Mass solubility and aqueous activity coefficients of stable organic chemicals in the marine environment: polychlorinated biphenyls

The solubilities and aqueous activity coefficients of polychlorinated biphenyls were measured in distilled and saline water (30? salinity). Solubilities in distilled water ranged from 3 · 10^?4 g/l for dichlorobiphenyls to 6 · 10^?6 g/l for heptachlorobiphenyls; values in artificial seawater were about five times lower than the corresponding values in distilled water. In both cases, the solubilities decreased regularly with increasing degree of chlorination. The corresponding activity coefficients are inversely proportional to the chlorine content and range from 4 · 10⁷ to 4 · 10⁹ in distilled water and from 3 · 10⁸ to 1.5 · 10¹⁰ in saline water. Both the solubilities and activity coefficients agree well with those predicted from additivity considerations. The physical chemical aspects discussed in this paper can be applied in determining the solubility behavior of other stable organic molecules in the marine environment.     

Comparison of Static,Kinematic and Dynamic Geodetic Deformation Models for Kutlugün Landslide in Northeastern Turkey

Being the cause of the loss of life and damaging property, landslide is an important natural hazard. Therefore, landslides have to be monitored and preventive measures taken accordingly. In Geodesy, landslides can be determined with static, kinematic and dynamic geodetic models. The aim of this study is to develop a dynamic geodetic model for landslides and compare it with static and kinematic geodetic models. A study area was selected in the Northeastern Black Sea Region of Turkey where landslides are the most effective natural hazard. Movements were determined with static, kinematic and dynamic geodetic models using geodetic, geologic and geophysical measurements made in the study area. Groundwater levels changes were regarded as causative forces in the formulation of the dynamic model. The dynamic model delivered more detailed information (direction, values, velocity, acceleration of movements) about landslide movements. It is possible to formulate more realistic strategies about prevention of landslides by using this information. As a result, it can be suggested that dynamic geodetic models are more useful in landslide studies.     

A simplified method for simulation of strong ground motion using finite rupture model of the earthquake source

We present a simplified method to simulate strong ground motion for a realistic representation of a finite earthquake source burried in a layered earth. This method is based on the stochastic simulation method of Boore (Boore, D. M., 1983, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 73, 1865–1894) and the Empirical Greens Function (EFG) method of Irikura (Irikura, K., 1986, Proceedings of the 7th Japan Earthquake symposium, pp. 151–156). The rupture responsible for an earthquake is represented by several subfaults. The geometry of subfaults and their number is decided by the similarity relationships. For simulation of ground motion using the stochastic simulation technique we used the shapping window based on the kinetic source model of the rupture plane. The shaping window deepens on the geometry of the earthquake source and the propagation characteristics of the energy released by various subfaults. The division of large fault into small subfaults and the method for accounting their contribution at the surface is identical to the EGF. The shapping window has been modified to take into account the effect of the transmission of energy released form the finite fault at various boundaries of the layered earth model above the source. In the present method we have applied the correction factor to adjust slip time function of small and large earthquakes. The correction factor is used to simulate strong motion records having basic spectral shape of ² source model in broad frequency range. To test this method we have used the strong motion data of the Geiyo earthquake of 24th March 2001, Japan recorded by KiK network. The source of this earthquake is modelled by a simple rectangular rupture of size 24 × 15 km, burried at a depth of 31 km in a multilayered earth model. This rupture plane is divided into 16 rectangular subfaults of size 6.0 × 3.75 km each. Strong motion records at eight selected near-field stations were simulated and compared with the observed records in terms of the acceleration and velocity records and their response spectrum. The comparison confirms the suitability of proposed rupture model responsible for this earthquake and the efficacy of the approach in predicting the strong motion scenario of earthquakes in the subduction zone. Using the same rupture model of the Geiyo earthquake, we compared the simulated records from our and the EGF techniques at one near-field station. The comparison shows that this technique gives records which matches in a wide frequency range and that too from simple and easily accessible parameters of burried rupture.     

