河北省褐煤资源赋存分布特征与勘查开发利用前景分析

河北省辖区内赋存、分布的褐煤资源形成于早白垩世和第三纪，但由于煤层顶底板岩石固结程度差，建井开采时井巷变形严重，维护困难，致使大量褐煤资源未得以开发利用。根据已有资料分析，褐煤含煤区地质构造条件简单、水文地质条件简单、主要呵采煤层顶板以泥岩或炭质泥岩为主，岩石致密，透气性差。褐煤本身透气性好，燃点低，没有粘结性，挥发分高．受热容易膨胀破裂，诸多因素都表明适合采用煤炭地下气化的开采方式进行开发利用，因此有必要加强我省褐煤资源的地质勘查工作和煤炭地下气化工艺的研究，为今后褐煤开发利用奠定基础。     

Turbidite bed thickness distributions: methods and pitfalls of analysis and modelling

Turbidite bed thickness distributions are often interpreted in terms of power laws, even when there are significant departures from a single straight line on a log–log exceedence probability plot. Alternatively, these distributions have been described by a lognormal mixture model. Statistical methods used to analyse and distinguish the two models (power law and lognormal mixture) are presented here. In addition, the shortcomings of some frequently applied techniques are discussed, using a new data set from the Tarcău Sandstone of the East Carpathians, Romania, and published data from the Marnoso‐Arenacea Formation of Italy. Log–log exceedence plots and least squares fitting by themselves are inappropriate tools for the analysis of bed thickness distributions; they must be accompanied by the assessment of other types of diagrams (cumulative probability, histogram of log‐transformed values, q–q plots) and the use of a measure of goodness‐of‐fit other than R², such as the chi‐square or the Kolmogorov–Smirnov statistics. When interpreting data that do not follow a single straight line on a log–log exceedence plot, it is important to take into account that ‘segmented’ power laws are not simple mixtures of power law populations with arbitrary parameters. Although a simple model of flow confinement does result in segmented plots at the centre of a basin, the segmented shape of the exceedence curve breaks down as the sampling location moves away from the basin centre. The lognormal mixture model is a sedimentologically intuitive alternative to the power law distribution. The expectation–maximization algorithm can be used to estimate the parameters and thus to model lognormal bed thickness mixtures. Taking into account these observations, the bed thickness data from the Tarcău Sandstone are best described by a lognormal mixture model with two components. Compared with the Marnoso‐Arenacea Formation, in which bed thicknesses of thin beds have a larger variability than thicknesses of the thicker beds, the thinner‐bedded population of the Tarcău Sandstone has a lower variability than the thicker‐bedded population. Such differences might reflect contrasting depositional settings, such as the difference between channel levées and basin plains.     

Theory and application for retrieval and fusion of spatial and temporal quantitative information from complex natural environment

This paper briefly presents the research progress of the State Major Basic Research Project 2001CB309400, “Theory and Application for Retrieval and Fusion of Spatial and Temporal Quantitative Information from Complex Natural Environment”. Based on the rapid advancement of synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imagery technology, information theory of fully polarimetric scattering and applications in polarimetric SAR remote sensing are developed. To promote the modeling of passive microwave remote sensing, the vector (polarized) radiative transfer theory (VRT) of complex natural media such as inhomogeneous, multi-layered and 3-dimensional VRT is developed. With these theoretical progresses, data validation and retrieval algorithms for some typical events and characteristic parameters of earth terrain surfaces, atmosphere, and oceans from operational and experimental remote sensing satellites are studied. Employing remote sensing, radiative transfer simulation, geographic information systems (GIS), land hydrological process, and data assimilation, the Chinese land data assimilation system (CLDAS) is established. Towards the future development of China’s microwave meteorological satellites, employing remote sensing data of currently available SSM/I (special sensor microwave/imager), AMSU (advanced microwave sounding unit), MTI (microwave temperature imager), etc., with ground-based measurements, several operational algorithms and databases for atmospheric precipitation, water vapor and liquid water in clouds, and other hydrological/hydrological applications are developed. To advance China’s SAR and InSAR (interferometric SAR) technologies, the image processing and analysis of ERS (European remote sensing), Radarsat SAR, and Chinese SAR, etc., the software platforms are accomplished. Based on the researches of multi-information fusion, some simulations, identification, and information extractions of the targets from complex background clutter scenes are studied. Some experiments of radio wave propagation in anomalous atmospheric status are also carried out. Translated from Advances in Earth Science, 2007, 22(2): 111–125 [译自: 地球科学进展]     

Assessing spatial and attribute errors in large national datasets for population distribution models: a case study of Philadelphia county schools

