Analysis of the Trends of Thunderstorms in 1951–2007 in Jiangsu Province

Based on the 1951–2007 thunderstorms in Jiangsu, a study is conducted for their climate trends, periodicity, spatiotemporal patterns, and the distributions of the first and last days of the thunderstorms at different guarantee rates (GRs) using climate tendency rate, wavelet analysis, and GR for diagnosis. Results suggest that the inter-annual number of thunderstorm days (TSDs) exhibits a decreasing trend in this province. The trend is displayed mainly in the decreasing TSD number in summer and autumn except in spring, when the variation is not significant in the study period. In this province, the TSD number declines by ~2 days per 10 years. On an inter-annual basis, the pronounced positive departures of the number take place chiefly in the early 1960s, the late 1960s to the early-mid-1970s, the late 1980s, and the late 1990s compared with the negative anomalies dominant in the late 1970s to the mid-1980s, the mid-to-late-1990s, and the late 1990s to 2007. There are vast differences in the initial and ending days at diverse GRs in different areas of the province. At 50% GR, the earliest (last) days occur from mid-March to early April (early to late September) while at 80% GR, the initial (last) days are from late March to early May (early to late October). For the distribution of periods, the periods >8–10 years are relatively stable for the entire province. Based on 1951–2007 period analysis, the region north (south) of the Huaihe River experiences TSDs less (more) than normal days in recent years.     

Spatial and Temporal Distribution and Variations in the Near-surface Soil Freezing Days across China, 1956-2006

Using surface soil daily minimum temperature from 845 meteorological stations across China, the long-term (1971-2000) mean and spatial distribution of the near-surface soil freezing days were estimated with annual values of the number of near surface soil freezing days. The time series for the number of freezing days were constructed and compared with air temperatures in the same period.Resultsshowed that long term mean value in the number of the near surface soil freezing days increased with the increasing latitudes and altitudes over China. Near-surface soils were frozen for more than 200 days in the Qinghai Tibet Plateau, northern Xinjiang and northeast of China. The boundaries of permafrost zones coincide with the contour of (220±10) days of near-surface soil freezing. Using the mean number of 15 days of near-surface soil freezing as criterion, we found that the southern boundary of seasonally frozen ground is around the 25°N line, and the regions south of 22°N are essentially unfrozen regions. The time series of the number of freezing days showed a significant linear trend with change with a slope of -0.22days/year over a period from 1956 through 2006. After the 1990s, the linear slope was up to -1.02 days / year, indicating that the rate of decrease in the number of near-surface soil freezing days has accelerated. Changes in the number of near surface soil freezing were in a negative correlation with air temperature, i.e., the number of near-surface soil freezing days decreases with increase in air temperature.Backgroundcolor represents the contour values of the departure of near-surface soil freezing days from the 1971-2000 mean; Black dashed line is the boundary of permafrost regions, red dashed line is the boundary between frozen and unfrozen ground regions in China     

Spatial distributions and interannual variations of snow cover over China in the last 40 years

By using the observational snow data of more than 700 weather stations,the interannual temporal and spatial characteristics of seasonal snow cover in China were analyzed.The results show that northern Xinjiang,northeastern China-Inner Mongolia,and the southwestern and southern portions of Tibetan Plateau are three regions in China with high seasonal snow cover and also an interannual anomaly of snow cover.According to the trend of both the snow depth and snow cover days,there are three changing patterns for the seasonal snow cover:The first type is that both snow depth and snow cover days simultaneously increase or decrease;this includes northern Xinjiang,middle and eastern Inner Mongolia,and so on.The second is that snow depth increases but snow cover days decrease;this type mainly locates in the eastern parts of the northeastern plain of China and the upper reaches of the Yangtze River.The last type is that snow depth decreases but snow cover days increase at the same time such as that in middle parts of Tibetan Plateau.Snow cover in China appears to have been having a slow increasing trend during the last 40 years.On the decadal scale,snow depth and snow cover days slightly increased in the 1960s and then decreased in the 1970s;they again turn to increasing in the 1980s and persist into 1990s.     

我国沙尘暴发生日数的空间分布格局

根据全国近30 a的沙尘暴记录,运用分形分析得出,在不同的降水量区域,沙尘暴的发生规律明显不同。中国北方沙尘暴发生日数平均为4.4 d·a-1。年降水量≤305 mm的地区沙尘暴发生日数最多,平均为9.9 d·a-1,这是荒漠和半荒漠地区,主要是我国传统的畜牧区;305 mm<年降水量<570 mm的地区平均为4.0 d·a-1,这是草原区,主要是传统的农牧交错带。年降水量≥570 mm的地区为0.4 d·a-1,主要是我国的农耕区。305 mm<年降水量<570 mm的区域,沙尘暴发生的频率随降水的变化幅度最大,为4.1,年降水量≤305 mm地区,沙尘暴随降水的变化幅度最小,为0.3。分析认为,我国沙尘暴危害的防治需要构建牧区—农牧交错带—农区生态农业体系。     

东江流域枯水期最长连续无降水日数的变化特征

利用1956-2008年东江流域各降雨站点逐日降雨资料,建立枯水期最长连续无降水日数时间序列（LCDD）,采用经验模态分解（EMD）方法分析该序列的多尺度振荡变化及趋势变化,应用Mann-Kendall法识别突变点,采用R／S分析方法探讨变化趋势的持续性特征,并初步分析LCDD变化的可能原因。结果表明：近53年来,最长...     

