基于区际负外部性理论的海岸带空间用途管制研究

海岸带是陆海相互作用强烈的特殊界面,其空间利用的负外部性具有典型的跨区域特征,需要以全局性、整体性、系统性的思维实施用途管制。本文引入区际负外部性理论,将研究对象从空间和空间利用转到伴随空间利用所产生的人地（海）关系的演变过程。首先,梳理海岸带空间利用区际负外部性的几种典型表现形式,进而构建海岸带区域系统,并明确了系统间的作用关系;其次,从区域系统作用的视角阐述海岸带空间用途管制的作用机制和具体手段;最后,提出政策建议,以期为海岸带空间用途管制的制度完善提供理论支撑和决策支持。     

海陆分布和地形对1998年夏季风爆发的热力影响

应用1980－1995年5天平均的CMAP降水资料、美国NMC850hPa风、卫星反演的向外长波辐射（OLR）和上部对流层水汽亮温（BT）等资料分析比较了南海夏季风爆发前后的基本特征。结果发现：BT能够反映南海夏季风的爆发及其与周围地区降水的关系，但局地降水信息的反映不够具体；OLR能够比较好的反映热带海洋上的降水，但陆地上的低值OLR可能受到地形的影响，仅仅850hPa风场不能完全确定夏季风的爆发。南海季风转换区域定义在南海的中北部比较合适，这是因为南海夏季风爆发前就存在着长年位于南海南部的带海洋对流性雨带；南海夏季风爆发后西南季风气流和季风雨带从印度洋经孟加拉湾和南海伸向西北太平洋，开始了南亚和东亚夏季风的爆发过程。     

Effects of the Thermal Contrast Between Indo-China Peninsula and South China Sea on the SCS Monsoon Onset

The seasonal and interannual variations of the thermal contrast between Indo-China Peninsula (ICP)and South China Sea (SCS) were analyzed using the pentad mean NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data during 1958-1998 and the pentad mean outgoing long-wave radiation (OLR) data during 1975{1998, along with the effects of such a thermal contrast on the SCS monsoon onset (SCSMO). It is shown that there exists significant seasonal evolution for such a thermal contrast. The surface temperature of ICP is higher than that of SCS from pentad 3 to pentad 25 due to the sensible heating of the ICP. After pentad 25, such a thermal gradient reverses due to the temperature decrease resulted from the convection and rainfall over the ICP from pentad 22 to pentad 23. Furthermore, the above seasonal evolution of the discussed thermal contrast also demonstrates a remarkable interannual change which plays an important role in the SCSMO.On one hand, the reversion happens prior to (or simultaneously with) the SCSMO each year during 1958-1998, thus becoming a precondition for the SCSMO. On the other hand, the earlier (later) the date when the surface temperature of ICP becomes higher (lower) than that of the SCS, the later the SCSMO.     

海岸带地质工作中陆海统筹的方法论探讨

陆海统筹是我国海岸带地质工作的重要方向,但以往的海岸带地质工作通常按陆区和海区分别开展,对如何实现陆海统筹没有形成统一认识。上海作为我国率先开展海岸带地质工作的地区之一,在陆海统筹方面进行了一些有益尝试,积累了一定经验。基于这些实践经验,并结合国内外海岸带地质工作现状,对海岸带地质工作中陆海统筹的方法论进行了探讨,提出了海岸带地质工作中陆海统筹应包含陆海成果一体化和以水体为媒介实现陆海联动的两个基本要求。研究认为: 在外业工作部署上,应发挥陆区河流和海区海岛的中介作用,着眼于区域性而非局部地区的地质成果编制; 在地质环境监测上,以海堤或岸线为纽带对陆区和海区进行同步监测; 在成果图件编制上,为实现陆海成果的有机整合,统一陆海数据标准是关键,在保存数据科学信息的前提下适当简化数据等级的分类。     

The importance of expert knowledge in conservation planning – Comment to an article by C.J. Klein et al.

This paper comments and discusses the article ‘Evaluating the influence of candidate terrestrial protected areas on coral reef condition in Fiji׳ by Klein et al. in Marine Policy 44 2014. Klein et al. integrate land-sea planning by optimising the design of Fiji׳s expanded protected area network to benefit coral reefs, while maintaining a terrestrial network that is representative of Fiji׳s various terrestrial ecosystems. They discuss the benefits of various spatial conservation models compared to a candidate protected area network proposed by Fiji׳s Protected Area Committee (FPAC), which is based on expert knowledge and a scoring system. This paper argues that their analyses are best interpreted as the FPAC network outperforming the models proposed by Klein et al. in protecting terrestrial biodiversity. The FPAC network performs better because it includes data that was not available for spatial modelling, especially the percentage of endemic species per ecosystem and the practicalities of protecting an area earmarked for conservation. This suggests that expert knowledge can be an important resource for conservation planning, especially in developing countries, and that spatial conservation planning should harness this knowledge.     

