川西新场地区须五段泥页岩超压成因及其对含气性的影响

页岩气储集层中往往发育异常高的地层压力,其压力的大小不仅直接影响了泥页岩中有机质的热演化生烃作用,而且还决定着页岩气的保存和富集程度。为了研究川西新场地区须五段泥页岩的异常高压成因及其对含气性的影响,选取该地区3口井的页岩岩心样品进行现场解吸、X衍射矿物分析和等温吸附等一系列分析测试来辅助说明超压产生的原因。然后结合前人研究成果和测试数据,对泥页岩的异常高压成因进行了定性分析,初步探讨了泥页岩异常高压发育与含气量之间的关系。分析表明：造成川西新场地区须五段泥页岩异常高压现象的原因主要有欠压实作用、生烃作用、粘土矿物脱水作用和构造挤压作用。页岩含气量与异常高压的发育程度呈正相关关系,页岩异常高压越发育,其含气量越大,产气量也越高。同时压力系数可以作为保存条件的综合判别指标,川西新场地区须五段泥页岩压力系数较高,保存条件较好。     

用同相叠加方法识别定点形变数据中的降雨影响

分别以昆明台、云龙台为例,用数据同相位叠加的方法分别对形变数据中的典型图像及其对应时段的降雨数据进行叠加,以判断典型图像是否与降雨有关。结果表明,昆明台形变观测中多次出现的同步转折为降雨影响;而云龙台的转折现象则与降雨无关,其来源及属性需要进一步研究。     

Progress on quantitative assessment of the impacts of climate change and human activities on cropland change

It is important to study the contributions of climate change and human activities to cropland changes in the fields of both climate change and land use change. Relationships between cropland changes and driving forces were qualitatively studied in most of the previous researches. However, the quantitative assessments of the contributions of climate change and human activities to cropland changes are needed to be explored for a better understanding of the dynamics of land use changes. We systematically reviewed the methods of identifying the contributions of climate change and human activities to cropland changes at quantitative aspects, including model analysis, mathematical statistical method, framework analysis, index assessment and difference comparison. Progress of the previous researches on quantitative evaluation of the contributions was introduced. Then we discussed four defects in the assessment of the contributions of climate change and human activities. For example, the methods were lack of comprehensiveness, and the data need to be more accurate and abundant. In addition, the scale was single and the explanations were biased. Moreover, we concluded a clue about quantitative approach to assess the contributions from synthetically aspect to specific driving forces. Finally, the solutions of the future researches on data, scale and explanation were proposed.     

地震动力作用下土-地铁隧道模型分析

针对地铁建设中典型的马蹄形断面隧道建立比例尺为1∶20的分析模型,并采用数值分析方法研究马蹄形隧道处于单一土层及工程所处区域典型的成层土体中时的动力响应。分析结果表明,在单一土层中由于土体的约束作用,结构产生的位移以整体沉降为主,在成层土体中除产生一定的整体变形外还伴随一定的扭转变形。在两种地层情况下马蹄形地铁隧道在地震动力作用下的动力加速度响应、竖向位移均在拱顶处产生最大值,其中在单一土层中的加速度响应最大值为结构中部加速度的2.29倍。结构在顶部和侧板处所产生的动应力响应值也较大。研究表明,地震动力荷载作用下顶板、侧板均为受力较大部位,在设计和施工中应予以充分重视。     

Calculating Intraurban Agglomeration of Economic Units with Planar and Network K-Functions: A Comparative Analysis

Abstract

According to recent research, one of the most promising strategies for intraurban job growth lies promoting localized clusters that produce goods and services which are primarily sold within a single city, metropolitan area, or urban region. However, in order to design urban policies to create or reinforce local clusters, the first challenge is to measure in a reliable way the clustering tendencies of different kinds of economic units in intraurban space. The aim is to compare the similarities and differences in results obtained from two methods designed to measure global clustering tendencies (the planar and network K-functions) in terms of characterization, scale, and intensity of intraurban localization patterns for tertiary economic units in a Latin American metropolis. It is concluded that the network K-function is a more appropriate method for measuring agglomeration patterns, scale, and intensity at the intra-urban level.     

