Estimating economic losses of midrise reinforced concrete shear wall buildings in sedimentary basins by combining empirical and simulated seismic hazard characterizations

Studies of recorded ground motions and simulations have shown that deep sedimentary basins can greatly increase the intensity of earthquake ground motions within a period range of approximately 1–4 s, but the economic impacts of basin effects are uncertain. This paper estimates key economic indicators of seismic performance, expressed in terms of earthquake‐induced repair costs, using empirical and simulated seismic hazard characterizations that account for the effects of basins. The methodology used is general, but the estimates are made for a series of eight‐ to 24‐story residential reinforced concrete shear wall archetype buildings in Seattle, WA, whose design neglects basin effects. All buildings are designed to comply with code‐minimum requirements (i.e., reference archetypes), as well as a series of design enhancements, which include (a) increasing design forces, (b) decreasing drift limits, and (c) a combination of these strategies. As an additional reference point, a performance‐based design is also assessed. The performance of the archetype buildings is evaluated for the seismic hazard level in Seattle according to the 2018 National Seismic Hazard Model (2018 NSHM), which explicitly considers basin effects. Inclusion of basin effects results in an average threefold increase in annualized losses for all archetypes. Incorporating physics‐based ground motion simulations to represent the large‐magnitude Cascadia subduction interface earthquake contribution to the hazard results in a further increase of 22% relative to the 2018 NSHM. The most effective of the design strategies considered combines a 25% increase in strength with a reduction in drift limits to 1.5%.     

Is the soil moisture precipitation feedback enhanced by heterogeneity and dry soils? A comparative study

The interaction between the land surface and the atmosphere is a crucial driver of atmospheric processes. Soil moisture and precipitation are key components in this feedback. Both variables are intertwined in a cycle, that is, the soil moisture – precipitation feedback for which involved processes and interactions are still discussed. In this study the soil moisture – precipitation feedback is compared for the sempiternal humid Ammer catchment in Southern Germany and for the semiarid to subhumid Sissili catchment in West Africa during the warm season, using precipitation datasets from the Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS), from the German Weather Service (REGNIE) and simulation datasets from the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and the hydrologically enhanced WRF-Hydro model. WRF and WRF-Hydro differ by their representation of terrestrial water flow. With this setup we want to investigate the strength, sign and variables involved in the soil moisture – precipitation feedback for these two regions. The normalized model spread between the two simulation results shows linkages between precipitation variability and diagnostic variables surface fluxes, moisture flux convergence above the surface and convective available potential energy in both study regions. The soil moisture – precipitation feedback is evaluated with a classification of soil moisture spatial heterogeneity based on the strength of the soil moisture gradients. This allows us to assess the impact of soil moisture anomalies on surface fluxes, moisture flux convergence, convective available potential energy and precipitation. In both regions the amount of precipitation generally increases with soil moisture spatial heterogeneity. For the Ammer region the soil moisture – precipitation feedback has a weak negative sign with more rain near drier patches while it has a positive signal for the Sissili region with more rain over wetter patches. At least for the observed moderate soil moisture values and the spatial scale of the Ammer region, the spatial variability of soil moisture is more important for surface-atmosphere interactions than the actual soil moisture content. Overall, we found that soil moisture heterogeneity can greatly affect the soil moisture – precipitation feedback.     

