全文获取类型
收费全文 | 6246篇 |
免费 | 1129篇 |
国内免费 | 1294篇 |
专业分类
测绘学 | 1060篇 |
大气科学 | 1784篇 |
地球物理 | 1192篇 |
地质学 | 2333篇 |
海洋学 | 813篇 |
天文学 | 63篇 |
综合类 | 493篇 |
自然地理 | 931篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 36篇 |
2023年 | 88篇 |
2022年 | 194篇 |
2021年 | 304篇 |
2020年 | 313篇 |
2019年 | 342篇 |
2018年 | 249篇 |
2017年 | 293篇 |
2016年 | 351篇 |
2015年 | 334篇 |
2014年 | 494篇 |
2013年 | 467篇 |
2012年 | 428篇 |
2011年 | 461篇 |
2010年 | 360篇 |
2009年 | 416篇 |
2008年 | 411篇 |
2007年 | 485篇 |
2006年 | 401篇 |
2005年 | 306篇 |
2004年 | 279篇 |
2003年 | 236篇 |
2002年 | 216篇 |
2001年 | 209篇 |
2000年 | 151篇 |
1999年 | 134篇 |
1998年 | 140篇 |
1997年 | 95篇 |
1996年 | 93篇 |
1995年 | 79篇 |
1994年 | 72篇 |
1993年 | 62篇 |
1992年 | 47篇 |
1991年 | 31篇 |
1990年 | 23篇 |
1989年 | 16篇 |
1988年 | 17篇 |
1987年 | 7篇 |
1986年 | 5篇 |
1985年 | 10篇 |
1984年 | 6篇 |
1983年 | 1篇 |
1982年 | 2篇 |
1980年 | 1篇 |
1979年 | 1篇 |
1978年 | 2篇 |
1977年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有8669条查询结果,搜索用时 484 毫秒
121.
H. J. Nijhuis 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》1997,86(2):322-331
The prediction of the hydrocarbon potential of a specific trap or of a number of specific traps (venture), referred to herein
as prospect appraisal, concerns a probabilistic exercise based on the quantification of geology in terms of structural closure,
reservoir quality, hydrocarbon charge, and the retention potential of the seal. Its objectives include: (a) prediction of
the hydrocarbon volumes that could be present in the trap from an analysis of its geologic attributes; (b) the amount of uncertainty
introduced in the volumetric prediction by the uncertainties in the subsurface geology; (c) the risk that one or more of the
essential attributes of the prospect are underdeveloped and recoverable reserves are absent. The uncertainty of the geologic
input requires a probabilistic approach, for which the Monte Carlo procedure is well suited.
Prospect appraisal forms the basis for decision-making in oil exploration and development and, therefore, should be reliable,
consistent, and auditable. This requires the use of a consistent methodology, the development of reliable models to quantify
the geologic processes involved, and the collection of comprehensive and relational databases for the many geologic variables.
As a result of data availability, uncertainty and risk tend to increase strongly from mature, producing basins to areas of
frontier exploration. This may complicate management of exploration portfolios.
Received: 1 July 1996/Accepted: 25 November 1996 相似文献
122.
The identifiability of parameters in a water quality model of the Biebrza River, Poland 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The identifiability of model parameters of a steady state water quality model of the Biebrza River and the resulting variation in model results was examined by applying the Monte Carlo method which combines calibration, identifiability analysis, uncertainty analysis, and sensitivity analysis. The water quality model simulates the steady state concentration profiles of chloride, phosphate, ammonium, and nitrate as a function of distance along a river. The water quality model with the best combination of parameter values simulates the observed concentrations very well. However, the range of possible modelled concentrations obtained for other more or less equally eligible combinations of parameter values is rather wide. This range in model outcomes reflects possible errors in the model parameters. Discrepancies between the range in model outcomes and the validation data set are only caused by errors in model structure, or (measurement) errors in boundary conditions or input variables. In this sense the validation procedure is a test of model capability, where the effects of calibration errors are filtered out. It is concluded that, despite some slight deviations between model outcome and observations, the model is successful in simulating the spatial pattern of nutrient concentrations in the Biebrza River. 相似文献
123.