夏季中国东部地区海陆温差变异及其与降水的关系

利用1957-2010年中国东部（105°E以东）355个站点的温度、降水观测资料和Hadley中心的HadISST海温再分析资料以及EOF等分析方法,分析了中国东部地表气温和邻近海域海表温度的时空变化特征,构建了一个用于表征夏季中国东部与邻近海域纬向海陆热力差异的温差序列,探讨了该序列的变化特征及其与中国东部夏季降水的关系.结果表明：（1）夏季海陆表面温度变化的强信号区分别位于中国黄海、东海北部及邻近海域和长江中下游地区;（2）夏季强信号区的海陆温差序列有明显的年际和年代际变化特征,约为4-6、8和15a的变化周期.此外,在2000年前后7月海陆温差发生明显转折,在1957-2000年期间,海陆温差幅度有下降的趋势,2000年之后则有上升的特点,并且与中国东部降水相关关系也不同;（3）6月份的海陆温差与中国东北大部分地区的降水有明显的正相关关系,7月份则与中国长江中下游及南部地区的降水有显著的负相关关系.这表明夏季中国东部纬向海陆热力差异的变化可能对中国东部的降水有重要的影响.     

INTERANNUAL VARIATION OF INDEX OF EAST ASIAN LAND-SEA THERMAL DIFFERENCE AND ITS RELATION TO MONSOON CIRCULATION AND RAINFALL OVER CHINA*

This paper proposes an index of land-sea thermal difference(ILSTD)that describes its zonal and meridional strength responsible for East Asian monsoon circulation to study its relation to the East Asian monsoon circulation and the summer rainfall over China on an interannual basis.Results are as follows:(1)ILSTD can be used to measure the strength of East Asian summer monsoon in such a way that the strong(weak)ILSTD years are associated with strong(weak)summer monsoon circulation.(2)The index also reflects well summer rainfall anomaly over the eastern part of China.In the strong index years,rain belt is mainly located over the northern China,and serious drought emerges in the Jianghuai valleys and mid-lower reaches of the Changjiang River,along with increase of rainfall in North and South China,but in the weak years it is contrary.(3)Besides,the index has obvious QBO and quasi 4-year oscillations,but the periods and amplitudes have significant changes on an interdecadal basis.     

INTERANNUAL VARIATION OF INDEX OF EAST ASIAN LAND-SEA THERMAL DIFFERENCE AND ITS RELATION TO MONSOON CIRCULATION AND RAINFALL OVER CHINA

This paper proposes an index of land-sea thermal difference(ILSTD)that describes its zonal andmeridional strength responsible for East Asian monsoon circulation to study its relation to the EastAsian monsoon circulation and the summer rainfall over China on an interannual basis.Results are asfollows:(1)ILSTD can be used to measure the strength of East Asian summer monsoon in such away that the strong(weak)ILSTD years are associated with strong(weak)summer monsooncirculation.(2)The index also reflects well summer rainfall anomaly over the eastern part of China.In the strong index years,rain belt is mainly located over the northern China,and serious droughtemerges in the Jianghuai valleys and mid-lower reaches of the Changjiang River,along with increaseof rainfall in North and South China,but in the weak years it is contrary.(3)Besides,the index hasobvious QBO and quasi 4-year oscillations,but the periods and amplitudes have significant changes onan interdecadal basis.     

NUMERICAL SIMULATION EXPERIMENTS OF THE IMPACTS OF LOCAL LAND-SEA THERMODYNAMIC CONTRASTS ON THE SCS SUMMER MONSOON ONSET

1INTRODUCTIONAmongdrivingfactorsfortheEastAsianmonsoonareplanetary-scaleland-seathermodynamiccontrast(e.g.betweentheEurasiancontinentandthePacificOcean)andsub-planetary-scaleone(e.g.betweentheIndochinaandtheSouthChinaSea).ItisovertheSouthChinaSea(SCS)andadjoiningareasthattheEastAsiansummermonsoonfirstbreaksout.ItthenadvancestotheregionsofEastAsiaandSouthAsia.ItisthereforenaturaltofindlocalgeographicandtopographiceffectsoftheSCSregionevidentlyshownontheonsetoftheSCSsummermonsoon…     

台湾海峡海陆风数值模式与数值模拟试验

研制了一个包括水平及垂直扩散、牛顿冷却的二维46层非弹性运动方程组的台湾海峡海陆风数值模式,并用此模式来模拟及研究台湾海峡两岸海陆风的生成与变化特征.模式中考虑了太阳辐射、长波辐射及其日变化、地表向大气的感热与潜热输送以及向土壤层的热传导等.数值计算中采用了分解算法及隐式时间差分方案.用此模式得出的模拟结果与闽东南及台湾海陆风的观测事实比较吻合,表明了此模式能够较好地描述海峡两岸的海陆风变化规律.