基于灰色关联分析预测法的腾冲硅藻土矿床资源评价

在矿产资源评价中,可以利用灰色理论的特点,来对目前只有少量信息的预测区进行评价和排序,确定预测靶区,指导找矿工作.应用该方法对云南西部腾冲地区的界头、团田、蛮朵、瑞滇、左所营5个工作区硅藻土资源进行排序,确定了腾冲硅藻土矿床开发下一步的工作方向,明确了矿床灰色关联分析预测法在矿产资源评价中有着重要的应用价值和独特的应用效果.     

漳州市山体滑坡主要影响因素分析

对漳州市区域内近十几年来所发生滑坡的地质灾害点进行调查研究,提出了漳州地区山体滑坡主要受地形、地质、气象和人类工程活动因素的综合影响。一般地形坡度在25°～50°,坡型为阶梯型、人工边坡无支挡,土质边坡坡度大于70°与坡高大于4m者,连续10d内降雨量在170mm以上,且日降雨量在100mm的强降雨时,发生滑坡的概率,达71.7%。故此,降雨量170mm以上、日降雨量大于或等于100mm时,可作为漳州市地质灾害预警预报的指标。     

芙蓉岛秋季鸟类生物多样性研究

为了解芙蓉岛鸟类生态类群和多样性,本文以2019年9月芙蓉岛鸟类调查数据为基础,利用样点法对芙蓉岛鸟类的种类、生态类群、区系、居留型和鸟类多样性等进行了研究。结果表明：本次调查共记录鸟类5目15科31种,其中国家Ⅱ级保护鸟类7种,列入《濒危野生动植物种国际贸易公约及有效决议汇编》附录Ⅲ中的鸟类1种。从生态类群构成上：鸣禽19种,猛禽7种,涉禽4种,陆禽1种;从鸟类地理区系构成上：广布种23种,古北种7种,东洋界1种;从居留类型构成上：冬候鸟5种,留鸟3种,旅鸟17种,夏候鸟、冬候鸟和旅鸟混合类型6种。鸟类群落多样性指数（H’）为3.83,均匀度指数（J）为0.77。芙蓉岛鸟类优势种为红嘴鸥（Larus ridibundus）、家燕（Hirundo rustica）和树麻雀（Passer montanus）。本文对芙蓉岛鸟类生物多样性进行了报道,对芙蓉岛鸟类资源的本底调查以及该区域鸟类生物多样性保护具有重要意义。     

阿尔金山羌塘高原水资源开发及罗布泊钾盐矿建设的设想

阿尔金山水资源相对丰富,是巴音郭楞蒙古自治州河川径流的主要形成区之一,巴音郭楞蒙古自治州若羌县罗布泊镇钾盐贮量很大,经济效益可观,但水资源成为了罗布泊钾盐矿发展的限制性因素。能否把阿尔金山的水资源作为罗布泊钾盐矿发展的支撑,是我们必须回答的一个问题。本文利用新疆维吾尔自治区水利厅阿尔金山野外考察资料,分析阿尔金山的水系与湖泊、自然地理和社会经济特点,以期为探讨阿尔金山能否作为罗布泊钾盐矿开发的水源条件提供理论依据。     

Sensitivity of streamflow from a Himalayan catchment to plausible changes in land cover and climate

Global climate change will likely increase temperature and variation in precipitation in the Himalayas, modifying both supply of and demand for water. This study assesses combined impacts of land‐cover and climate changes on hydrological processes and a rainfall‐to‐streamflow buffer indicator of watershed function using the Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) in Kejie watershed in the eastern Himalayas. The Hadley Centre Coupled Model Version 3 (HadCM3) was used for two Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emission scenarios (A2 and B2), for 2010–2099. Four land‐cover change scenarios increase forest, grassland, crops, or urban land use, respectively, reducing degraded land. The SWAT model predicted that downstream water resources will decrease in the short term but increase in the long term. Afforestation and expansion in cropland will probably increase actual evapotranspiration (ET) and reduce annual streamflow but will also, through increased infiltration, reduce the overland flow component of streamflow and increase groundwater release. An expansion in grassland will decrease actual ET, increase annual streamflow and groundwater release, while decreasing overland flow. Urbanization will result in increases in streamflow and overland flow and reductions in groundwater release and actual ET. Land‐cover change dominated over effects on streamflow of climate change in the short and middle terms. The predicted changes in buffer indicator for land‐use plus climate‐change scenarios reach up to 50% of the current (and future) range of inter‐annual variability. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Integrating downscaled CMIP5 data with a physically based hydrologic model to estimate potential climate change impacts on streamflow processes in a mixed‐use watershed