利用模糊综合评判法对昌宁盆地地下水水质进行了评价,并指出为确保评价的精度,在进行模糊评判中,建议四种A·R复合运算方法联合应用,综合分析 相似文献
124.
R. M. Godinho M. C. Freitas H. Th. Wolterbeek 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》2004,49(1-3):355-361
The present work evaluates the stress effects in two epiphytic lichen species with different thallus morphology, the foliose Parmelia caperata and the fruticose Evernia prunastri, as resulting from transplanting from an unpolluted to an air-polluted area. Lichen samples were collected in Portugal in a clean area, during the spring 2003, and transplanted (1) to the same zone nearby and (2) to a polluted area as affected by an industrial complex. Transplant samples were taken periodically during four months in both places. At the same time lichen samples from the clean-air site native (in-situ) populations were also collected. For each sample were measured the chlorophyll content, the chlorophyll degradation and the cell membrane damage, the latter represented by leacheate conductivity. During the experiment the meteorological conditions were registered. The results indicate the absence of stress effects of transplanting as such, and suggest that leachate conductivity may be the more sensitive indicator of general lichen vitality. 相似文献
126.
In permafrost regions of Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, the critical embankment height must be considered in the process of the construction of highway, especially for the global climatic warming. In this paper, the two-dimensional numerical analysis for the critical embankment height (for gravel road surface and coarse-grained soil) has been performed by using thefinite element method. In the calculation, we think that the service life of the construction is at least 50 years. The mean annual air temperatures applied to the calculation model are -6.5 ℃, -6.0 ℃, -5.5 ℃, -5.0 ℃, -4.5 ℃ and -4.0 ℃, respectively, and the value of temperature rise are taken as 1.10℃ in the coming 50 years. The minimum embankment heights derived from the analysis are 0.85 m, 0.92 m, 1.01 m, 1.18 m, 1.60 m and 2.66 m for the different mean annual air temperatures and the maximum embankment heights are 7.68 m,7.55 m, 7.34 m, 7.00 m, 6.45 m and 5.85m, accordingly. On condition that the service life of embankment is 50 years, the critical value of the mean annual air temperature is -3.5 ℃. Namely, in the areas where the mean annual air temperature is higher than -3.5 ℃, the critical embankment height does not exist. 相似文献
127.
Introduction Through many year's practices by vast numbers of scientific and technological workers andefforts from all aspects, the dynamic testing method of high-low strain has formally entered intothe technical code of foundation pile test of construction at last (The Industry Standards of thePeople's Republic of China, 2003). The striking mode of the dynamic testing method of high strainis stipulated as hammer in the code, the striking of rocket can also be used. The latter is widely… 相似文献
128.
几种空气质量预报方法的预报效果对比分析 总被引:9,自引:0,他引:9
目前应用于我国各个城市空气质量预报业务的预报方法主要有三种 :数值模式预报、统计预报和综合经验预报。这几种预报方法都有其各自的优势 ,同时也存在一些不足。应用以上方法对天津市市区进行空气质量业务预报 ,通过实测资料与预报结果进行对比分析 ,给出这几种方法在天津市区空气质量预报中的预报效果客观评价。 相似文献
129.
以深圳市为例,对污染物浓度与各种大气参数的定量联系进行了细致的统计及物理分析,在此基础上建立起分区的城市空气污染潜势等级预报方案。该方案定量考虑了地面和边界层共十几个因子的影响,特别是考虑了地理环境各向异性的效应,将风向作为一个独立的影响因子。方案还针对各污染物稀释特性的差异对不同污染物分别建立潜势预报方案。另外,方案还考虑了相同大气条件下大气对城市不同区域污染物稀释特性可能存在的差异,对不同区域分别建立潜势预报方案。最后用高分辨的中尺度数值模式对大气参数的未来演变作出高时空分辨的预报,进而作出分区、分时段的城市空气污染潜势预报。本方法完全客观定量,物理意义明确,可制作高时间分辨的空气污染潜势预报。 相似文献
130.