Vulnerability of natural ecosystem in China under regional climate scenarios：An analysis based on eco-geographical regions

Assessment of vulnerability for natural ecosystem to climate change is a hot topic in climate change and ecology,and will support adapting and mitigating climate change. In this study,LPJ model modified according to features of China's natural ecosystems was employed to simulate ecosystem dynamics under A2,B2 and A1B scenarios. Vulnerability of natural ecosystem to climate change was assessed according to the vulnerability assessment model. Based on eco-geographical regions,vulnerability of natural ecosystem to climate change was analyzed. Results suggest that vulnerability for China's natural ecosystems would strengthen in the east and weaken in the west,but the pattern of ecosystem vulnerability would not be altered by climate change,which rises from southeast to northeast gradually. Increase in ecosystem vulnerable degree would mainly concentrate in temperate humid/sub-humid region and warm temperate humid/sub-humid region. Decrease in ecosystem vulnerable degree may emerge in northwestern arid region and Qinghai-Tibet Plateau region. In the near-term scale,natural ecosystem in China would be slightly affected by climate change. However,in mid-term and long-term scales,there would be severely adverse effect,particularly in the east with better water and thermal condition.     

遥感组合指数与不同分类技术结合提取农业用地方法

多光谱遥感影像因具有丰富的波谱信息,提高了地表覆盖的辨识能力,利用遥感数据高精度自动提取专题信息是目前研究的热点和难点。本文以北京市ASTER影像为例,通过对城市生态环境中土地类型及其光谱特征规律分析,组合归一化差异植被指数、修正归一化差异水体指数和归一化差异建筑指数三种指数,制作组合指数新影像。对组合指数影像采用基于支持向量机的面向对象分类方法进行农业用地信息提取,同时将该方法分别与基于原始影像、组合指数影像的最大似然及支持向量机的分类方法进行对比分析。实验结果表明:组合归一化差异指数影像压缩了数据维数,降低了覆盖地物相关性,易于农业用地信息提取。对组合指数影像采用基于支持向量机的面向对象分类方法精度达95.701%。     

章丘市增减挂钩试点工作探析

章丘市严格规范增减挂钩试点程序,积极走群众自主、自愿、自治的路子,突出“四个创新”,实现“四个突破”,坚持“五项制度”,保障农民群众的知情权、参与权、监督权,真正让农民群众得到实惠,实现了拆迁前农民群众同意、拆迁中农民群众高兴、拆迁整理后农民群众满意的目标。     

Studies on ecological characteristics variation and population dynamics of four lizardfishes in the southern Taiwan Straits

The ecological characteristics of four lizardfishes, Trachinocephalus myops, Saurida undosquamis, Saurida tumbil and Saurida elongata, were studied from specimens (910 T. myops, 454 S. un-dosquamis, 686 S. tumbil and 744 S. elongata) collected monthly in the southern Taiwan Straits from April 2005 to March 2006. The population dynamics of the four lizardfishes was also discussed by the comparison with the previous studies. All being composed of 7 a classes; the dominant group of T. myops and S. tumbil was 1-2 a, while S. undosquamis and S. elongate were 2-3 a. The total mortality coefficient Z and the fishing mortality F were at high as indicated by the exploitation ratio E(>0.5), and a large number of by-caught juvenile and young fishes showing that the stock of lizardfishes in this area was overexploited and the fishing gear was irrational. Compared with the previous studies, the maximum and mean fork length, body mass and age of the four lizard-fishes declined gradually, the lizardfishes populations were younger in age and smaller in size. The asymptotic fork length L_∞ decreased while increasing growth coefficient k, and age at the inflexion point of mass t_r was younger compared with the previous studies. The declining of older ones has moderated the feeding competition and the younger ones grew faster. The larger mortality param-eters Z,M and F have revealed higher fishing pressure. The smaller change of the first mature fork length of female T. myops and the change from K selection pattern to r selection pattern of S. tumbil have indicated a more vulnerable fishery ecosystem in this area. The changes of ecological characteristics and population dynamics may be caused by over-exploitation of demersal fishes such as the lizardfishes, especially a large number of juvenile and young fishes by-catch by the current fishing gears and methods. Therefore, in addition to the traditional fishery management approach such as the minimum length-limit, ecosystem approach to fisheries management (EAF) should be taken to improve the practical marine ecosystem management, including increased fishing intensity of the non-economic species especially the feeding competitors of the lizardfishes and the conser-vation of the pelagic fishery population in the fisheries ecosystem, in order to restore the fishery population and achieve the sustainable use of the fishery stocks.     

