Uncertainty of the Linear Trend in the Zonal SST Gradient Across the Equatorial Pacific Since 1881

The change in the zonal sea surface temperature gradient (ZSSTG) across the equatorial Pacific plays an important role in the global climate system. However, there has not yet been a consensual conclusion about the changing ZSSTG at either a short-term (from 20 to 90 years) or a long-term time scale (longer than 90 years) in the literature. In this study, the uncertainty of the trend in ZSSTG for different sub-periods since 1881 was examined using four interpolated datasets and four un-interpolated datasets. It was found that the trend in ZSSTG on the short-term time scale could be significantly influenced by internal variability such as the El Niño–Southern Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. On the long-term time scale, the sign of the ZSSTG trend depends on the dataset used. In particular, it was not possible to draw a uniform conclusion about the secular trends in ZSSTG in recent history, given the high sensitivity of the ZSSTG trends to the period, dataset, and regions used to calculate the trends. Our results imply that it may not be possible to detect the response of ZSSTG to global warming until a longer data record becomes available in the future.     

One‐dimensional consolidation with a threshold gradient: a Stefan problem with rate‐dependent latent heat

During the process of one‐dimensional consolidation with a threshold gradient, the seepage front moves downward gradually, and the problem is indicated as a Stefan problem. The novel feature in this Stefan problem is a latent heat that varies inversely with the rate of the moving boundary. An exact solution for the external load that increases in proportion to the square root of time is constructed using the similarity transformation technique. Computational examples concerning the effect of different parameters on the motion of the seepage front are presented. The exact solution provides a worthwhile benchmark for verifying the accuracy of numerical and approximate methods. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Evaluation of a probabilistic approach to simulation of alkalinity and electrical conductivity at a river bank filtration site

In river bank filtration, impurities present in the river water travel with the bank filtrate towards the pumping well. During this passage, certain types of impurities, such as turbidity, total coliform, and so forth, may get attenuated; however, it is interesting to note that some of the instant raw river water quality parameters, such as alkalinity and electrical conductivity, increase after the passage of water through the porous medium. This occurs because water, when passing through the soil pores, absorbs many of the solutes that cause an increase in alkalinity and electrical conductivity. Measurements at a river bank filtration site for a year showed that alkalinity of 116–32 mg l^?1 in river water increased to 222.4–159.9 mg l^?1 in the river bank filtered water. Likewise, the electrical conductivity increased from 280–131 μS cm^?1 to 462–409.6 μS cm^?1. This study uses a probabilistic approach for investigating the variation of alkalinity and electrical conductivity of source water that varies with the natural logarithm of the concentration of influent water. The probabilistic approach has the potential of being used in simulating the variation of alkalinity and electrical conductivity in river bank filtrate. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于梯度分析法的长江上游水库群供水-发电-环境互馈关系解析

长江上游水资源耦合系统优化调控涉及供水、发电和生态需水等相互竞争、不可公度的调控目标。其供水-发电-环境互馈协变机制难以数学解析和刻画，多维目标效益均衡优化调控难以实施。为此，以多目标优化、运筹学理论及方法为基础，提出了基于梯度分析法的供水-发电-环境两两互馈关系研究方法。通过多目标约束优化方法求解长江上游水库群联合优化调度在供水-发电-环境目标空间的最优解集，并进行插值构造了供水-发电-环境互馈关系多维空间曲面，以此为基础，采用一阶差分近似求解供水对环境和发电对环境偏导函数值，以量化环境对供水变化和发电变化响应的梯度，进而解析环境-供水和环境-发电间互馈协变关系。该方法为水库群优化调度多目标互馈关系研究提供了一种新的思路。     

天山乌鲁木齐河源冰川与空冰斗辐射气候的计算结果

提要 在朝向、坡度和山体遮蔽度影响下,与水平面相比朝北冰川和朝南空冰斗在太阳偏角为15°,0°和-10°时的平均太阳辐射能量损失分别是40.6％和21.0％。1号冰川东支夏季消融期内自然冰雪面辐射场内辐射平衡各分量平均日总量值受地形因素和反射性能的控制而显示出由西北侧向东南侧逐渐降低的带状分布规律。晴朗少云天气下的总辐射和有效辐射的垂直梯度分别是14.52Wm~(-2)/100m和2.77Wm~(-2)/100m。     

云南地区地热基本特征

本文从实测26口井的地热数据中取得14个大地热流值,认为云南地区地热场具有西高东低,并自西往东呈波浪式逐渐变低的趋势,该区具有高地热特征的地质发展历史。由于该区地处世界两大地震带的过渡地区,具有岛弧型的高地热特征,也具有岛弧地带地震活跃的特点,强震多发生在深大断裂带上。该区不同构造单元中的地热场存在的明显不均一性,影响着地震的孕育和地震的发生,地热场、温泉和地震的分布呈良好的对应关系     

线性约束严凸可分规划的对偶梯度法

在[1]及[2]中考虑了原目标函数是强凸的情形,本文考虑更一般的情形,即原目标函数是严凸的,给出了其求解的对偶梯度法;对偶问题可分解成n个一维问题,而一维问题的解可直接得到,从而得到原问题的解,并证明了算法的收敛性。     

天津市250m低层大气风廓线模式的试验研究

本文用天津250m气象塔的风廓线观测资料,检验了M-O相似理论的近地层风廓线模式。结果认为,在中性和不稳定条件下,使用近地层计算得到的L和U_*,M-O相似模式可以较好地推广应用。对稳定层结,用Yokoyama等人提出的U_*一级近似表达式替换常通量层公式中的相应量后,U_*和u/z之间的关系在风向随高度没有明显偏转的层次中仍然成立并且至少可推广应用到120m。     

水压致裂煤层裂缝发育特点的研究

本文对煤岩基本力学性质、煤层水压致裂缝形成条件、裂缝形态以及裂缝开裂角方位等基本理论进行了研究与探讨，通过大量煤岩力学性质测试，证实了试验区目的层煤岩弹性模量低，泊松比较高，脆性大，易破碎，易压缩。文章还得出了目的层煤岩Ｍｏｈｒ断裂准则二次抛物线型包络线，煤层水压致裂裂缝形式判断，裂缝开裂角方位的计算公式以及有关结论。