Prediction of oil or gas pool sizes when discovery record is available

The Upper Devonian Bashaw reef play of the Western Canada Basin was used to demonstrate: (1) estimation of pool size distribution by means of a discovery model, (2) the usefulness of a feedback mechanism in petroleum resources evaluations, and (3) enhancement of reliability by reducing uncertainty associated with estimates. The feedback mechanism presented herein allows us to challenge geological interpretations. For example, given the second largest pool size, the largest pool size can be estimated, and vice versa. In evaluations of petroleum resources, the uncertainty inherited from superpopulations is inevitably associated with the estimates. This type of uncertainty can be reduced to a certain extent if additional information is included in the estimation procedures and, consequently, the reliability of the estimates is enhanced. The additional information used may, for example, be the geological interpretation of a particular play. To achieve maximum effectiveness, resource evaluation methods should possess these types of flexibility. This study also estimated, with a 90% probability, that the remaining potential in the Bashaw reef play ranges from 32 to 50 millions of cubic meters (200 to 300 MM bbl) of oil in place.     

一次后向传播对流风暴特征及传播机制

利用常规观测资料、FY 4A气象卫星红外云图以及多普勒天气雷达资料，分析了2019年5月17日夜间发生在京津冀中部伴有强冰雹、短时强降水和短时大风的强对流天气过程。利用VDRAS资料与国家自动站资料进一步揭示对流风暴形成的环境条件以及后向传播的机制。结果表明：在有利于强对流发生发展的大尺度环流背景场下，京津冀中部的对流系统迅速发展。前期京津一带的强对流天气形成较强的东北风冷池出流，与渤海湾的东南气流交汇，在廊坊北京交界一带形成了向南移动的地面辐合线,并触发了对流。由于新生风暴单体与成熟风暴之间的正反馈作用，使得在廊坊北部形成东西向带状风暴系统，造成对流风暴不断向西传播。向西传播的风暴与西北东南向的平流共同作用，最终导致风暴运动方向为西南方向，成为典型的后向传播风暴。     

黔南坳陷海相优质烃源岩的生烃潜力及时空分布

黔南坳陷典型古油气藏的精细解剖对南方海相油气勘探有借鉴意义.本文利用沉积、有机岩石学和地球化学等综合手段,建立了黔南坳陷麻江古油藏、凯里残余油气藏地区和雪峰隆起西缘的二叠系-震旦系地球化学综合剖面,重点探讨了该地区优质烃源岩的生烃潜力和时空分布.黔东南地区,纵向自震旦系至二叠系均有烃源岩发育,其中早寒武世初期和二叠纪发育有两套优质烃源岩,以下寒武统盆地相、斜坡相的黑色页岩发育最好,有机质丰度高(TOC普遍大于2%),类型好(偏腐殖型),厚度大,是气候变暖、海平面上升和生物大爆发等全球性重大地质事件的耦合作用下,由热液活动、上升洋流等共同引起的高古生产力和缺氧环境控制的产物,是本地区大中型油气田形成的主要物质基础.二叠纪盆地相和泻湖相中发育的优质烃源岩对黔中隆起及其周缘地区油气成藏也具有重要作用.     

The modeling of carbon isotope kinetics and its application to the evaluation of natural gas

The modeling of carbon isotope kinetics of natural gas is an issue driving pioneering research in the oil and gas geochemistry in China and internationally. Combined with the sedimentary burial history and basin geothermal history, the modeling of carbon isotope kinetics provides a new and effective means for the determination of the origin and accumulation history of natural gas pools. In this paper, we introduce themodeling of carbon isotope kinetics of natural gas formation and its applications to the assessment of natural gas maturity, the determination of the gas source, the history of gas accumulation, and the oil-gas ratio. It is shown that this approach is of great value for these applications. The carbon isotopic characteristics of natural gas are not only affected by the gas source and maturity of the source rock, but also are related to the accumulation condition and geothermal gradient in a basin. There are obvious differences in the characteristics of carbon isotope ratios between instantaneous gas and cumulative gas. Different basins have different kinetic models of carbon isotope fractionation, which depends on the gas source condition, the accumulation history and the sedimentary-tectonic history. Since the origin of natural gas in the superimposed basin in China is very complicated, and the natural gas pool is characterized by multiphase and variable gas-sources, this paper may provide a new perspective on the study and evaluation of natural gas.     