Climatic changes have altered surface water regimes worldwide, and climate projections suggest that such alterations will continue. To inform management decisions, climate projections must be paired with hydrologic models to develop quantitative estimates of watershed scale water regime changes. Such modeling approaches often involve downscaling climate model outputs, which are generally presented at coarse spatial scales. In this study, Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 climate model projections were analyzed to determine models representing severe and conservative climate scenarios for the study watershed. Based on temperature and precipitation projections, output from GFDL‐ESM2G (representative concentration pathway 2.6) and MIROC‐ESM (representative concentration pathway 8.5) were selected to represent conservative (Δ_C) and severe (Δ_S) change scenarios, respectively. Climate data were used as forcing for the soil and water assessment tool to analyze the potential effects of climate change on hydrologic processes in a mixed‐use watershed in central Missouri, USA. Results showed annual streamflow decreases ranging from ?5.9% to ?26.8% and evapotranspiration (ET) increases ranging from +7.2% to +19.4%. During the mid‐21st century, sizeable decreases to summer streamflow were observed under both scenarios, along with large increases of fall, spring, and summer ET under Δ_S. During the late 21st century period, large decreases of summer streamflow under both scenarios, and large increases to spring (Δ_S), fall (Δ_S) and summer (Δ_C) ET were observed. This study demonstrated the sensitivity of a Midwestern watershed to future climatic changes utilizing projections from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models and presented an approach that used multiple climate model outputs to characterize potential watershed scale climate impacts.     

Relations indices de Végétation–Pluie au Burkina Faso: Cas du Bassin Versant du Nakambé/Relationship between Rainfall and Vegetation Indexes in Burkina Faso: A Case Study of the Nakambé Basin

Abstract

This work deals with the problem of the use of remote sensing data derived from NOAA/AVHRR observations for monitoring the West African Sahel climatic variability. NDVI is widely used in hydrological and climatological research, and in the study of global climatic changes. The relationships between NDVI and climatic parameters are not well established yet and are the focus of many studies. The relationships between NDVI and rainfall were studied at a 10-day time step in the Nakambe River basin in Burkina Faso in the Sahelo-Sudanian area over the years 1982–1999. Good correlations were found in the annual evolution of these two variables. The statistical analysis shows a significant relationship between NDVI and the sum of the annual rainfall with determination coefficients greater than 0.80. At the spatial scale of 0.5° × 0.5°, the determination coefficient ranges from 0.91 to 0.96. It was also found that the NDVI is a good indicator of the determination of the beginning and the end of the rainy season. It gives reasonably good results in comparison with the other methods commonly used in the study region.     

中国铀资源特点及找矿方向

中国铀矿地质勘查工作,在50年代中期为矿山建设提供了第一批可资利用的铀矿储量;60年代中国至70年代中期,使东南地区成为最重要的铀矿资源基地;70年代中期以来,展现了中国东北部找铀矿的巨大潜力,南部也取得了好的成果。中国铀矿资源时空分布和产出的特征是:矿床分布广泛,地区间差异明显;矿床产出时代新,矿床以中小规模为主,矿石平均品位中等;矿床以围岩分类:花岗岩型、火山岩型(占总储量的61％),砂岩型(占21％),碳硅泥岩型(占13％)。借鉴西方国家70年代以来该项工怍飞速发展及重大突破的经验,为保证中国铀矿勘查工作长期稳步发展,有大的突破,必须加强西部地区的区调普查,实现找矿中心的战略转移。为此,近期我们要做好以下工作:调整队伍部署,提高技术素质;加强经济评价,做好宏观调控;加强资源评价,制定勘查规划;依靠科技进步,实现铀矿勘查工作的现代化。     

大气水—地表水—土壤水—地下水相互转化关系的试验研究

本文重点研究了有作物条件下不同供水农田的“四水”相互转化,突出了有作物条件下降水入渗、潜水蒸发的差异性,土壤水在农业生态环境中的重要性,为水资源多目标开发,探索新路子。