Charge analysis on lightning discharges to the ground in Chinese inland plateau (close to Tibet)

Since the summer of 1996, scientists from China and Japan have conducted a joint observation of natural cloud-to-ground lightning discharges in the Zhongchuan area that is located close to Qinghai-Xizang (Tibet) Plateau, China. It has been found that the long-duration of intracloud discharge processes, just before the first return stroke, lasted more than 120 ms for 85% of cloud-to-ground flashes in this area, with a mean duration of 189.7 ms and a maximum of 300 ms. We present the results of charge sources neutralized by four ground flashes and two intracloud discharge processes, just before the first return stroke, by using the data from a 5-site slow antenna network synchronized by GPS with 1 s time resolution. The result shows that the altitudes of the neutralized negative charge for three negative ground flashes were between 2.7 to 5.4 km above the ground, while that of neutralized positive charges for one positive ground flash and one continuing current process were at about 2.0 km above the ground. The comparison with radar echo showed that the negative discharges initiated in the region greater than 20 dBZ or near the edge of the region with intense echoes greater than 40 dBZ, while positive discharge initiated in the weak echo region.     

东亚副热带季风特征及其指数的建立

基于大气对流活动和非绝热加热的分析,给出东亚夏季风区域变化特征,客观地确定东亚副热带季风及热带季风对流强度,并由此建立其与大尺度季风环流的内在联系,提出分别用所对应区域经向风垂直切变来构造季风指数.对比分析显示,上述季风指数在反映夏季环流和降水等方面效果显著,能很好地刻划东亚夏季风强度.同时指出,东亚副热带季风指数与西太平洋副热带高压及长江中下游降水密切相关,在空间场上表现出东亚/太平洋型(EAP型)遥相关特征.高指数年副高偏南,长江中下游为涝;低指数年则相反.     

The Uncertainty of Mesoscale Numerical Prediction of Heavy Rain in South China and the Ensemble Simulations?

In the context of non-hydrostatic MM5 version we have explored the impact of convective parameterization schemes on uncertainty in mesoscale numerical prediction of South China heavy rain and mesoscale heavy rainfall short-range ensemble simulation by using two kinds of physics perturbation methods through a heavy rain case occurring on June 8, 1998 in Guangdong and Fujian Provinces. The results show the physical process of impacts of convective schemes on heavy rainfall is that different latent heat of convective condensation produced by different convective schemes can make local temperature perturbation, leading to the difference of local vertical speed by the intrinsic dynamic and thermodynamic processes of atmosphere,and therefore, making difference of the timing, locations and strength of mesh scale and subgrid scale precipitation later. New precipitations become the new source of latent heat and temperature perturbation,which finally make the dynamic and thermodynamic structures different in the simulations. Two kinds of methods are used to construct different model version stochastically. The first one is using different convective parameterization and planetary boundary layer schemes, the second is adjusting different parameters of convective trigger functions in Grell scheme. The results indicate that the first ensemble simulations can provide more uncertainty information of location and strength of heavy rainfall than the second. The single determinate predictions of heavy rain are unstable; physics ensemble predictions can reflect the uncertainty of heavy rain, provide more useful guidance and have higher application value.Physics ensembles suggest that model errors should be taken into consideration in the heavy rainfall ensembles. Although the method of using different parameters in Grell scheme could not produce good results, how to construct the perturbation model or adjust the parameter in one scheme according to the physical meaning of the parameter still needs further investigation. The limitation of the current study is that it is based on a single case and more cases will be addressed in the future researches.     

Convective Bursts Episode of the Rapidly Intensified Typhoon Mujigae(2015)