大姚模拟水温与“十五”数字化水温动态对比分析

通过对“十五”数字化水温分钟值与模拟水温整点值自2008年以来针对省内及周边地区发生的5．0级以上地震前后的水温动态特征进行对比分析,结果表明：“十五”数字化水温分钟值动态在省内及周边地区发生地震前出现短临、临震异常,比模拟水温整点值明显,“十五”数字化水温异常的特点是：在震前出现周期形态消失或周期突跳畸变,震后周期形态恢复较快。“十五”数字化观测采样率高,震前短临、临震异常特征明显,对临震预报预测具有较高的实用价值。     

粗大误差在船坞围堰安全施工监测中的运用与分析

船坞监测数据对船坞围堰的正常施工起着非常重要的作用,但是由于各种不正确的因素导致监测数据与实际情况不符,而这些异常测值不能通过直观的方法进行剔除,从而对船坞围堰的安全施工监控产生较大的影响,必须进行判断和处理。分别介绍了3σ（拉伊达）、Grubbs（格罗布斯）、Dixon（狄克逊）3种常用排除粗大误差的准则,并应用于具体的船坞围堰安全施工监测。结果表明,这些准则能快速、方便、有效地排除异常测值,为船坞围堰安全施工提供帮助。     

鄂尔多斯盆地姬塬地区长7段泥岩古孔隙度恢复方法研究

鄂尔多斯盆地上三叠统延长组长7段泥岩作为中生界油藏的重要烃源岩,其成藏期古压力是油气运移的主要动力,而泥岩古孔隙度的变化代表了古压力演化的特征,因此基于成藏期到最大埋深期烃类流体排出,地层超压释放的机理,提出了由孔隙度增量-最大埋深的关系逆推成藏期泥岩古孔隙度的新方法。通过分析最大埋深时期泥岩压实剖面的特征,利用长7段烃源岩欠压实孔隙度增量(△Φ)与最大埋深之间存在的指数关系,逆推出成藏期泥岩古孔隙度增量,并结合成藏期正常压实趋势下孔隙度值,恢复长7段泥岩成藏期总孔隙度。结果表明,姬塬地区长7段泥岩成藏期古孔隙度偏高,普遍在23%～35%之间,说明成藏期泥岩欠压实作用强烈,异常高压是源岩排烃的主要动力。     

平坦地区GPS高程异常拟合研究

GPS测量所提供的高程为相对于WGS-84椭球的GPS大地高,而我国使用的是正常高。大地高等于正常高与高程异常之和,要使GPS高程在工程实际中得到应用,必须先求出高程异常,进而获得正常高。结合GPS测量和水准测量资料,用神经网络方法和二次多项式曲面拟合方法拟合高程异常,对拟合精度进行了分析比较,得出了有实用价值的结论。     

Temporal variation of suspended sediment load in the Pearl River due to human activities

Data on sediment flux at three hydrologic stations from the 1950s to 2006 are utilized to study the decadal,annual,and monthly variations in suspended sediment load delivered from the Pearl River to the ocean.Results show that variations in sediment flux from three main tributaries,including the West River,the North River and the East River,are spatially non-uniform.Since nearly 90%of the suspended sediment load comes from the West River,its variation has dominated the overall tendency of sediment flux in the entire Pearl River.Although a significant decreasing trend exists in the annual variation of the total sediment flux,the decadal change can be divided into an increasing phase and a decreasing phase,with the turning point between the two phases in the late 1980s.From the 1950s to the 1980s,the average annual river sediment flux increased by 30.43%.However,sediment flux has decreased significantly since the 1990s,with the average sediment flux being 38.60%less in the 2000s than that in the 1950s.The current sediment flux is also 52.93%less than its peak in the 1980s. The monthly variation pattern of the suspended sediment load transport to the sea is more interesting. For the West River,all months show a decreasing trend,and for most months the reduction values are significant.However,for the East River the sediment load shows a decrease trend in the dry season and an increase trend in the wet season.The method of regression analysis was used to study the influence of precipitation in the variation on the sediment flux.It was found that the climate change is not the main driving force behind the variation in suspended sediment load.Before the 1990s, intensive land use destroyed the vulnerable ecosystem of the upper Pearl River,and speeded up the process of rocky desertification.Consequently,aggravated soil erosion caused an increase in suspended sediment load.However,sediment retention within reservoirs had begun to play a dominant role after the massive construction of large dams after 1990,and resulted in a decrease in the suspended sediment load delivered to the ocean.