河南区域经济增长俱乐部趋同研究

1990~2004年,河南区域经济增长形成了高收入、中高收入、中低收入和低收入 4个趋同俱乐部。高收入和低收入趋同俱乐部的稳定性最大且连片扩张,区域经济增长水平和空间结构的两极分化日趋增强。总体上,一个区域的"邻居区域环境"对其经济增长及其向何种趋同俱乐部转移有规律性的影响。低收入区域的经济增长及其向中低收入趋同俱乐部转移的概率与其邻居区域的经济增长水平正相关。中低收入区域更倾向于向低收入趋同俱乐部转移。对于中高收入区域,与经济增长水平越高的区域为邻,其向高收入趋同俱乐部转移的概率越大;反之,与经济增长水平越低的区域为邻,其向中低收入趋同俱乐部转移概率也越大。高收入区域的经济增长及稳定性受邻居区域的影响比较小。     

城市GIS数据多级共享交换平台系统

针对目前城市众多管理部门对城市GIS数据共享交换平台不同层次的共享需求,在分析文件级、数据平台级、系统功能级以及Web服务级四种共享交换模式特点的基础上,本文采用业务流技术设计了一种集成多级共享交换模式的数据模型。结合无锡市地理信息共享交换平台项目的建设,给出了模型在城市GIS数据交换平台系统中的具体应用过程,以期对其他城市同类系统的建设提供一定的参考价值。     

亚洲大陆的纬向汇聚与蒙古青藏高原的崛起及东亚大陆之扩张

东亚大地构造问题是世界瞩目的焦点之一。区内有蒙古和青藏两个雄伟的高原屹立, 二者之间分布着天山—阴山和昆仑—秦岭等横亘东西的现代山系, 它们由一系列剪切-推覆构造系统组成, 有力地说明东亚大陆存在强烈的纬向汇聚。在此以东, 总体构造面貌向SE呈扩张发散态势, 南达赤道以南的印度尼西亚群岛, 向东可能涉及马里亚纳岛弧。一系列弧形构造是推覆-拉伸构造岩片的前缘挤压逆冲推覆-隆起增厚构造带, 后方常伴有拉伸滑脱-沉降减薄盆地, 并显示着陆壳表层的运动方向。东亚大陆现今构造面貌是新生代以来喜山运动产物, 这一过程迄今还在进行。它不仅对东亚地质构造和地震分布规律以及资源环境问题有重要影响, 而且与大气环流形成及气候环境变化有密切关系。      

鲜水河下游泥石流发育分布特征研究

鲜水河下游流域处于鲜水河断裂带之南西,总体呈南北走向.受地层岩性、地质构造、新构造活动、河谷地貌演化及气候条件等的控制,流域内泥石流较发育,属泥石流中等发育区.泥石流以暴雨沟谷型泥石流为主,可见少量暴雨坡面型泥石流及古冰川泥石流.泥石流多集中发育于岩性相对软弱的板岩、千枚岩及砂岩与板岩互层的相对宽谷段,多为粘性泥石流.泥石流一般具有多期次发育特征,且规模逐次减小.流域内绝大部分泥石流处于停歇或衰退状态,现代活动性不活跃,现代活动泥石流频度低、规模小,且多发育于植被破坏较严重区域.流域内泥石流活动具有退化的特征,对当地人民生命安全及两河口水库的淤积等影响不大.     

Statistical estimation of a shock center: Slate Islands astrobleme

Statistical models are proposed for the distribution of directions in three dimensions that are thought to point toward a single source. These models are based on the Fisher distribution. The method of maximum likelihood is used to obtain an estimate of position of the source and to provide corre-sponding confidence regions. When applied to shatter cone data from the Slate Islands, northern Lake Superior, the method yields estimates comparable with those obtained by Stesky and Halls (1982), as well as statistically valid confidence regions.     

A note on some early radiosonde temperature observations in the Antarctic lower stratosphere

The behaviour of the Southern Hemisphere stratosphere has attracted considerable interest, and been compared with the Northern Hemisphere, since the International Geophysical Year (1957–58) when the sudden (explosive or accelerated) springtime warming phenomenon in the Antarctic was first observed. Over the years studies of upper air temperature and wind observations have been made, principally through the spring months when the polar vortex breakdown occurs, utilising both ground-based (rawinsonde, rocket) and more recently, satellite-derived data. Although the radiosonde-derived temperature data are limited both by the number of reporting stations, and the practical difficulty of securing observations much above the 100 hPa level, useful records exist from 1956 or 1957. These have shown that in the 1959 southern spring, the lower stratosphere was relatively colder, and the warming rate through the season was essentially more regular, with little evidence of the marked but short-lived temperature fluctuations usually found. Similar, but not quite such wide-spread conditions occurred again in the 1961 spring. In another study, 30 hPa temperature fields over the Antarctic continent, which could be drawn for the 1967 spring, showed the complexity of the polar vortex breakdown. These features are recalled because extension of the 100 hPa springtime temperature series for the Australian Antarctic station at Casey (66.3°S, 110.5°E) shows that in 1985 and part of 1986, the temperature behaviour there was similar to, but not quite so extreme as that which occurred at Mirny (66.5°S, 93.0°E) in 1959.     

