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41.
The temporal and spatial characteristics of the surface air temperature variations over the Antarctic and its surrounding area 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The characteristics of the spatial distribution, temporal variations trend and oscillation for the surface air temperature
variations during 1957—1993 in the Antarctic and its surrounding area were analyzed. The results show that the short-time
climate change in the Antarctic is complex both temporally and spatially. The Antarctic is by no means the strongest responding
region to the global greenhouse effect. There is a distinguished difference in the trends of the temperature changes for the
Antarctic and global mean, which could not be explained simply by the global greenhouse effect.
Project supported by the National Antarctic Key Project of China (85-905). 相似文献
42.
43.
In a survey in Greece from 1987 to 2000 hepatotoxic cyanobacterial blooms were observed in 9 out of 33 freshwaters. Microcystins (MCYSTs) were detected by HPLC in 7 of these lakes, and the total MCYST concentration per scum dry weight ranged from 50.3 to 1638 ± 464 μg g—1. Cyanobacterial genera (Microcystis, Anabaena, Anabaenopsis, Aphanizomenon, Cylindrospermopsis) with known toxin producing taxa were present in 31 freshwaters. From our data and a review of the literature, it would appear that Mediterranean countries are more likely 1) to have toxic cyanobacterial blooms consisting of Microcystis spp. and 2) to have higher intracellular MCYST concentrations. A case study in Lake Kastoria is used to highlight seasonal patterns of cyanobacterial and MCYST‐LR occurrence and to assess cyanotoxin risk. Cyanobacterial biovolume was high (> 11 μL L—1) throughout the year and was in excess of Guidance Level 2 (10 μL L—1) proposed by WHO for recreational waters and Alert Level 2 for drinking water. Further, surface water samples from April to November exceeded Guidance Level 3, with the potential for acute cyanobacterial poisoning. Intracellular MCYST‐LR concentrations (max 3186 μg L—1) exceeded the WHO guideline for drinking water (1 μg L—1) from September to November with a high risk of adverse health effects. Preliminary evidence indicates that in 3 lakes microcystins are accumulated in some aquatic organisms. Generally, a high risk level can be deduced from the data for the Mediterranean region. 相似文献
44.
Transformation of Residuals to Avoid Artifacts in Geostatistical Modelling with a Trend 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Trend modelling is an important part of natural resource characterization. A common approach to account for a variable with a trend is to decompose it into a relatively smoothly varying trend and a more variable residual component. Then, the residuals are stochastically modelled independent of the trend. This decomposition can result in values outside the plausible range of variability, such as grades below zero or ratios that exceed 1.0. We transform the residuals conditional to the trend component to explicitly remove these complex features prior to geostatistical modelling. Back transformation of the modelled residual values allows the complex relations to be reproduced. A petroleum-related application shows the robustness of the proposed transformation. Furthermore, a mining application shows that when this conditional transformation is applied to the original variable, instead of the residual, simulated values are assured to be nonnegative. 相似文献
45.
46.
河南省土壤湿度年变化规律 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
利用河南省土壤墒情预报模型中建立的河南省台站土壤墒情数据库资料,对不同类型土壤湿度进行分析,从而确定不同类型土壤湿度差异、地下水对土壤湿度的影响及河南省土壤湿度的年变化规律。 相似文献
47.
根据联合国有关机构发布的公报和世界各国近年来的学术研究情况,整理出了近期水文学科在地表水、地下水、水质、水资源系统、大气~土壤~植被、大陆侵蚀、冰雪、遥感技术和示踪技术等领域的热门研究课题,在一定程度上反映了当前国际上水文学科的研究和发展方向,对国内同行有一定的参考价值。 相似文献
48.
1952~2003年我国区域经济发展不均衡的 长期变化态势 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2
文中分别利用Gini、GE等指数,以实际人均国内生产总值(GDP)为指标,详细考查了从1952~2003年,我国省市区间经济发展不均衡的变化态势及其在东部-内陆、南方-北方、高城镇化-低城镇化地区等方向上的变化。人均实际GDP的Gini、GE等指数显示,从1952~2003年,我国省级区域经济发展不均衡的总体态势是以较缓慢的速度逐步增加。具体的变化是,随着时间的推移区域经济不均衡呈周期性地上升、下降运动。就我国省市区经济发展不均衡在空间上的变化而言,一是在沿海-内陆和高城镇化-低城镇化方向上,分别在1990s中期和1980s中期以前,我国省市区经济不均衡主要表现为区域内部不均衡,但区域之间不均衡则不断增加,并逐步成为省市区经济不均衡主要部分;一是,在北方-南方方向上,我国省市区经济不均衡则是一直表现为区域内部不均衡,区域之间不均衡对省市区经济不均衡的贡献一直显得微不足道。 相似文献
49.
