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141.
本文从最大后验概率密度观点出发,在数据噪音向量和待求模型向量为具有零均值的独立高斯随机过程的假设前提下,建立起了随机反演的非线性系统方程;给出了模型方差估计的函数表达式,并在文章最后,证明了反演解的稀疏性,即解释了随机反演的输出解的高分辨率特征。文章在最小二乘反演方法的基础上,发展并完善了随机反演方法的理论基础;揭示了随机反演方法与最小二乘反演方法之间的本质区别;阐述了随机反演方法的优越性,并指出了其广阔的应用前景。 相似文献
142.
Zhou Cuiying Wang Hongwei Wang Mei and Zhang YuxiaSeismological Bureau of Shandong Province Jinan China Center for Analysis Prediction SSB Beijing China 《中国地震研究》1997,(4)
In order to solve the problem of early estimation of moderately strong aftershock duration time in an earthquake sequence,this study has been conducted.First,the definition of the strong aftershock has been given.It is pointed out that there is a difference in the strong aftershock duration time between the main shock type sequence and the strong earthquake swarm sequence.After dividing the three cases,i.e.,a strong aftershock duration time larger than 1 day,smaller than 1 day,and no strong aftershock occurred in a main shock type sequence by using the pattern recognition method,we gave the rough correlation relation between strong aftershock duration time and first large shock magnitude for two types of sequences.Finally,the judgment index and method of estimating strong aftershock duration times for different sequence types have been given. 相似文献
143.
The separation of the influence of nutrients and climate on the varve time-series of baldeggersee, Switzerland 总被引:7,自引:2,他引:7
The varve data-set from a freeze-core taken in the deepest part of Baldeggersee was subjected to different multivariate statistical
analyses in order to estimate the amount of variance in the varve thickness measures explicable by past climate and by the
trophic state of the lake. A comparison of two different time-periods (1902 to1992 versus 1920 to 1980) revealed that the
lake restoration programme since 1982 has had a significant impact on the formation of the seasonal layers. Results of the
partitioning of the variance in the varve thickness measures showed that about two thirds of the variance are unexplained
by a climate and trophic state model and that trophic state explains 6%, whereas climate accounts for about 28% of the variance
before the effect of lake restoration had a strong impact on the varves. Among the climate parameters the amount of annual
precipitation is a strong predictor for explaining the thickness of both dark layer and total couplet thickness, whereas summer
precipitation is important for the thickness of the light layer. 相似文献
144.
K. -C. Yeh J. -C. Yang Y. -K. Tung 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1997,11(2):173-192
Hydrologic model parameters obtained from regional regression equations are subject to uncertainty. Consequently, hydrologic
model outputs based on the stochastic parameters are random. This paper presents a systematic analysis of uncertainty associated
with the two parameters, N and K, in Nash's IUH model from different regional regression equations. The uncertainty features
associated with N and K are further incorporated to assess the uncertainty of the resulting IUH. Numerical results indicate
that uncertainty of N and K from the regional regression equations are too significant to be ignored. 相似文献
145.
The temporal and spatial characteristics of the surface air temperature variations over the Antarctic and its surrounding area 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The characteristics of the spatial distribution, temporal variations trend and oscillation for the surface air temperature
variations during 1957—1993 in the Antarctic and its surrounding area were analyzed. The results show that the short-time
climate change in the Antarctic is complex both temporally and spatially. The Antarctic is by no means the strongest responding
region to the global greenhouse effect. There is a distinguished difference in the trends of the temperature changes for the
Antarctic and global mean, which could not be explained simply by the global greenhouse effect.
Project supported by the National Antarctic Key Project of China (85-905). 相似文献
146.
Hydrologic model parameters obtained from regional regression equations are subject to uncertainty. Consequently, hydrologic
model outputs based on the stochastic parameters are random. This paper presents a systematic analysis of uncertainty associated
with the two parameters, N and K, in Nash's IUH model from different regional regression equations. The uncertainty features
associated with N and K are further incorporated to assess the uncertainty of the resulting IUH. Numerical results indicate
that uncertainty of N and K from the regional regression equations are too significant to be ignored. 相似文献
147.
148.
Yang Wunian Zhu Zhangsen Institute of Remote Sensing GIS Chengdu University of Technology Chengdu Sichuan Liu Xinzhu Yang Wencai 《《地质学报》英文版》1997,71(3):344-354
The structural feature shown on a remote sensing image is a synthetic result ofcombination of the deformations produced during the entire geological history of an area.Therefore, the respective tectonic stress field of each of the different stages in the complexdeformation of an area can be reconstructed in three steps: (1) geological structures formed atdifferent times are distinguished in remote sensing image interpretation; (2) structuraldeformation fields at different stages are determined by analyzing relationships betweenmicrostructures (joints and fractures) and the related structures (folds and faults); and (3)tectonic stress fields at different stages are respectively recovered through a study of the featuresof structural deformation fields in different periods. Circular structures and related circlular and radial joints are correlated in space to con-cealed structural rises. The authors propose a new method for establishing a natural model ofthe concealed structural rises and calculating the tectonic stress field by using quantitative dataof the remote sensing information of circular structures and related linear structures. 相似文献
149.
煤层倾角与覆岩变形破裂分带 总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7
地下采煤中三带(冒落带、裂隙带、弯曲带)高度的判断是预测采空引起地表变形破坏程度的依据。在诸多的影响因素中, 煤层倾角是控制三带高度的最主要因素。建立在实测统计基础上的经验范围值用于三带高度的判断带有一定的人为性。急倾斜煤层中冒落带和裂隙带高度随煤层倾角变化的规律已被褐示[7].通过弹塑性岩石材料的非线性有限元模拟, 本文提出了利用应力重分布图判断中、缓倾角煤层采空区覆岩三带高度的方法, 并应用于实际工程。 相似文献
150.