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991.
CLIMATE CHANGE: LONG-TERM TRENDS AND SHORT-TERM
OSCILLATIONS 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Identifying the Northern Hemisphere (NH) temperature reconstruction and instrumental data for
the past 1000 years shows that climate change in the last millennium includes long-term trends and various
oscillations. Two long-term trends and the quasi-70-year oscillation were detected in the global temperature
series for the last 140 years and the NH millennium series. One important feature was emphasized that
temperature decreases slowly but it increases rapidly based on the analysis of different series. Benefits can be
obtained of climate change from understanding various long-term trends and oscillations. Millennial temperature
proxies from the natural climate system and time series of nonlinear model system are used in understanding the
natural climate change and recognizing potential benefits by using the method of wavelet transform analysis. The
results from numerical modeling show that major oscillations contained in numerical solutions on the
interdecadal timescale are consistent with that of natural proxies. It seems that these oscillations in the climate
change are not directly linked with the solar radiation as an external forcing. This investigation may conclude
that the climate variability at the interdecadal timescale strongly depends on the internal nonlinear effects in the climate system. 相似文献
992.
一个气候系统模式FGCM0对东亚副热带西风急流季节变化的模拟 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2
对IAP/LASG气候系统模式试验版(FGCM0)模拟对流层上层东亚副热带西风急流季节变化的能力进行评估, 分析FGCM0模拟的东亚副热带西风急流季节变化与NCEP/NCAR再分析资料的差异及其与对流层大气南北温差的关系.结果表明, FGCM0模拟的冬季和夏季西风急流垂直结构、水平结构和季节变化与NCEP/NCAR再分析资料基本一致, 但FGCM0模拟的东亚副热带西风急流在高原附近地区冬季和夏季都偏强, 沿115°E中国大陆地区上空模拟的急流强度冬季偏弱, 夏季明显偏强.夏季FGCM0模拟的急流中心位于高原东北部的40°N附近地区, 强度偏强, 位置偏东, 而此时NCEP/NCAR再分析资料中的急流中心却位于高原北侧.此外, FGCM0模拟的急流在5月份的北移和8月份的最北位置上与NCEP/NCAR再分析资料差异较大.分析副热带西风急流与对流层南北温差的季节变化发现, 急流出现的位置总是对应着对流层南北温度差较大区域, 与再分析资料相比, FGCM0模拟的温度差在冬季基本一致, 夏季差异较大.与降水的模拟相联系发现, FGCM0模拟得到的与实际不一致的偏西偏北的强降水中心与200 hPa上的东亚副热带急流位置和强度不合理具有密切关系.相关分析表明, 冬季西风急流强度与日本南部海区的感热通量、夏季与青藏高原地区的地面感热通量有明显的正相关关系, 而FGCM0能够较好地模拟冬季西风急流强度与地面感热通量之间的相关关系, 但模拟夏季青藏高原地区感热通量和副热带西风急流之间相关关系的能力相对较差, 夏季西风急流强度与OLR之间却有一定的关系.由于与强降水区相联系的OLR低值区对应着较大的对流凝结加热, 再加上模式中位于青藏高原东南部较大的地面感热加热, 增强了对流层的南北向温度差, 进而影响东亚副热带急流强度和位置.因此, FGCM0模拟的夏季副热带急流位置和强度偏差与高原附近地区的地面感热加热、大气射出长波辐射等的模拟偏差具有密切的关系. 相似文献
993.
WEI Erhu LIU Jingnan SHI Chuang 《地球空间信息科学学报》2006,9(1):6-12
Introduction Astorealizetheprojectofspatialgeodesyby geodeticsatellites,itisnecessarytoestablisha satellitecontrollingandsurveyingnetwork(SC SN)totrack,tosurvey,toremotelycontroland tocommunicatewithearth orbitsatellite,forre alizingtheprojectofdeepspaced… 相似文献
994.
LI Xiang LIN Hui 《地球空间信息科学学报》2006,9(2):112-117
IntroductionIf let roadway entities be denoted by arcs and in-tersections be denoted by nodes, then a road net-work can be represented with node-arc model. Be-cause the designation of nodes can be determinedby arcs according to the definition of node-arc mod-el, howto designate arcs becomes the key of repre-senting a road network. As described in the firstpaper of the series, all four kinds of roadway enti-ties (i.e., streets, road segments, carriageways,and lanes) can be represented by arcs. … 相似文献
995.
GPS导航解算中常用最小二乘算法。随着高动态用户需求精度的不断提高,且由于线性化忽略高次项,初始值精度低以及差分后剩余或放大误差的存在。导航解精度很难满足高动态用户的需求。为此,本文基于BP神经网络的非线性逼近性能。给出了基于BP神经网络的GPS导航算法。实测数据计算结果表明该算法能够真实地反映载体运动轨迹,其导航解的精度和可靠性有明显的提高。 相似文献
996.
本文在利用多台研究1999年11月29日和2000年1月12日发生在辽宁岫岩Ms5.4级和5.1级地震前拐角频率比随时间变化的基础上,对岫岩、营口、苏家屯、丹东、宽甸、北镇、新民单台记录的纵横波拐角频率比fcp/fcs做了比较详细的波谱分析。结果表明:在震中距小于200 km以内的不同方向的台站,记录到的地震波拐角频率比值在5.4级前和后均出现不同程度的异常显示,能够捕捉到一些带有短临性质的信息,不过,距震中较远的台站,地震波拐角频率比值在震前异常不如近台明显,表明不同距离的台站,记录的地震拐角频率比值存在着差异。 相似文献
997.