A survey of numerical methods for stochastic differential equations

The development of numerical methods for stochastic differential equations has intensified over the past decade. The earliest methods were usually heuristic adaptations of deterministic methods, but were found to have limited accuracy regardless of the order of the original scheme. A stochastic counterpart of the Taylor formula now provides a framework for the systematic investigation of numerical methods for stochastic differential equations. It suggests numerical schemes, which involve multiple stochastic integrals, of higher order of convergence. We shall survey the literature on these and on the earlier schemes in this paper. Our discussion will focus on diffusion processes, but we shall also indicate the extensions needed to handle processes with jump components. In particular, we shall classify the schemes according to strong or weak convergence criteria, depending on whether the approximation of the sample paths or of the probability distribution is of main interest.     

长江流域旱涝典型年大气水汽输送

利用我国125个探空站一日两次自地面至100hpa共11个层次上的观测资料,对长江流域典型夏涝年(1980年)和夏旱年(1985年)我国大气中水汽总输送场、涡动输送场及散度场进行了计算分析。结果表明:当水汽总输送场从西北、西南和东南三支气流携带的水汽交汇于长江流域,且整个水汽输送场稳定持久,则在水汽辐合带附近导致大量降水,形成洪涝;反之,当三支气流微弱不稳定,不能形成水汽辐合带条件,则形成干旱。涡动输送亦反映出类似的特征。稳定且强盛的西南气流水汽输送是形成降水的主要条件和原因。     

江西中西部黄龙组底部的Pseudostaffella层位问题

近年来，在江西中西部黄龙组底部发现了Ｐｓｅｕｄｏｓｔａｆｆｅｌｌａ，由此涉及到了黄龙组底部的地层时代及对比问题。根据匕高石坎尾剖面上类化石的分布和动物群性质，江西黄龙组底部与Ｅｏｓｔａｆｆｅｌｌａ、Ｓｃｈｕｂｅｒｔｅｌｌａ共生的Ｐｓｅｕｄｏｓｔａｆｆｅｌｌａ和贵州、湖南Ｐｓｅｕｄｏｓｔａｆｆｅｌｌａ带组合面貌相差甚远。江西中西部至今不存在确切的Ｐｓｅｕｄｏｓｔａｆｆｅｌｌａ带。     

Tectonic evolution of lower crustal rocks in an exposed magmatic arc section in the Hidaka metamorphic belt, Hokkaido, northern Japan

Abstract : The Hidaka metamorphic belt consists of an island-arc assembly of lower to upper crustal rocks formed during early to middle Paleogene time and exhumed during middle Paleogene to Miocene time. The tectonic evolution of the belt is divided into four stages, D₀rs, D₁, D₂rs, and D₃, based on their characteristic deformation, metamorphism, and igneous activity. The premetamorphic and igneous stage (D₀) involves tectonic thickening of an uppermost Cretaceous and earliest Tertiary accretionary complex, including oceanic materials in the lower part of the complex. D₁ is the stage of prograde metamorphism with increasing temperatures at a constant pressure during an early phase, and with a slight decrease of pressure at the peak metamorphic phase, accompanying flattening of metamorphic rocks and intrusions of mafic to intermediate igneous rocks. At the peak, incipient partial melting of pelitic and psammitic gneisses took place in the amphibolite–granulite facies transition zone, the melt and residuals cutting the foliations formed by flattening. In the deep crust, large amounts of S-type tonalite magma formed by crustal anatexis, intruded into the granulite facies gneiss zone and also into the upper levels of the metamorphic sequence during the subsequent stage. During D₁ stage, mafic and intermediate magmas supplied and transported heat to form the arc-type crust and at the same time, the magmatic underplating caused extensional doming of the crust, giving rise to flattening and vertical uplifting of the crustal rocks. D₂ stage is characterized by subhorizontal top-to-the-south displacement and thrusting of lower to upper crustal rocks, forming a basal detachment surface (décollement) and duplex structures associated with intrusions of S-type tonalite. Deformation structures and textures of high-temperature mylonites formed along the décollement, as well as the duplex structures, show that the D₂ stage movement occurred under a N-S trending compressional tectonic regime. The depth of intra-crustal décollement in the Hidaka belt was defined by the effect of multiplication of two factors, the fraction of partial melt which increases downward, and the fluid flux which decreases downward. The crustal décollement, however, might have extended to the crust-mantle boundary and/or to the lithosphere and asthenosphere boundary. The subhorizontal movement was transitional to a dextral-reverse-slip (dextral transpression) movement accompanied by low-temperature mylonitization with retrograde metamorphism, the stage defined as D₃. The crustal rocks from the basal décollement to the upper were tilted eastward on the N–S axis and exhumed during the D₃ stage. During D₂ and D₃ stages, the intrusion of crustal acidic magmas enhanced the crustal deformation and exhumation in the compressional and subsequent transpressional tectonic regime.