Geospatial technologies and digital data have developed and disseminated rapidly in conjunction with increasing computing efficiency and Internet availability. The ability to store and transmit large datasets has encouraged the development of national infrastructure datasets in geospatial formats. National datasets are used by numerous agencies for analysis and modeling purposes because these datasets are standardized and considered to be of acceptable accuracy for national scale applications. At Oak Ridge National Laboratory a population model has been developed that incorporates national schools data as one of the model inputs. This paper evaluates spatial and attribute inaccuracies present within two national school datasets, Tele Atlas North America and National Center of Education Statistics (NCES). Schools are an important component of the population model, because they are spatially dense clusters of vulnerable populations. It is therefore essential to validate the quality of school input data. Schools were also chosen since a validated schools dataset was produced in geospatial format for Philadelphia County; thereby enabling a comparison between a local dataset and the national datasets. Analyses found the national datasets are not standardized and incomplete, containing 76 to 90 percent of existing schools. The temporal accuracy of updating annual enrollment values resulted in 89 percent inaccuracy for 2003. Spatial rectification was required for 87 percent of NCES points, of which 58 percent of the errors were attributed to the geocoding process. Lastly, it was found that by combining the two national datasets, the resultant dataset provided a more useful and accurate solution.     

Spatial pattern of Karst rock desertification in the Middle of Guizhou Province,Southwestern China

Karst rocky desertification is a typical type of land degradation in the Southwestern China. It has great ecological and economical implications for the local people. Landsat images from the middle of Guizhou Province collected in 1974, 1993 and 2001 were used for change detection of the pattern of Karst rocky desertification. The results show the following findings: (1) Desertification area expanded drastically in 27 years, at an increasing rate about 116.2 km²/year. (2) High areas (900–1,500 m) are the most affected. (3) Areas with the slope <5° or >25° are also easily tend to be Karst rocky deserted. (4) The process of Karst rocky desertification is nearly irreversible. Few areas of Karst rocky desertification could be meliorated to non-desertification land. (5) Most of the degraded lands are located in the south and the central of the study region, and the meliorated land areas are sparsely located in the east and the west part of the region. All these findings would provide bases for the decision-making of the local government to improve the Karst rocky desertification     

2003年7月3日梅雨锋切变线上的β-中尺度暴雨云团分析

利用多种气象卫星遥感资料及加工产品,对2003年7月3日产生在皖北的暴雨过程进行了中尺度分析。分析表明:在切变线云带上有11个β-中尺度对流云团发展,水平范围约100km,生命史约5h;其背景场是整个对流云区内具有高湿、正涡度和上升运动的特征,它们促使切变线内高湿斜压不稳定能量释放,促使β-中尺度云团发展,产生很强的降水,云团的水凝物廓线上部的可降水冰和云冰含量很高,最大值达0.8g/kg,最大高度达18km,云顶亮温低于-80℃。     

三维对流云对大气光化学组分的再分布作用及其化学效应

利用一个三维的冰雹云模式与化学组分输送模块耦合，得到云输送引起大气光化学组分的再分布，然后用一个包含详细气相化学反应机制的箱模式研究了云输送引起的气相体积分数的变化及其对大气化学系统产生的影响。结果表明，云输送后O3体积分数大于无云个例，但其后两天内两者的变化趋势相差不大；HNO3、NO2、NO3、PAN等的体积分数均明显高于无云个例，分别增长了87％、70％、62％和49％，其中NO2体积分数的增加主要由于云输送造成，而NO3、HNO3、PAN主要是输送对化学扰动的结果。两天内OH和HO2自由基体积分数比无云个例平均增长了13％和11％。     

哈尔滨地区雨滴直径分布函数

采用美国PMS公司生产的GBPP－100型地面雨滴谱仪，对1999年5－7月哈尔滨地区几次降水过程进行了观测。根据雷达资料和宏观观测，把降水云分为层状云，积层混合云和积雨云，分析了3类云降水微物理结构，重点研究了不同类型降水的雨滴谱分析特征，拟合了雨滴直径分布函数。     

雹云识别的物元可拓模型及其效果检验

雹云识别是一个多参数的模式识别问题。应用物元可拓思想将单参数雹云识别的不相容性转化为相容性问题。通过构造雹云和雷雨云两类样本的经典物无降节域物元，根据计算出的待识别云体与两类样本云体之间的关联度大小，进行雹云识别。该方法用于成都地区雹云识别结果的正确率达85％以上。     

常德多普勒天气雷达强雹暴三体散射统计分析

对常德及周边地区10次强雹暴过程中18个风暴单体产生的404次三体散射样本进行统计分析,并对影响三体散射观测的原因进行了详细分析。结果表明:(1)反射率因子强度是能否产生三体散射的关键因素,产生三体散射特征的最小反射率因子强度为58dBz,在此临界值之上,反射率因子强度越强,越易产生三体散射;(2)风暴核回波强度的垂直分布是三体散射出现频数在高度4km左右、仰角1.5°、距离90km左右达到峰值的主要影响因素;(3)三体散射随方位分布在180°～360°出现频数最多,风暴单体移动下风方有径向长度较长的回波区时,导致三体散射特征被覆盖,是影响三体散射观测的根本原因,风暴单体相对雷达位置和移动方向通常决定径向外侧是否有影响三体散射观测的回波;(4)三体散射回波强度与风暴径向外侧弱回波相当或强时,三体散射特征能被识别。