Stochastic analysis of spatial variability in unconfined groundwater flow

In this paper, spatial variability in steady one-dimensional unconfined groundwater flow in heterogeneous formations is investigated. An approach to deriving the variance of the hydraulic head is developed using the nonlinear filter theory. The nonlinear governing equation describing the one-dimensional unconfined groundwater flow is decomposed into three linear partial differential equations using the perturbation method. The linear and quadratic frequency response functions are obtained from the first- and second-order perturbation equations using the spectral method. Furthermore, under the assumption of the exponential covariance function of log hydraulic conductivity, the analytical solutions of both the spectrum and the variance of the hydraulic head produced from the linear system are derived. The results show that the variance derived herein is less than that of Gelhar (1977). The reason is that the log transmissivity is linearized in Gelhars work. In addition, the analytical solutions of both the spectrum and the variance of the hydraulic head produced from the quadratic system are derived as well. It is found that the correlation scale and the trend in mean of log hydraulic conductivity are important to the dimensionless variance ratio.     

利用二维恒虚警进行非均匀噪声背景下的目标检测

针对高频地波雷达中的非均匀噪声环境及各种干扰源时变的特点,提出构建一种时变白化滤波器。先对非均匀噪声环境进行白化处理,然后在一维恒虚警的基础上,采用一种基于多普勒频率和距离的二维恒虚警处理算法。实验结果表明,利用时变白化滤波进行处理后,再在距离和多普勒频率维同时进行恒虚警检测,可以得到较好的检测结果。     

一种基于分割的机载LiDAR点云数据滤波

针对当前滤波算法在处理地形不连续区域或存在复杂建筑物区域时容易过分＂腐蚀＂地形并难以去除一些低矮植被的不足,提出了一种基于分割的机载LiDAR点云滤波算法。首先,对原始点云基于地表连续性进行分割;然后,在移除点数目较小的粗差点集之后采用对分割点集建立缓冲区的方法,区分地面和非地面点集;在较大地物经过迭代分割基本移除之后,使用约束平面的方法移除高度较小的地表附着物以实现滤波。实验结果表明,与经典滤波算法相比,该算法提高了地面点的分类精度,在滤除地物信息的同时能有效地保留地形特征。     

Accuracy of forecasting in a Nordic paper mill's supply chain: A case study

The article compares the accuracy of forecasted and actual supply chain cost and price factors in a Nordic paper mill's sales to customers in two large European countries. Empirical longitudinal research data covering the years between 2002 and 2008 were obtained from a large integrated Finnish paper mill, and consisted of sales volumes, paper prices, variable costs, and transport costs. It was expected that the mill would be able to forecast demand, prices and costs accurately, but the empirical findings showed that the forecasts for paper price, demand, and cost varied from one market to another and were not highly accurate. In addition, the forecasting of gross margins seemed to be very inexact. It is concluded that there is a need for more reliable forecasting methods in the paper industry to anticipate economic development as paper demand and costs change.     

环渤海地区4～10天风速预报中相似预报法的应用

依据逐步相似过滤法和最小相似离度原理,利用NCEP逐日再分析资料、T213数值预报产品和环渤海72站1958—2008年地面观测站风速资料,建立不同因子组合的相似过滤方案,制作环渤海72站4～10天每日4次、日最大风速预报。通过多个相似过滤方案预报准确率检验,确定“最佳”逐步相似过滤方案。经过2007—2008年预报检验表明：每日4次风速预报中,0~2级风速的预报效果最好,4～10天平均TS评分达到67%;日最大风速预报中,3~4级4～10天平均TS评分为54.1%,5级及以上的TS评分为17.1%。在风力不太强的情况下,该方法对于中期风速预报有一定的参考价值。     

一种基于极值检测与自适应滤波的图像去噪算法

标准中值滤波及其一些改进算法对于被低密度脉冲噪声污染图像的处理可取得令人满意的效果,图像被严重污染时,这些算法得到的结果均不理想。针对这一缺陷,基于文献[1]提出的一种滤波算法进行改进。首先,利用极值法对图像进行检测,判断出噪声及非噪声点;其次,设置滤波模板的最小及最大尺寸,对噪声点进行窗口逐渐增大的滤波处理。计算机模拟实验结果及对SAR图像滤波结果表明:该滤波算法在噪声去除及边缘和图像细节保持上优于标准中值滤波及其一些改进算法。