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81.
A risk assessment of Tributyltin (TBT) in Tokyo Bay was conducted using the Margin of Exposure (MOE) method at the species level using the Japanese short-neck clam, Ruditapes philippinarum. The assessment endpoint was defined to protect R. philippinarum in Tokyo Bay from TBT (growth effects). A No Observed Effect Concentration (NOEC) for this species with respect to growth reduction induced by TBT was estimated from experimental results published in the scientific literature. Sources of TBT in this study were assumed to be commercial vessels in harbors and navigation routes. Concentrations of TBT in Tokyo Bay were estimated using a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model, an ecosystem model and a chemical fate model. MOEs for this species were estimated for the years 1990, 2000, and 2007. Estimated MOEs for R. philippinarum for 1990, 2000, and 2007 were approximately 1–3, 10, and 100, respectively, indicating a declining temporal trend in the probability of adverse growth effects.A simplified software package called RAMTB was developed by incorporating the chemical fate model and the databases of seasonal flow fields and distributions of organic substances (phytoplankton and detritus) in Tokyo Bay, simulated by the hydrodynamic and ecological model, respectively.  相似文献   
82.
European brackish water seas (Baltic Sea, Black Sea and Sea of Azov, Caspian Sea) are subject to intense invasion of non-indigenous species (NIS). In these seas, salinity is the most important range limiting factor and native species seem to reach a minimum species richness at intermediate salinities. This trend, revealed by Remane in 1934 and later on confirmed by many other scientists, was compared to the salinity range of already established NIS in the European brackish water seas. It turned out that most NIS are well adapted to the salinities holding lowest native species richness, already in their native area, and that NIS richness maximum in brackish water seas occurs in the salinity intervals of native species richness minimum. A predictable pattern in the salinity range of NIS can be used as a tool in initial risk assessment of future invasions in brackish water seas, especially when mapping highly potential donor and recipient areas. A product of empty niches, suitable environmental conditions, and availability of proper vectors might be the most effective predictor for the invasibility of brackish water areas.  相似文献   
83.
Empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) or principal components were used to extract the significant modes of shoreline variability from several data sets collected at three very different locations. Although EOFs have proven to be a valuable tool in the analysis of nearshore data, most applications have focused on the ability of the technique to describe cross-shore or profile variability. Here however, EOFs were used to help identify the dominant modes of longshore shoreline variability at Duck, North Carolina, the Gold Coast, Australia, and at several locations within the Columbia River Littoral Cell in the U.S. Pacific Northwest. In part one of this analysis, characteristic patterns of shoreline variability identified by the EOF analysis are described in detail. At each site, the dominant modes consisting of the first four eigenfunctions were found to describe nearly 95% of the total shoreline variability. At both Duck and the Gold Coast, several interesting longshore periodic features suggestive of sand waves were identified, while boundary effects related to natural headlands and navigational structures/entrances dominated the Pacific Northwest data sets.  相似文献   
84.
冬季东中国海环流中的中尺度涡旋数值模拟   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5       下载免费PDF全文
采用高精度的POM模式 ,考虑了海底地形、外来流、长江径流、海面风应力、海面热通量等多方面因素的影响 ,模拟了冬季东中国海环流结构。模拟结果显示 :在黄海东部很可能存在两个涡 ,中心分别在124°37′E ,37°N ,124°E ,35°30′N ;东海北部存在一个大型的气旋式涡旋 ,其中心位置在125.1°E ,30.5°N附近 ,该涡旋是由东北向的台湾暖流、西北向的黄海暖流及南下的沿岸流组成的封闭结构 ;日本九州以西黑潮入侵分支形成一涡旋 ,黑潮分支是形成此涡旋的直接动力因素 ,另外地形和冬季盛行的偏北风也对该涡旋的形成有一定正面影响。  相似文献   
85.
REEdistributioninwater-sedimentinterfacesystematdeepoceanfloor¥ZhangLijie;LiuJihuaandYaoDe(ReceivedFebruary1,1994;acceptedMay...  相似文献   
86.
张林  薛振和 《海洋预报》1996,13(1):34-40
本文利用最大熵谱分别计算了南极4个区海冰和西北太平洋台风发生频数的变化周期,并对前3年的南极海冰强弱和当年的台风发生频率数进行了逐月时间序列相关分析。  相似文献   
87.
LI  Wen-long 《中国海洋工程》2003,17(4):541-550
The floating oil storage system has been proposed as a new facility for Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) in China. Mooring is one of the key technologies to ensure the safety, reliability, and performance of the oil storage system. This paper describes the concept, analysis, design and reliability of the mooring system. For mooring system design of these oil vessels, analysis is essential of the behavior of the vessel in connection with mooring facilities of nonlinear resilience. A nonlinear mathematical model for analyzing a moored vessel is established and solved. Some results of numerical simulations are presented. Assessment of the safety regarding the mooring system in terms of failure probability is carried out. Another simulation model for calculating the failure probability of the mooring system is proposed. The design parameters that have an influence on the characteristics of the failure probability have been identified. The simulation results show that the mooring system has an annual reliab  相似文献   
88.
许朋柱  毛锐 《海洋与湖沼》1993,24(1):109-113
为了能够精确地拟合天然水域不规则的水陆边界,并能保持有限差分数值计算在矩形网格中进行,本文利用Thompson的数值网格生成技术,在长江口南支七丫口至横沙河段设计了一个椭圆型边界拟合坐标系,并在这个坐标系下建立了平面二维潮流数学模型。通过数值求解此数学模型,实现了计算区域内现状潮流的一个数值模拟,模拟结果表明,模式的设计是成功的。  相似文献   
89.
通过模拟实验制备了硅酸盐类不溶性固体,从X射线衍射特征和红外光谱特征两方面看,制得的硅酸盐类与河口新生相成分,结构相似,表明铁水解成的β-FeOOH胶体吸附Si,Al,Mg,K等元素,经结构重组可形成硅酸盐矿物,这可能是河口体系新生相的形成原因。  相似文献   
90.
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