出了这一问题新的解决方法.实际资料的应用显示,该方法在储层预测中取得了良好的效果.