Influence of aquifer properties and the spatial and temporal distribution of recharge and abstraction on sustainable yields in semi‐arid regions

This paper aims to contribute to understanding the importance of four factors on the determination of sustainable yields: (i) aquifer properties; (ii) temporal distribution of recharge; (iii) temporal distribution of groundwater pumping; and (iv) spatial distribution of pumping wells. It is important to comprehend how the present‐day and future vulnerability of groundwater systems to pumping activities depend on these critical factors and what the risks are of considering sustainable yield as a fixed percentage of mean annual recharge (MAR). A numerical model of the Querença–Silves aquifer in Portugal is used to develop hypothetical scenarios with which these factors are studied. Results demonstrate the aquifer properties, particularly the storage coefficient, have an important role in determining the resilience of an aquifer and therefore to which degree it is dependent on the spatial and temporal distribution of abstraction and recharge, as well as the occurrence of extreme events. Sustainable yields are determined for the developed scenarios based on specific criteria rather than a fraction of MAR. Under simplified current recharge and abstraction conditions, the sustainable yield was determined at approximately 73% of MAR or 76 million m³. When considering a concentration of rainfall in time, as predicted by climate scenarios for the region, sustainable yield could drop to ca 70% of MAR. However, a more even distribution of pumping volumes throughout the year could increase this value. The location of the pumping wells is seen to affect the distribution of hydraulic heads in the aquifer, albeit without significant changes in sustainable yield. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

两种不同产量历史丰歉气象影响指数确定方法在农业气象产量预报中的对比研究

利用吉林省1980—2015年春玉米单产数据、50个气象站逐日气象资料,基于欧式距离和相关系数建立综合诊断指标,利用综合诊断指标研究分析预报年与历史年春玉米气象产量丰歉气象影响指数的关系,以此构建春玉米产量预报模型,对吉林省春玉米产量进行动态预报。产量预报模型对2003—2012年的预报试验结果表明,产量丰歉趋势ΔY的平均正确率均在60%以上,加权分析法的单产预报准确率除2009年外,均高于80.0%,且各时段的预报准确率均高于大概率法的。对2013—2015年吉林省春玉米产量的预报检验结果表明,加权分析法对产量丰歉趋势ΔY的预报结果稍好;加权分析法单产预报准确率几乎都在90.0%以上,普遍高于大概率法的。说明加权分析法建立的产量预报模型预报效果更好,可在业务上应用。     

液舱晃荡载荷计算与强度校核系统研究

随着薄膜型LNG运输船的需求量不断增加,晃荡载荷已成为船舶安全性研究的重要内容之一。本文结合中国船级社规范所推荐的公式,对薄膜型LNG船晃荡水平的载荷进行研究,提出载荷计算方法和流程,在MSC.patran的基础上结合二次开发语言PCL,设计了一套晃荡载荷计算与校核系统。该系统对有限元模型进行前后处理,设计了舱室识别算法来搜索晃荡载荷的作用域,实现薄膜型LNG船晃荡载荷的自动计算与施加,完成屈服强度评估。通过算例测试证明本系统自动计算结果的有效性和准确性,可以为工程设计人员大大节约工作量,大幅度提高工作效率。     

Modeling ionization and recombination from low energy nuclear recoils in liquid argon

Coherent elastic neutrino-nucleus scattering (CENNS) is an as-yet undetected, flavor-independent neutrino interaction predicted by the Standard Model. Detection of CENNS could offer benefits for detection of supernova and solar neutrinos in astrophysics, or for detection of antineutrinos for nuclear reactor monitoring and nuclear nonproliferation. One challenge with detecting CENNS is the low energy deposition associated with a typical CENNS nuclear recoil. In addition, nuclear recoils result in lower ionization yields than those produced by electron recoils of the same energy. While a measurement of the nuclear recoil ionization yield in liquid argon in the keV energy range has been recently reported, a corresponding model for low-energy ionization yield in liquid argon does not exist. For this reason, a Monte Carlo simulation has been developed to predict the ionization yield at sub-10 keV energies. The model consists of two distinct components: (1) simulation of the atomic collision cascade with production of ionization, and (2) the thermalization and drift of ionization electrons in an applied electric field including local recombination. As an application of our results we report updated estimates of detectable ionization in liquid argon from CENNS at a nuclear reactor.     