Characterizing rainfall–groundwater dynamics in a hard‐rock aquifer system using time series,geographic information system and geostatistical modelling 下载免费PDF全文
The aim of this study was to investigate rainfall–groundwater dynamics over space and annual time scales in a hard‐rock aquifer system of India by employing time series, geographic information system and geostatistical modelling techniques. Trends in 43‐year (1965–2007) annual rainfall time series of ten rainfall stations and 16‐year (1991–2006) pre‐monsoon and post‐monsoon groundwater levels of 140 sites were identified by using Mann–Kendall, Spearman rank order correlation and Kendall rank correlation tests. Trends were quantified by Kendall slope method. Furthermore, the study involves novelty of examining homogeneity of pre‐monsoon and post‐monsoon groundwater levels, for the first time, by applying seven tests. Regression analysis between rainfall and post‐monsoon groundwater levels was performed. The pre‐monsoon and post‐monsoon groundwater levels for four periods – 1991–1994, 1995–1998, 1999–2002 and 2003–2006 – were subjected to geographic information system‐based geostatistical modelling. The rainfall showed considerable spatiotemporal variations, with a declining trend at the Mavli rainfall station (p‐value < 0.05). The Levene's tests revealed spatial homogeneity of rainfall at α = 0.05. Regression analyses indicated significant relationships (r2 > 0.5) between groundwater level and rainfall for eight rainfall stations. Non‐homogeneity and declining trends in the groundwater level, attributed to anthropogenic and hydrologic factors, were found at 5–61 more sites in pre‐monsoon compared with post‐monsoon season. The groundwater declining rates in phyllite–schist, gneiss, schist and granite formations were found to be 0.18, 0.26, 0.21 and 0.14 m year?1 and 0.13, 0.19, 0.16 and 0.02 m year?1 during the pre‐monsoon and post‐monsoon seasons, respectively. The geostatistical analyses for four time periods revealed linkages between the rainfall and groundwater levels. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
50.
The role of baseflow in dissolved solids delivery to streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin 下载免费PDF全文
Christine A. Rumsey Matthew P. Miller Gregory E. Schwarz Robert M. Hirsch David D. Susong 《水文研究》2017,31(26):4705-4718
Salinity has a major effect on water users in the Colorado River Basin, estimated to cause almost $300 million per year in economic damages. The Colorado River Basin Salinity Control Program implements and manages projects to reduce salinity loads, investing millions of dollars per year in irrigation upgrades, canal projects, and other mitigation strategies. To inform and improve mitigation efforts, there is a need to better understand sources of salinity to streams and how salinity has changed over time. This study explores salinity in the baseflow fraction of streamflow, assessing whether groundwater is a significant contributor of dissolved solids to streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin (UCRB). Chemical hydrograph separation was used to estimate baseflow discharge and baseflow dissolved solids loads at stream gages (n = 69) across the UCRB. On average, it is estimated that 89% of dissolved solids loads originate from the baseflow fraction of streamflow, indicating that subsurface transport processes play a dominant role in delivering dissolved solids to streams in the UCRB. A statistical trend analysis using weighted regressions on time, discharge, and season was used to evaluate changes in baseflow dissolved solids loads in streams (n = 27) from 1986 to 2011. Decreasing trends in baseflow dissolved solids loads were observed at 63% of streams. At the three most downstream sites, Green River at Green River, UT, Colorado River at Cisco, UT, and the San Juan River near Bluff, UT, baseflow dissolved solids loads decreased by a combined 823,000 metric tons (mT), which is approximately 69% of projected basin‐scale decreases in total dissolved solids loads as a result of salinity control efforts. Decreasing trends in baseflow dissolved solids loads suggest that salinity mitigation projects, landscape changes, and/or climate are reducing dissolved solids transported to streams through the subsurface. Notably, the pace and extent of decreases in baseflow dissolved solids loads declined during the most recent decade; average decreasing loads during the 2000s (28,200 mT) were only 54% of average decreasing loads in the 1990s (51,700 mT). 相似文献