Stochastic Modelling of the Impact of Flood Protection Measures Along the River Waal in the Netherlands

River flooding is a problem of international interest. In the past few years many countries suffered from severe floods. A large part of the Netherlands is below sea level and river levels. The Dutch flood defences along the river Rhine are designed for water levels with a probability of exceedance of 1/1250 per year. These water levels are computed with a hydrodynamic model using a deterministic bed level and a deterministic design discharge. Traditionally, the safety against flooding in the Netherlands is obtained by building and reinforcing dikes. Recently, a new policy was proposed to cope with increasing design discharges in the Rhine and Meuse rivers. This policy is known as the Room for the River (RfR) policy, in which a reduction of flood levels is achieved by measures creating space for the river, such as dike replacement, side channels and floodplain lowering. As compared with dike reinforcement, these measures may have a stronger impact on flow and sediment transport fields, probably leading to stronger morphological effects. As a result of the latter the flood conveyance capacity may decrease over time. An a priori judgement of safety against flooding on the basis of an increased conveyance capacity of the river can be quite misleading. Therefore, the determination of design water levels using a fixed-bed hydrodynamic model may not be justified and the use of a mobile-bed approach may be more appropriate. This problem is addressed in this paper, using a case study of the river Waal (one of the Rhine branches in the Netherlands). The morphological response of the river Waal to a flood protection measure (floodplain lowering in combination with summer levee removal) is analysed. The effect of this measure is subject to various sources of uncertainty. Monte Carlo simulations are applied to calculate the impact of uncertainties in the river discharge on the bed levels. The impact of the “uncertain” morphological response on design flood level predictions is analysed for three phenomena, viz. the impact of the spatial morphological variation over years, the impact of the seasonal morphological variation and the impact of the morphological variability around bifurcation points. The impact of seasonal morphological variations turns out to be negligible, but the other two phenomena appear to have each an appreciable impact (order of magnitude 0.05–0.1 m) on the computed design water levels. We have to note however, that other sources of uncertainty (e.g. uncertainty in hydraulic roughness predictor), which may be of influence, are not taken into consideration. In fact, the present investigation is limited to the sensitivity of the design water levels to uncertainties in the predicted bed level.     

云南个（旧）-冷（墩）公路K22＋336回头湾段边坡治理工程研究

目前，在我国地质灾害防治及道路建设工程中，岩土锚固施工大多采用单一的拉力型锚索工法。一般锚索索体的长效防腐问题没有得到应有的重视。文章对云南省个旧-冷墩公路边坡工程中所采用的压力分散型锚索工法从设计、试验及成功应用等多方面进行了详细介绍。①在一些复杂地形条件下，锚索防护方案有其独特的经济实用性。②在地基承载力较低的软弱地层中，常用的拉力型锚索无法提供防护工程所需的大吨位锚固力。而有多个受力体的压力分散型锚索则因其对锚固段全长范围内地基承载力的充分利用来提供较大吨位的锚固力；③永久锚索防护工程作为一项具有隐蔽性强特点的结构工程，为保证在其报务年限内锚索能够可靠地工作，在设计阶段，锚索体的长效防腐应为不能忽略的主要考虑因素。在该工程中首次应用了新型高强材料——环氧全喷涂无粘结钢绞线作为锚索体的杆材，较好地解决了永久锚固工程中的锚索防腐问题。     

Mechanism of loading on plates due to explosive detonation

This paper investigates the various mechanisms and parameters that are responsible for delivering impulse to a vehicle that is unfortunate enough to detonate a buried mine. Small scale tests are used to examine the effects of air blast or ejected sand in imparting impulse to a plate that is located above the surface of the saturated soil that contains the explosive. Parameters such as confinement, stand off distance, depth of burial of the explosive, density of the soil, and saturation level of the soil are also examined.     