Risk analysis for clustered check dams due to heavy rainfall

Check dams are commonly constructed around the world for alleviating soil erosion and preventing sedimentation of downstream rivers and reservoirs.Check dams are more vulnerable to failure due to their less stringent flood control standards compared to other dams.Determining the critical precipitation that will result in overtopping of a dam is a useful approach to assessing the risk of failure on a probabilistic basis and for providing early warning in case of an emergency.However,many check dams are built in groups,spreading in several tributaries in cascade forms,comprising a complex network.Determining the critical precipitation for dam overtopping requires a knowledge of its upstream dams on whether they survived or were overtopped during the same storm,while these upstream dams in turn need the information for their upstream dams.The current paper presents an approach of decomposing the dam cluster into(1)the heading dam,(2)border dams,and(3)intermediate dams.The algorithm begins with the border dams that have no upstream dams and proceeds with upgraded maps without the previous border dams until all the dams have been checked.It is believed that this approach is applicable for small-scale check dam systems where the time lag of flood routing can be neglected.As a pilot study,the current paper presents the analytical results for the Wangmaogou Check Dam System that has 22 dams connected in series and parallel.The algorithm clearly identified 7 surviving dams,with the remaining ones being overtopped for a storm of 179.6 mm in 12 h,which is associated with a return period of one in 200 years.     

不同跨高比对多层钢框架内填混凝土深梁结构抗震性能影响

为了研究不同跨高比多层钢框架内填混凝土深梁结构的抗震性能,在钢框架内填混凝土深梁滞回性能试验的基础上,利用ABAQUS对六层纯钢框架（结构一）、钢框架内填跨高比为2混凝土深梁结构（结构二）和钢框架内填跨高比为0.75混凝土深梁结构（结构三）进行弹塑性时程分析。结果表明:内填混凝土深梁使结构整体刚度明显增大;在地震波的作用下,结构二的最大顶点位移降低可达58.3%,结构三的最大顶点位移降低可达89.3%,内填混凝土深梁,结构的抗侧移性能得到了极大改善,且随着深梁跨高比的减小而大幅度提升;结构二滞回曲线饱满,呈现纺锤形,混凝土深梁充分起到了第一道防线作用。经济合理的钢框架内填混凝土深梁结构具有一定的工程应用价值。     

河西走廊春末夏初降水的空间异常分布及年代际变化

利用河西走廊19个气象代表站建站至2002年5～6月降水量资料, 分析了河西走廊春末夏初干旱的基本气候特征; 在利用EOF和REOF方法进行降水空间异常变化分析和气候分区的基础上,讨论了第一时间系数(PC1)及各区代表站降水量的年代际变化规律. 结果表明, 河西走廊春末夏初降水量在第一空间尺度上为全区一致; 在第二空间尺度上可分为3个气候区; 在第三空间尺度上可分为5个自然气候区. 1980年代为近50 a来降水最多的10 a, 1990年代有所减少, 20世纪末至21世纪初有明显增加. 前期冬季欧亚径向环流加强, 亚洲区极涡面积扩大、强度加强, 冷空气活动频繁, 将有利于次年春末夏初河西走廊降水偏多. 欧洲青藏高原华北西太平洋的波列, 特别是东亚大槽的填塞和青藏高原低值系统频繁活动, 造成了500 hPa高空场上"东高西低"的典型多雨流型.     

中国近代北方极端干湿事件的演变规律

Using monthly precipitation and monthly mean temperature, a surface humid index was proposed. According to the index, the distributed characteristics of extreme dryness has been fully analyzed. The results indicated that there is an obvious increasing trend of extreme dryness in the central part of northern China and northeastern China in the last 10 years, which shows a high frequency period of extreme dryness; while a low frequency period in the regions during the last 100 years. Compared with variation trend of the temperature in these regions, the region of high frequent extreme dryness is consistent with the warming trend in the same region.     

青藏高原海拔要素对温度、降水和气候型分布格局的影响

青藏高原平均海拔4 000~5 000 m,由于特殊的地理条件,生态环境较为脆弱,对气候变化非常敏感,并对周围乃至全球的气候产生重要影响。使用1961-2010年青藏高原温度、降水0.5°×0.5°格点数据,以及由GTOPO30数据（分辨率为0.05°×0.05°）经过重采样生成的陆地0.5°×0.5°的数字高程模型DEM,分析了青藏高原温度、降水受海拔要素的影响,并通过青藏高原区域79个气象站的数据进行验证,进而使用柯本气候分类和中国自然地理区划两种方法对青藏高原气候进行划分,探讨青藏高原各分区海拔要素对温度、降水的影响差异以及出现差异的原因。研究表明：青藏高原及其各分区的气温垂直递减率不同,是由于地形起伏不同造成的青藏高原热源效用不同;降水与海拔的关系不同,是由于各区域受控于不同的气候系统,造成干湿度的不同,因而最大降水高度带不同。     