Effectiveness of reforestation in erosion mitigation and implications for future sediment yields,East Coast catchments,New Zealand: A review

This paper argues that reforestation of unstable and degraded parts of the East Coast region, predominantly with exotic pines, has successfully stabilised existing erosion forms and prevented the initiation of new ones. Effectiveness is often assessed by capturing erosion scars on aerial photography taken before and after reforestation and any change in scar size is measured in a geographic information system (GIS). Combined with forest age data, modelled reforestation scenarios indicate that sediment generation from earth flows and shallow landslides would be negligible within eight to 10 years after planting, and if all remaining gullies were to be reforested before 2020, sediment yield could halve by 2030 and remain constant thereafter. In a similar time frame, the risk to infrastructure by sedimentation and flooding would likely decrease.     

地下水安全开采量的概念与评价方法研究

本文回顾了地下水安全开采量概念的产生与发展过程,综述了可持续开采量、允许开采量和安全开采量的内涵与差异,在此基础上,提出满足地下水的资源供给、生态环境维持、地质环境稳定和可持续开发利用能力4个功能条件下的地下水安全开采量概念.将安全开采量的评价方法分为单一约束型和耦合约束型两大类,提出一种基于水均衡和地下水动力学相结合的评价方法,并对安全开采量研究趋势进行了展望,为地下水的安全开采方案研究与动态管理提供技术支撑.     

Mohr-Coulomb屈服准则在岩土工程中的应用

对Tresca屈服准则、Mises屈服准则、双剪屈服准则及Mohr-Coulomb屈服准则的屈服线、屈服应力进行分析比较,找出了各种屈服准则之间的差异。探讨Mohr-Coulomb屈服准则与其他屈服准则的关系,并确定Mohr-Coulomb屈服准则在岩土工程中的安全性及岩土体破坏时的破裂面位置与滑移线之间的关系。以亚碧罗水电站实测地应力为例,对实测地应力用不同的屈服准则进行分析,论证了Mohr-Coulomb屈服准则的安全性及剪切破裂面与滑移线的差异。     

基于强度折减法的韩城煤矿边坡稳定性分析

将有限元强度折减理论应用于边坡稳定性分析中,运用ANSYS大型有限元分析软件,基于Drucker-Prager（D-P）屈服准则,采用力和位移的收敛标准作为破坏判据,进行边坡的稳定性分析。当折减系数达到某一数值时,非线性有限元静力计算将不收敛,滑面上的位移将产生突变,边坡内一定幅值的广义剪应变自坡底向坡顶贯通,此时认为边坡已破坏,并定义此时的折减系数即为稳定系数。文中以韩城煤矿节理岩质边坡为例,运用该方法进行了稳定性分析并与并与传统的Bishop法、Janbu法等方法对比。计算结果表明,有限元强度折减法能更加真实地反映边坡的实际情况,求得的边坡稳定系数更接近边坡的实际稳定状态,显示出其在边坡稳定性分析中的一定优势。     

A study on one‐dimensional consolidation of layered structured soils

The governing equations for one‐dimensional consolidation of layered structured soils under time‐dependent loading are established. Using simplified k‐σ′ and m_v‐σ′ models, n‐layered structured soils are transformed into (n + 1) or (n + 2)‐layered soils in which the thickness of upper and lower layers are gradually changing. The approximate solutions for the governing equations are then obtained under two types of boundary conditions, and the computer program is developed. Based on the solutions and computer program, the consolidation behavior of layered structured soils with soft interlayer is studied. It is shown that the permeability and compressibility of the soft interlayer have the greatest influences on the rate of settlement and rate of the dissipation of excess pore water pressure. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.