喀斯特地区旅游开发的自然景观保护--以贵州省绥阳县为例

该文以贵州省绥阳县为例，针对我国西南喀斯特地区旅游开发中自然环境的特点，探讨溶洞景观的保护、喀斯特地表生态环境保护、水体的保护与综合治理等问题。     

试论生态环保厕所技术在云南旅游业发展中的可行性

云南省地处高原,鉴于缺水严重、自然环境脆弱的实际情况,同时,为了突破制约旅游业发展的“旅游厕所”这一瓶颈,云南省现已在走“科技兴旅”的道路,坚持使用高科技、节能环保的生态厕所技术,以确保云南省旅游业持续、快速、健康的发展。由于并非每一种生态环保厕所技术都适用于旅游业,因此,对现今市场上出现的纷繁复杂的生态环保厕所技术进行归类、分析、总结,提出了适应于云南省旅游业发展的生态环保厕所技术类型以及具体的适用场所,进一步指出在选择技术的过程中应考虑的问题。     

旅游环境保护立法初探

旅游对资源与环境的依赖性强,在开发和利用中已经对环境造成不容忽视的破坏和负面影响。在对旅游环境的概念进行界定的基础上,分析了当前中国旅游环境领域立法的必要性,主要从旅游业的发展势态、旅游业对旅游环境的污染与破坏和旅游环境立法的现状3个方面入手,提出了对中国旅游环境立法的一些建议。     

The June 2013 Alberta catastrophic flooding event – part 2: fine‐scale precipitation and associated features

Data obtained from a variety of sources including the Canadian Lightning Detection Network, weather radars, weather stations and operational numerical weather model analyses were used to address the evolution of precipitation during the June 2013 southern Alberta flood. The event was linked to a mid‐level closed low pressure system to the west of the region and a surface low pressure region initially to its south. This configuration brought warm, moist unstable air into the region that led to dramatic, organized convection with an abundance of lightning and some hail. Such conditions occurred in the southern parts of the region whereas the northern parts were devoid of lightning. Initially, precipitation rates were high (extreme 15‐min rainfall rates up to 102 mm h^?1 were measured) but decreased to lower values as the precipitation shifted to long‐lived stratiform conditions. Both the convective and stratiform precipitation components were affected by the topography. Similar flooding events, such as June 2002, have occurred over this region although the 2002 event was colder and precipitation was not associated with substantial convection over southwest Alberta. Copyright © 2016 Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada. Hydrological Processes. © John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

秩亏自由网平差在地铁隧道保护区中的应用

地铁隧道保护区沉降监测网中包含多个基准点,依据不同基准点平差所得结果也不相同。本文引入秩亏自由网平差方法,将所有基准点视为待定参数进行平差,并通过工程实例,验证此方法在地铁隧道保护区沉降观测中有一定的适用性。     

青藏高原闪电和降水气候特征及时空对应关系

基于1998—2013年的TRMM (tropical rainfall measuring mission) 数据,分析青藏高原闪电活动与降水气候特征及时空对应关系,结果表明:青藏高原 (简称高原) 的闪电活动中心在高原中部和东北部,中部最大闪电密度达到6.2 fl·km-2·a-1;但高原降水最活跃的区域是东南部,年降水量超过800 mm。闪电活动和降水随月份均呈现出先西进再东退的特征,但高原东北部强闪电活动区位置几乎不变化。在固定区域闪电和降水月变化具有一致性,活跃期出现在5—9月,呈单峰结构,除西部和东南部外,闪电与降水峰值月份吻合。结合TRMM降水特征 (简称PFs) 资料研究单个闪电表征降水量 (rainyield per flash,RPF) 的空间分布特征表明,闪电活动可以作为高原深对流的指示因子,而RPF可以有效表征深对流系统在整个降水系统中的比例。高原中西部和东北部深对流系统在整个降水系统中的比例最大,而在高原东南部最小,高原东南部的降水更多由暖云降水系统贡献。     

高建筑对周围建筑雷击保护距离的模拟

在已有先导连接参数化方案的基础上,选取近地面层为研究区域,保持方案中其他基本参量不变,通过改变闪电的空间形态,在同一建筑分布的背景下进行多次闪电模拟。研究多个建筑之间的屏蔽作用以及建筑雷击保护距离与建筑相关特征参数之间的关系,结果表明:高建筑对矮建筑具有屏蔽作用,并存在一个临界保护距离,当高、矮建筑高度分别为190 m和165 m,宽度均为20 m时,建筑之间的距离在12 m以内,矮建筑受高建筑完全保护不遭受雷击;建筑之间的距离超过12 m,矮建筑遭雷击次数明显增多。