青藏高原北部多温型山谷冰川不同海拔处冰温变化研究 ——以祁连山老虎沟12号冰川为例

冰川温度是表征冰川物理属性和响应气候变化的关键指标。2010年7月至2011年11月在祁连山老虎沟12号冰川积累区（5 040 m）、多年平衡线处（4 900 m）和消融区（4 550 m）开展了活动层（22 m深,1 m间隔）冰温连续观测。2011年10月在冰川积累区4 971 m处钻得165 m深孔获取了115 m深层冰温廓线。研究发现：三个区域活动层下界的深度均在约17 m处,多年平衡线处冰温最低（-7.4℃）,消融区次之（-3.68℃）,积累区活动层下界冰温最高（-2.74℃）且波动最为持续,可能主要与常年积雪覆盖有关。冰温年波动随深度增加均逐渐降低,对气温变化的响应周期亦逐渐增大。与其他冰川最低温相比,老虎沟12号冰川冰温对气候变化响应敏感,过去50年来受全球变暖影响冰温显著增加。积累区深孔冰温显示50 m深度之下冰温呈线性上升,垂直增温率为0.033℃·m^-1,据此推测其底部冰温为0.02℃,主要与底部应变热有关。     

利用深地震反射剖面开展矿集区深部结构的探测:现状与实例

深地震反射剖面技术以其探测精度高的优势被作为岩石圈精细结构研究的先锋技术,并在全球典型矿集区结构探测中发挥了重要作用.为深入研究青藏高原碰撞造山成矿系统深部结构与成矿过程,本文系统总结了深地震反射技术发展现状,梳理了该技术在加拿大、澳大利亚、中国、俄罗斯、瑞典等全球多个国家的典型矿集区的应用实例,归纳总结了地壳深部结构对矿集区控矿因素的影响,阐述了地壳、上地幔深部结构与深部成矿过程的关系.从全球实例看,深地震反射剖面探测成果为大型矿集区的形成提供了深部线索,反射透明区可能是地幔流体向上运移通道,形成矿集区的成矿物质与能量来源,表明地幔物质参与了成矿作用;具有很强反射特征的断裂系统,包括大型断层、滑脱面和剪切带,是成矿流体从下地壳向上迁移的通道;矿集区深地震反射剖面中“亮点”反射可能是火山活动的深部岩浆上涌至中地壳后而形成的残余岩浆囊的反映.揭露精细的矿集区深部结构不但对矿集区构造历史演化的重建具有重要作用,还对未来成矿潜力和前景靶区的确定具有重要指导意义.     

新和地1井复杂地层水泥封孔护壁造斜技术

新和地1井在钻进1314.00～1419.98 m孔段时钻遇巨厚破碎带,地层高度破碎、大倾角、富含水系,孔壁掉块、水敏坍塌现象严重。钻进时孔内阻力大,钻具放不到底,孔内事故多发,破碎带难以钻穿。为处理孔内事故并钻穿巨厚破碎带,采用水泥封孔护壁造斜技术。受孔内复杂因素影响,特别是1358.76～1396.46 m破碎带内水系对水泥浆的稀释和冲蚀破坏作用,前期多次水泥封孔失败,浪费了大量物资及工期。现场通过试验,总结出了一套有针对性的、实用的技术方案,解决了现场的水泥封孔技术难题,提高了水泥封孔护壁造斜的成功率。新和地1井深孔复杂地层水泥封孔护壁造斜技术对今后施工类似工程具有一定的参考意义。