0414号台风"云娜"登陆后西折路径和陆上维持机制的诊断分析

2004年第14号台风“云娜”在浙江省温岭市石塘镇登陆,针对登陆后的两大预报难点--路径突然西折和陆上长久维持,进行了研究分析.结果表明：台风登陆后的明显西折是由于副高突然加强造成的,地面3h变压、涡度变量、东西风分量变量等物理量对短期台风路径预报非常有用.台风陆上的长久维持与低空水汽通道的连结、高空流出气流的强辐散、登陆后的移向和特殊的下垫面等密切相关.     

镉毒性与水产配合饲料中镉的允许量探讨

本文概述了镉的存在形态和毒性以及其它一些问题，介绍了我国对有害化学物质食品卫生标准的制定步骤.建议立题研究饲料镉在鱼虾体内的生物活性、毒作用和蓄积问题，普查水产配合饲料大宗原料的镉含量.在此基础之上，制定渔用饲料中镉含量控制的合理标准.     

潮坪层序的粒度特征与沉积相划分--以杭州湾庵东浅滩为例

现代潮滩依据多年平均潮位线划分高、中、低潮滩，这对于古代潮坪沉积相研究无实际意义。本文尝试用潮坪层序粒度参数剖面来划分沉积相。潮坪沉积物以粉砂为主，但敏感地反映沉积动力变化的却是粗、细尾部分。因此，在沉积相划分时主要依据粘土、砂含量及平均粒径的变化特征。分选系数是一重要依据，但要考虑絮凝沉积的影响。偏态和峰态变幅小、较复杂，在相划分中只具参考价值。利用粒度参数剖面进行潮坪沉积相划分可广泛应用于古代潮坪层序研究，而且根据中潮坪沉积厚度(x)与平均潮差(y)存在的显著性相关关系：y=1．8314x 157．31(单位cm)，推算古潮差。     

Method to Determine Depositional Range of Sediment Transported from Multiple Sources in Water Area

- The sediment from different sources have different content of the characteristic elements. According to the fuzzy mathematical theory, corresponding calculation and cluster analysis of each sediment sample are carried out, so the main courses of sediment transport in water area can be obtained. The characteristics of sediment from different sources are analysed. It is found that the sediment deposited of certain point in water area is due to the sources' contributions which can be calculated by the formula derived in this paper. Based on the distribution of the contribution values, the depositional range of sediment from each source can be determined. The depositional range in Huangmao Bay is determined as an example.     

Long Wave Reflection and Transmission over A Sloping Step

This investigation examines long wave reflection and transmission induced by a sloping step. Bellman and Kalaba‘s (1959) invariant imbeddlng is introduced to find wave reflection. An alternative method matching both the surface elevation and its surface slope of each region at the junction is applied to the determination of wave reflection and transmission.The proposed methods are compared with the accurate numerical results of Porter and Porter (2000) and those of Mei (1983) for a vertical step. The wave reflection obtained for a mildly sloping step differs significantly from the result of Mei. The wave reflection is found to fluctuate owing to wave trapping for the ntild sloping step. The height and the face slope of the step are important for determining wave reflection and transmission coefficients.     

莱州市近岸海域水动力状况分析与海洋环境的合理利用

建立莱州市近岸海域潮流数值模型,并在此基础上建立了拉格朗日余流模型。结合在主要入海排污口进行的数值跟踪,对莱州市近岸海域的物理自净能力进行了分析。并对海洋环境的合理利用进行了探讨。     

A nonlinear wave profile correction of the diffraction of a wave by a long breakwater: Fixed point approach

The authors of the present paper have suggested an iterative scheme to calculate the nonlinear wave profiles [Jang and Kwon, 2005. Application of nonlinear iteration scheme to the nonlinear water wave problem: Stokes wave. Ocean Engineering 32, 1862–1872]. The scheme was shown to be good for estimating nonlinear wave profiles. In the study, the iterative scheme is applied to the wave-diffraction problem by a long breakwater to calculate a diffracted wave by the breakwater. The iterative solution of diffraction was compared with the linear solution of Sommerfeld, 1896. [Mathematische Theoried der Diffraction. Mathematical Annals 47, 317–374]. For a small wave slope, the two solutions were in good agreement. However, the scheme enabled us to observe the nonlinear behaviors of a beating phenomenon and of wave profile such as Stokes’ wave for a relatively large wave slope: as the wave slope becomes larger, we can examine the nonlinear wave characteristics of the actual shapes of waves, i.e., the crests are steeper and the troughs are flatter.     

台湾海峡北口潮汐观测与分析

介绍在台湾海峡北口中部水深约65m处进行临时验潮的方法和过程，并将其测验结果与台湾海峡东西两岸验潮站的资料进行了比较分析。结果显示：海峡北口中部海域与纬度较相近的海峡西岸平潭（东澳）站及东岸的淡水站相比，潮型基本一致，均为正规半日潮，在月赤纬大时，潮汐的日不等现象明显；潮差与西岸较接近，而明显大于东岸；潮时与西岸基本相同而早于东岸。     

浙江海面变化的灰色模型分析与预测

应用灰色模型理论，分析了各影响海面变化因素的影响力度，指出影响浙江海面趋势性变化的主要因素是气温；建立了海面变化的灰色气温模型，其计算值与实测值吻合良好，可根据气温变化趋势预测未来海面变化趋势。若未来百年全球气温再上升１．５－５．５℃，浙江海面将对应上升２４－７８ｃｍ。灰色模型模拟还显示，未来平均高潮位于上升速率明显大于平均低潮位上升速率，潮差将逐渐增大，在相同平均海面升幅的情况下，未来海面上升对     

黑龙江省中强震的周期性特征及中长期预报效能

本文以黑龙江省1900年至1989年>4.5级地震,讨论了中强地震的发生律规及特征,指出:黑龙江省中强地震具有明显的周期活跃性,其发生的地震类型、震中位置、活跃时段、平静期长短等特征都具有"重现性".具有很高的中长期预报效能.这表明:地震是地球上发生的特殊自然现象,也具有"自然节律"的特征.