Freshwater seepages and ephemeral macroalgae proliferation in an intertidal bay: II. Effect on benthic biomass and metabolism

Intertidal soft-sediments biomass and metabolism are naturally heterogeneous in time and space at different scales. Particular perturbations such as freshwater seepages and seasonal proliferation of ephemeral macroalgae can intermittently and/or locally create additional variability in these systems. Since the impacts of such environmental stresses on natural processes are not well understood, the hypothesis that they would affect the functioning of the benthic system was tested. An intertidal bay whose structure and functioning has been previously described and where a carbon budget has been calculated, was chosen. The results showed that the metabolism of the intertidal sediments was greatly impacted by the above perturbations. Freshwater seepage increased meiofauna and microalgae biomasses and enhanced the total benthic metabolism (increasing community respiration and gross primary production until 4 and 2 fold respectively) without altering its seasonal trend. Ephemeral macroalgae proliferation had a more important effect on the total benthic metabolism, increasing community respiration and gross primary production 8 and 12 fold respectively and leading to a change in the seasonal trend.     

基于土地利用变化的生态系统服务价值核算——以江苏盐城滨海湿地为例

长三角一体化与江苏沿海开发上升为国家战略,使盐城滨海湿地面临空前的发展压力,如何正确认识滩涂的价值并加以合理利用是制定各项方针政策的前提.运用1987、1992、1997、2002、2007年共5个时相相Landsat数据来获得土地利用和景观的时空变化信息,综合运用直接市场价值法、间接市场价值法、替代成本法、Costa...     

南海北部浮游生态系统要素季节变化的模拟研究

本文基于南海SEATS站的观测资料,利用垂直一维海洋生态系统动力学模式(MEM-1D)模拟了南海北部生态要素垂直结构的季节变化。结果表明,南海北部表层Chla浓度具有明显的季节变化特征,夏季呈现低值(<0.05 mg·m-3),冬季呈现高值,12月为0.38 mg·m-3。春季,风速相对变小,垂直混合变弱,次表层Chla浓度极大值现象形成(80~100 m),并可一直持续到10月末。冬季,海表温度降低,东北季风爆发,垂直混合增强,出现表层水华现象。浮游动物和细菌的垂直结构相似,冬季上层水体中浮游动物和细菌出现最大值,分别为13 mg·m-3和18 mg·m-3。3~10月细菌(12 mg·m-3)同浮游动物(14 mg·m-3)一样出现次表层最大值,其存在深度与浮游动物相似。     

基于根轨迹法的海洋生态模型稳定性分析

本文对一类非线性海洋生态模型进行了稳定性分析,并通过广义根轨迹的分析得出,初始时刻营养盐的不同输入对系统稳定性的影响,并用相轨迹图加以验证。通过稳定性分析可知,当浮游植物的生长率和初始时刻营养盐的输入均大于浮游植物的死亡率和营养盐的流失时,系统存在稳定状态。若浮游植物的生长率和初始时刻营养盐的输入增大时,系统的动态性能减少,即系统会更快的趋于稳定状态。     

农业生产潜力计算与分析系统的设计与实现

随着人口的不断增加和经济的快速发展,粮食安全问题日益突出,而农业生产潜力可以描述某一地区的粮食生产能力,因此,研究农业生产潜力非常重要,对合理开发农业资源,指导农业生产,具有十分重要的现实意义.本研究在GIS技术、COM组件技术、插件技术等支持下,采用C#开发语言、ArcEngine开发组件、SQL Server数据库...     

Using the Lund-Potsdam-Jena Model to Understand the Different Responses of Three Woody Plants to Land Use in China

In this study, the approach of conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation related to initial perturbation (CNOP-I) was employed to investigate the maximum variations in plant amount for three main woody plants (a temperate broadleaved evergreen, a temperate broadleaved summergreen, and a boreal needleleaved evergreen) in China. The investigation was conducted within a certain range of land use intensity using a state-of-the-art Lund-Potsdam-Jena dynamic global vegetation model (LPJ DGVM). CNOP-I represents a class of deforestation and can be considered a type of land use with respect to the initial perturbation. When deforestation denoted by the CNOP-I has the same intensity for all three plants, the variation in plant amount of the boreal needleleaved evergreen in northern China is greater than the variation in plant amount of both the temperate broadleaved evergreen and temperate broadleaved summergreen in southern China. As deforestation intensity increases, the plant amount variation in the three woody plant functional types carbon changes, in a nonlinear fashion. The impact of land use on plant functional types is minor because the interaction between climate condition and land use is not considered in the LPJ model. Finally, the different impacts of deforestation on net primary production of the three plant functional types were analyzed by modeling gross primary production and autotrophic respiration. Our results suggest that the CNOP-I approach is a useful tool for exploring the nonlinear and different responses of terrestrial ecosystems to land use.