Convective burst(CB) characteristics at distinct stages of a rapidly intensified Typhoon Mujigae(2015), are investigated based on a 72-h simulation. The spatial features show that almost all CB elements develop in the eyewall. The number of CBs in the inner-core region within a 100 km radius—which account for a large proportion of the total CBs, with a sharp increase about 6 h before the onset of rapid intensification(RI)—provides some indication of the RI of the typhoon. The CBs during pre-RI and RI are examined from dynamic and thermodynamic viewpoints. The combination of lower-level convergent inflow and upper-level divergent outflow pushes a relay-race-like transmission of convective activity, favorable for the development of deep convection. A double warm-core structure is induced by the centripetal outflow sinking and warming associated with CBs, which directly accelerates RI by a sudden decrease in hydrostatic pressure. By utilizing the convection activity degree(CAD) index derived from the local total energy anomaly, a correlation formula between CBs and CAD is deduced.Furthermore, an intense CAD(ICAD) signal threshold(with a value equal to 100) to predict CBs is obtained. It is verified that this ICAD threshold is effective for estimating the occurrence of a CB episode and predicting RI of a typhoon. Therefore,this threshold may be a valuable tool for identifying CB episodes and forecasting rapidly intensified typhoons.     

对流参数在强对流天气潜势预测中的作用

利用2011-2015年6-8月聊城机场逐日逐时常规地面观测资料和邢台站、章丘站逐日常规高空探测资料,计算得到39个对流参数。在对流参数与强对流天气样本相关系数的显著性检验基础上,根据对流参数在强对流天气样本和无强对流天气样本中值域分布特征,采用盒状图和技巧评分的方法选取了具有预报意义的章丘站12个对流参数和邢台站8个对流参数。通过对不同类型对流参数的指示作用进行分析,根据各对流参数在各月强对流天气样本中的阈值,确定了聊城地区强对流天气预报的判定指标。采用隶属函数转换法,建立聊城地区夏季强对流天气预报模型,经实况拟合检验,准确率达60%以上,效果较好。

     

江淮夏季对流云合并发生的天气学条件

应用NCEP再分析资料,根据2005—2006年江淮地区夏季33个对流云合并的个例发生的条件和环流背景分析研究,得出了对流云合并发生的5种天气系统类型：华北槽前型、华北槽后型、副高内部型、副高外部型和东风系统型;不同的天气系统类型触发对流云合并的热力学和动力学物理条件也不同;山区地形对地面气温和能量的影响与对流云的发生和合并有密切关系。     

A voxel-based fine-scale 3D landscape pattern analysis using laser scanner point clouds

The landscape pattern metrics can quantitatively describe the characteristics of landscape pattern and are widely used in various fields of landscape ecology. Due to the lack of vertical information, 2D landscape metrics cannot delineate the vertical characteristics of landscape pattern. Based on the point clouds, a high-resolution voxel model and several voxel-based 3D landscape metrics were constructed in this study and 3D metrics calculation results were compared with that of 2D metrics. The results showed that certain quantifying difference exists between 2D and 3D landscape metrics. For landscapes with different components and spatial configurations, significant difference was disclosed between 2D and 3D landscape metrics. 3D metrics can better reflect the real spatial structure characteristics of the landscape than 2D metrics.     

基于共有单平面的点云拼接技术研究

提出基于共有单平面的点云拼接技术。首先进行共有平面的提取、拟合,精确计算平面的法向量|再运用平面的法向量信息,求取旋转角构造旋转矩阵|最后通过平面的中心点进行坐标平移,完成点云拼接。分别通过模拟数据和实验数据验证了该算法的正确性。     

车载激光扫描数据路坎点云提取方法

车载激光扫描系统能够快速准确地获取街道环境的点云数据,但由于扫描点云的点密度高、数据量大、空间分布不均匀、地物相互遮挡及城市街道环境复杂等特点,难以直接从原始点云数据中提取出路坎点云。本文首先通过分析路坎点云的空间分布特征和局部几何特征,构建包含相对高程、法向量方向、多尺度高程差及多尺度高程方差的点云特征向量;然后,采用SVM提取城市街道环境车载激光扫描数据中的路坎点云,并对提取结果进行聚类去噪,优化路坎点云。最后,通过Street Mapper 360系统和Lynx Mobile Mapper V100 系统采集的4份不同城市街道环境车载激光扫描数据对本文方法进行验证,其中路坎点云提取结果的完整度均超过了94.99%、准确度均超过91.88%、精度亦均达到了90.55%以上。实验结果表明,本文方法能够精确地提取复杂城市街道环境中规则或不规则的路坎点云,且具有较强的稳健性,适用于各类复杂的城市街道环境。