The expert system for earthquake prediction (I)—the overall design and main structure

The Expert System For Earthquake Prediction (ESEP) is summarized in this paper. ESEP embraces three subsystems: long-middle term prediction system, annual prediction system and middle-short term prediction system. Each of the subsystems is composed of seven modules: the controlling module, the data base module, the expert knowledge base module, the method base module, the fact preparation module, the reasoning and decision-making module and the plotting and displaying module. The reasoning model ESEP/R and the knowledge expression model ESEP/K are set up in the ESEP, and new evidence combinations, CON (confine), W (weigh), and SYN (synthesize), have been proposed. The distinctive features of the ESEP are: (1) systemized; (2) several experts’ knowledge can be synthesized; (3) a large amount of data and experts’ experience is embraced; (4) four reasoning models and the synthetic decision-making technic are adopted; (5) several software environments are used; (6) modularization; and (7) possessing the friendly user interfaces. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,14, 1–8, 1992.     

壳粒磷块岩及其成矿规律

壳粒磷块岩被作为一种独立的重要类型划分出来。壳粒磷块岩的性质从极重要的方面揭示了海相磷块岩的本质特征。本文以生物成矿论为指导,研究了扬子地块晚震旦世陡山沱期磷块岩形成的古地理,并阐述了磷块岩成矿与富集规律。     

新疆尉犁县蛭石矿床成因及矿床模式探讨

本文通过新疆尉犁县蛭石矿床的研究指出,与蛭石成矿密切相关的云母岩是碱性超基性岩经同源高温气液多次反复交代所形成之蚀变岩。并证实,在热液阶段,不能直接形成蛭石矿,只有在风化作用阶段,金(黑)云母经水化之后才铲最终成矿。在搞清成矿地质背景、成矿机制、成矿过程的基础上,确定该蛭石矿床成因类型为:与碱性超基性岩有关的气化—高温热液交代—风化壳型蛭石矿床,并初步构想了该蛭石矿床之成矿模式。     

用Autolisp绘制高精度坐标方格网

通过对AutoCAD填充图案ANSI37的巧用,来完成任意图幅、任意转角的高精度坐标方格网的绘制,同时完成网格线的标注,内图廓、外图廓及图签的绘制,为机助制图提供了一种高精度、快速绘制坐标方格网的好方法。     

用CAPPI和PPI资料测定区域降水量精度比较

应用上海中心气象台７１４数字化天气雷达的体积扫描资料所得的不同高度上的ＣＡＰＰＩ资料和低仰角时ＰＰＩ资料。估算区域降水量并得到降水量分布形势。然后采用平均校准法进行了校准，最后又与用雨量计网测量的区域降水量及其分布形势作了比较，得到一些有意义的结果。     

造山带的网结状构造样式

网结状构造样式是造山带地壳结构的一个重要特征,表现为线状强应变带与夹持其间的透镜状弱应变域规律组合格式。这种网结状型式在几何学上具有尺度不变性,并具三维特征,理论分析和实际观察指出,这种网结状构造样式,是在应变软化作用及变形分解作用控制下递进发育而成的,而造山带地壳结构的不均一性、组成造山带岩石的流变学特征以及变形物理环境,又是控制应变软化及变形分解作用的主要因素。     

新疆天山地震活动图象缺信量Iq值的研究

从信息量的角度出发,研究定量描述地震活动时空分布异常图象的方法,并定义缺信量I_q值来定量分析地震活动在时间轴上或空间上分布图象的异常程度。文中还根据1978～1990年新疆天山部分地区的地震资料,计算出了4条I_q——t曲线,发现在研究的时段和区域内发生的10多次M_s≥5.0级地震,绝大多数有I_q低值异常。     

走向21世纪的地壳形变学--对大陆动力学与地震预测的新推动

监测和预测地震等自然灾害的需要,促进了大地测量学和地球物理学等学科的相互交融.经过30余年的探索,一门地学前沿交叉新学科--"地壳形变学"已初步形成.地壳形变学已拥有空间-地面-深部立体测地系统,具有在多种空间尺度内精确测定现今地壳运动(秒～数十年)和灾害孕育过程的空前强大能力,从而可望击破长期制约现今地球动力学和地震预测的地球空间信息的"瓶颈".在21世纪,地壳形变学将成为推动大陆动力学和地震预报的主要科技动力之一,推进精确定量测定大陆动力学现今过程,限定现今大陆动力学性质并在验证解释地质学模型诸方面发挥特有作用.它将促使地震预测摆脱"粘滞状态",由"经验预测"走向"图像动力学预测";在揭示大陆地震孕育时空过程、判定地震大形势、划定危险区、搜寻和跟踪震源动力学演化过程及研究动力学响应耦合等方面作出新贡献.     

Analyzing multi-year rice-fallow dynamics in Odisha using multi-temporal Landsat-8 OLI and Sentinel-1 Data

ABSTRACT

Sustainable intensification of existing cropland is one of the most viable options for meeting the escalating food demands of the ever-increasing population in the world. Accurate geospatial data about the potential single-crop (rice-fallows) areas is vital for policymakers to target the agro-technologies for enhancing crop productivity and intensification. Therefore, the study aimed to evaluate and understand the dynamics of rice-fallows in the Odisha state of India, using SAR (Sentinel-1) and Optical (Landsat OLI) datasets. This study utilized a decision-tree approach and Principal component analysis (PCA) for the segmentation and separation of different vegetation classes. The estimated overall accuracy of extracted rice-fallow maps was in the range of 84 to 85 percent. The study identified about 2.2, 2.0 and 2.1mha of Rice-Fallows in the years 2015–16, 2016–17, and 2017–18, respectively. The combined analysis (all three years) of rice-fallow maps identified about 1.34mha of permanent rice-fallows, whereas the remaining 0.6–0.8mha area was under the current-fallow category. About 50% of the total permanent rice-fallows were detected in the rainfed areas of Mayurbhanj, Bhadrak, Bolangir, Sundargarh, Keonjhar, Baleswar, Nawarangpur and Bargarh districts. The study also illustrated the time-series profiles of SMAP (soil moisture) datasets for the ten agroclimatic zones of the Odisha, which can be utilized (along with rice-fallow maps) for the selection of crop and cultivars (e.g. short or medium duration pulses or oilseeds) to target the rice fallows. The approach utilized in the current study can be scaled up in similar areas of South and South-east Asia and Africa to identify single-crop areas for targeting improved technologies for enhanced crop productivity and intensification.     

西南地区前兆观测异常特征和地震短期预测方法研究

通过对西南地区1970～2001年39组52次6级以上地震及四川部分5级以上地震震例资料的剖析,进一步研究西南地区各类前兆中、短期异常判据和指标;研究西南地区强震孕育前兆异常由中期向短期(临震)过渡、演化的标志和判据并作物理解释;并进行了西南地区前兆短期预测方法及强震短期预测时、空、强指标和判据的研究和西南地区地下流体新观测方法及灵敏测项的研究。