重论"上生下储"与"侧向运移"

油气运移是油气藏形成与分布研究的基础．随着生油层理论的建立和发展,油气“上生下储”与“侧向运移”已经成为解释生油层与储集层关系的金科玉律．随着世界范围内油气勘探实践的积累和油气形成与分布研究,特别是对基岩油气藏勘探研究的不断深入,上述运移途径需要重新加以认识。     

银根-额济纳旗盆地天草凹陷构造-沉积体系演化及油气成藏条件分析

天草凹陷位于银根—额济纳旗盆地白垩纪断陷盆地群的西北部,经历了早白垩世断陷发生、发展阶段,晚白垩世坳陷阶段,第三纪到第四纪挤压抬升等主要的构造演化发展阶段。其中,第一阶段是形成盆地沉积建造的主要时期,沉积了2000～3000m的早白垩世沉积,其间经历了两次大的湖侵、湖退过程,对应沉积了两套浅湖-半深湖相烃源岩和扇三角洲相砂体。天草凹陷油源、储层、保存、圈闭配套匹配以及油气运聚等油气成藏条件好,用类比法和盆地模拟法计算的凹陷总资源量的期望值为0.89亿吨。下白垩统巴音戈壁组上部是主要的含油层系,位于凹陷东西两侧的巴勒断阶带、哈尔构造带是天草凹陷油气勘探的重要领域。     

沙坡头地区生物土壤结皮-土壤系统生长季氮矿化动态

以腾格里沙漠东南缘沙坡头天然植被区藻地衣混生结皮和无结皮土壤为对象,采用野外原状土柱封顶埋管法,研究土壤硝态氮、无机氮、净硝化速率和净氮矿化速率的季节动态特征。结果表明:藻地衣混生结皮和无结皮土壤有效氮含量和净氮转化速率存在明显的季节动态,表现为生长季高峰期 > 生长季初期,夏季7月和8月土壤有效氮和净氮转化速率最大;两个样地土壤在生长季不同时期有效氮和净氮转化速率也存在差异。生长季初期,藻地衣混生结皮和无结皮土壤硝态氮和无机氮含量无显著差异,且温度是影响土壤氮素转化的关键环境因子。生长季高峰期,两个样地土壤有效氮含量和净硝化速率均表现为无结皮 > 藻地衣混生结皮,且水分和温度分别是影响土壤氮硝化和矿化过程的关键环境因子。由此可见,藻地衣结皮的繁衍在一定程度上抑制了土壤氮的硝化过程,因而可以减少养分的散失,是养分贮存的重要机制。     

印度洋-太平洋暖池年代际变化及其大气响应

定义了印度洋-太平洋暖池的强度变化指数和面积变化指数,分析了其年代际变化的特征。结果表明：20世纪40年代以前,暖池强度和面积基本没有明显的变化趋势;40-80年代,有一个相对较小的增加趋势;80年代以后至2000年增加的趋势加大。将水平风速分解为无辐散分量和无旋分量,分析了暖池上空大气环流对该暖池年代际变化的响应,发现尽管暖池上空大气环流对该暖池年代际变化的响应并不十分明显,但在特定的季节和特定的对流层高度上这种响应也是明显的。     

The challenge of modeling pool–riffle morphologies in channels with different densities of large woody debris and boulders

Studies on pool morphologies include reports of over 80% or 90% of pools being associated with structural controls and large obstructions that include boulders, bedrock outcrops and large woody debris (LWD). A Monte Carlo simulation approach and developmental computer model was created to predict pool formation, spacing and the percentage length covered by pools, riffles, scour holes and runs based on input data that include channel slope, width, the number of small and large boulders, and the number of 10–30 cm, 30–60 cm and >60 cm pieces of wood. The statistical‐empirical model is founded on the idea that boulders, bedrock outcrops and large woody debris provide a physical framework that then controls local water‐surface slopes, velocity patterns and the locations of pools and riffles. The spacing values of individual types and sizes of obstructions are modeled as log‐normal distributions with separate distributions for each obstruction type. Pools are assigned different probabilities of development depending on the obstruction type. Pool and riffle lengths used to create the subsequent morphology follow their own slope‐dependent, log‐normal trends. A minimum distance develops between successive pools because of the backwater and turbulent conditions needed for pool formation. The total number and spacing of pools, riffles and scour holes thus reflects the number and locations of obstructions and characteristics of the pool–riffle couplet. The simulation model accurately captures the number of pools in the modeled data range at 65% of all the verification field sites, and 86% of the verification field sites with a more limited range of width and slope characteristics. Lower levels of prediction capabilities are associated with modeled numbers of scour holes and log jams. The model accurately mimics some statistical attributes of pool spacing, and future versions of the model could be developed to improve overall predictive capabilities. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

塔里木盆地顺9井区柯坪塔格组下段沉积微相与储层展布

近期在塔里木盆地顺托果勒地区顺9井发现了下志留统柯坪塔格组下段原生油藏。通过岩心、测井和三维地震综合解释认为：柯坪塔格组下段沉积期间,顺托果勒地区经历了半深海-浅海-三角洲沉积过程,油层砂岩属于柯坪塔格组下段上部的由北向南的三角洲河口坝与分流河道沉积。南部附近的塔中隆起虽然距顺9井较近,但并未提供陆源碎屑物质。由于后期构造南抬北降,所以油藏区现今构造属于北倾缓坡背景,其上局部发育低幅度构造。圈闭类型主要为三角洲砂体岩性圈闭,其次为低幅度构造圈闭和岩性构造复合圈闭。有利圈闭区位于三角洲前缘主砂体发育带和局部构造圈闭叠合区。