广西冬寒日数的气候变化特征及其与500hpa高度场的关系

在统计广西86个气象站历年冬寒日数的基础上,分析了平均冬寒日数、最多和最少冬寒日数的地区分布.用聚类分析方法,初步将广西冬寒日数划分为北部、南部、左右江河谷和沿海4个区.对广西8大站冬寒日数的气候变化特征及其与500hPa位势高度场的关系进行了分析,并用逐步回归方法建立了预测模型.     

1980～～2014年中国中东部持续性霾天气的多尺度变化特征

对1980～2014年中国中东部地区324个台站的持续性霾天气的时空变化和相关气象影响因子进行分析，结果表明:中东部地区年平均持续性霾事件和其在所有霾事件的贡献比例逐年增加，增长率分别为0.79 (10 a)-1和2.7% (10 a)-1。主要表现为3个大值区:华北平原地区（包括山西省、京津冀地区）、长江三角洲和四川盆地东部，增加最显著的区域位于黄淮地区，增长率分别为6.3 (10 a)-1、13.95 d (10 a)-1。1月是持续性霾事件的高发月，月均2.56 d。夏季和秋季持续性霾事件增加最为明显，增长率分别为0.38 (10 a)-1和0.46 (10 a)-1。不利的气象条件，如静风日数的增加，风速和大风日数的减少，以及不利的环流形势，如东亚冬季风的减弱，都可能造成持续性霾天气的增加和异常维持。     

乌鲁木齐及周边城市空气质量变化特征及影响因素分析

利用美英等国5个海气耦合气候模式对黑龙江省(主要包括哈尔滨、齐齐哈尔、牡丹江和佳木斯4个地区)年、季平均气温前后近100 a进行模拟和预测结果,预估黑龙江省哈尔滨、齐齐哈尔、牡丹江和佳木斯4个城市气候变暖情景下未来100 a的采暖降温气候条件.可以为黑龙江省适应未来气候变化提供依据,为政府决策和能源公司做长远规划提供参考.     

黑河中游夏季昼夜水汽同位素特征及水汽来源分析

基于2012年6～8月的实测水汽同位素数据及相关气象数据,对黑河中游夏季昼夜的同位素基本特征、水汽来源方向及潜在蒸发源地进行了研究。结果表明:空气水汽线斜率白天大于夜晚和水汽过量氘值白天大于夜晚,综合说明白天局地蒸发较夜晚强烈;夏季受西风水汽影响显著。其中,6月主要受西风水汽和北冰洋水汽影响,7、8月主要受西风水汽和东南方向水汽影响,且8月受东南方向水汽影响最为明显;水汽运移路径上下垫面地形和气压带移动会影响水汽后向轨迹高度,西北方向上水汽输送通道较顺畅,风速较大,有利于水汽的输送;水汽蒸发源地主要集中在研究区周围及以东、以北部,其次是西北部。绿洲是主要的水汽蒸发源地,其次是城市和河流,白天较夜晚局地蒸发强烈且面积大。     

1961-2005年华东地区高温气候特征

Based on the daily maximum temperature data covering the period 1961-2005, temporal and spatial characteristics and their changing in mean annual and monthly high temperature days (HTDs) and the mean daily maximum temperature (MDMT) during annual and monthly HTDs in East China were studied. The results show that the mean annual HTDs were 15.1 and the MDMT during annual HTDs was 36.3℃ in the past 45 years. Both the mean annual HTDs and the MDMT during annual HTDs were negative anomaly in the1980s and positive anomaly in the other periods of time, oscillating with a cycle of about 12-15 years. The mean annual HTDs were more in the southern part, but less in the northern part of East China. The MDMT during annual HTDs was higher in Zhejiang, Anhui and Jiangxi provinces in the central and western parts of East China. The high temperature process (HTP) was more in the southwestern part, but less in northeastern part of East China. Both the HTDs and the numbers of HTP were at most in July, and the MDMT during monthly HTDs was also the highest in July. In the first 5 years of the 21st century, the mean annual HTDs and the MDMT during annual HTDs increased at most of the stations, both the mean monthly HTDs and the MDMT during monthly HTDs were positive anomalies from April to October, the number of each type of HTP generally was at most and the MDMT in each type of HTP was also the highest.