Relationships were examined between variability in tropical Atlantic sea level and major climate indices with the use of TOPEX/POSEIDON altimeter and island tide gauge data with the aim of learning more about the external influences on the variability of the tropical Atlantic ocean. Possible important connections were found between indices related to the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the sea levels in all three tropical regions (north, equatorial, and south), although the existence of only one major ENSO event within the decade of available altimetry means that a more complete investigation of the ENSO-dependence of Atlantic sea level changes has to await for the compilation of longer data sets. An additional link was found with the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in the equatorial region, this perhaps surprising observation is probably an artifact of the similarity between IOD and ENSO time series in the 1990s. No evidence was obtained for significant correlations between tropical Atlantic sea level and North Atlantic Oscillation or Antarctic Oscillation Index. The most intriguing relationship observed was between the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation and sea level in a band centered approximately on 10°S. A plausible explanation for the relationship is lacking, but possibilities for further research are suggested. 相似文献
998.
Volcanic lightning, perhaps the most spectacular consequence of the electrification of volcanic plumes, has been implicated in the origin of life on Earth, and may also exist in other planetary atmospheres. Recent years have seen volcanic lightning detection used as part of a portfolio of developing techniques to monitor volcanic eruptions. Remote sensing measurement techniques have been used to monitor volcanic lightning, but surface observations of the atmospheric electric Potential Gradient (PG) and the charge carried on volcanic ash also show that many volcanic plumes, whilst not sufficiently electrified to produce lightning, have detectable electrification exceeding that of their surrounding environment. Electrification has only been observed associated with ash-rich explosive plumes, but there is little evidence that the composition of the ash is critical to its occurrence. Different conceptual theories for charge generation and separation in volcanic plumes have been developed to explain the disparate observations obtained, but the ash fragmentation mechanism appears to be a key parameter. It is unclear which mechanisms or combinations of electrification mechanisms dominate in different circumstances. Electrostatic forces play an important role in modulating the dry fall-out of ash from a volcanic plume. Beyond the local electrification of plumes, the higher stratospheric particle concentrations following a large explosive eruption may affect the global atmospheric electrical circuit. It is possible that this might present another, if minor, way by which large volcanic eruptions affect global climate. The direct hazard of volcanic lightning to communities is generally low compared to other aspects of volcanic activity. 相似文献
999.
Karen L. Aplin 《Surveys in Geophysics》2006,27(1):63-108
Atmospheric electrification is not a purely terrestrial phenomenon: all Solar System planetary atmospheres become slightly
electrified by cosmic ray ionisation. There is evidence for lightning on Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune, and it is possible
on Mars, Venus and Titan. Controversy surrounds the role of atmospheric electricity in physical climate processes on Earth;
here, a comparative approach is employed to review the role of electrification in the atmospheres of other planets and their
moons. This paper reviews the theory, and, where available, measurements, of planetary atmospheric electricity which is taken
to include ion production and ion–aerosol interactions. The conditions necessary for a planetary atmospheric electric circuit
similar to Earth’s, and the likelihood of meeting these conditions in other planetary atmospheres, are briefly discussed.
Atmospheric electrification could be important throughout the solar system, particularly at the outer planets which receive
little solar radiation, increasing the relative significance of electrical forces. Nucleation onto atmospheric ions has been
predicted to affect the evolution and lifetime of haze layers on Titan, Neptune and Triton. Atmospheric electrical processes
on Titan, before the arrival of the Huygens probe, are summarised. For planets closer to Earth, heating from solar radiation
dominates atmospheric circulations. However, Mars may have a global circuit analogous to the terrestrial model, but based
on electrical discharges from dust storms. There is an increasing need for direct measurements of planetary atmospheric electrification,
in particular on Mars, to assess the risk for future unmanned and manned missions. Theoretical understanding could be increased
by cross-disciplinary work to modify and update models and parameterisations initially developed for a specific atmosphere,
to make them more broadly applicable to other planetary atmospheres. 相似文献
1000.
V. Čermák J. Šafanda L. Bodri M. Yamano E. Gordeev 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》2006,50(4):675-695
To reconstruct the recent climate history in Kamchatka, a series of repeated precise temperature logs were performed in a
number of boreholes located in a broad east-west strip (between 52 and 54°N) in the central part of Kamchatka west of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatski.
Within three years more than 30 temperature logs were performed in 10 holes (one up to six logs per hole) to the depth of
up to 400 metres. Measured temperature gradients varied in a broad interval 0 to 60 mK/m and in some holes a sizeable variation
in the subsurface temperatures due to advective heat transport by underground water was observed. Measured data were compared
with older temperature profiles obtained in the early eighties by Sugrobov and Yanovsky (1993). Even when older data are of
poorer precision (accuracy of about 0.1 K), they presented valuable information of the subsurface temperature conditions existing
20–25 years ago. Borehole observations and the inverted ground surface temperature histories (GSTHs) used for the paleoclimate
reconstruction were complemented with a detailed survey of meteorological data. Namely, the long-term surface air temperature
(SAT) and precipitation records from Petropavlovsk station (in operation since 1890) were used together with similar data
from a number of local subsidiary meteo-stations operating in Central Kamchatka since 1950. Regardless of extreme complexity
of the local meteorological/climate conditions, diversity of borehole sites and calibration of measuring devices used during
the whole campaign, the results of the climate reconstruction supported a general warming of about 1 K characteristic for
the 20th century, which followed an inexpressive cooler period typical for the most of the 19th century. In the last three
to four decades the warming rate has been locally increasing up to 0.02 K/year. It was also shown that the snow cover played
a dominant role in the penetration of the climate “signal” to depth and could considerably smooth down the subsurface response
to the changes occurred on the surface. 相似文献