哈尔滨春季一次罕见重度霾天气成因分析

利用气象、环境、卫星遥感火点监测等资料，从环流形势、气象要素、污染物和污染传输特征等方面对哈尔滨2018年4月4日夜间至5日白天罕见重度霾天气成因进行分析。结果表明，此次重度霾天气首要污染物为PM2.5，污染最重时PM2.5浓度高达507μg?m-3，秸秆焚烧是污染物的主要来源，既有本地源又有外地源，利用HYSPLIT模型模拟出这次重度霾天气污染传输特征。重度霾时段，近地面风速小，为1.5m·s-1左右，最小为0.1m·s-1，风向呈弱气旋性辐合、湿度增大有利于形成霾。低层存在较强的贴地逆温，逆温层顶高度约为100m,逆温强度约为1.5℃/100m，不利于污染物在垂直方向上扩散。地面均压场和高空弱高压脊、暖锋锋区和暖平流为这次重度霾天气提供了有利的大气环流背景条件。     

华南地区近震走时表（速度模型）的精度检验

利用１６６次地震资料，通过３种地壳速度模型的对比，按照规定的评判原则，对《华南地区近震走时表》（速度模型）对福建及其邻区的地震定位精度进行了检验．结果表明，华南地区地壳模型（走时表）比Ｊ－Ｂ模型（走时表）更适合于本区地震的定位．     

Computation of travel times and rays in a medium of two-dimensional velocity distribution

A ray-tracing computer program is described for a two-dimensional velocity distribution defined by the local wave velocitiesv _{i, j} in points at arbitrary depthv _{i, j} below the surface points with the horizontal coordinatesx _i . The velocity variation is assumed to be linear in the triangles formed by three neighbouring points. Travel times and rays are then calculated after the exact analytic formulae for any position of the source within the model. No assumptions other than of a piecewise linear velocity structure are made. A first-order discontinuity can be approximated by a thin layer with a strong velocity gradient and refracted waves or wide-angle reflections obtained in this way. As an example,P-wave rays were computed for section No. 05 of the Alpine Longitudinal Profile. The model includes a low-velocity channel which is cut off on the eastern side, first-order discontinuities and a sediment basin.Paper presented at the ESC-Workshop Meeting Seismic Waves in Laterally Inhomogeneous Media, Liblice, 1978.     

用户GPS轨迹数据支持下的出行安全分析

安全是每次出行的重要因素之一，传统方法大多基于人力或视频协同才能完成安全监控，缺少以轨迹数据度量出行的方法。定位和跟踪系统的技术进步，GPS卫星定位技术的不断发展与普及，使利用车载导航装置、手持GPS装置收集及使用GPS数据点成为可能。本文提出了一种基于用户GPS轨迹数据评价安全的方法，并以校区内宿舍与实验室间的轨迹数据为研究对象，验证了方法的有效性。研究表明：用户轨迹在离开安全轨迹处，获得较低的安全得分。反之，用户轨迹如果与安全轨迹极为相似，则获得很高的安全得分。该方法在检验用户轨迹是否与安全轨迹相似极为高效，同时以轨迹数据的形式反映用户的出行安全。     

Intelligent Transportation Systems and Travel Behavior in Connecticut

In the past decade, there has been significant investment in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) technologies that provide information to both en‐route and pre‐trip travelers. However, there is no definitive evidence that en‐route travelers actually use the information and alter their travel patterns. Previous research employed surveys that relied on motorists' written or spoken responses to questions involving travel information and hypothetical roadway scenarios. This research examines travel behavior on freeways equipped with ITS technologies in Connecticut using collected real‐time traffic count data from the diversionary roadways. Results find that more travel is occurring on the diversionary routes during periods of variable message sign (VMS) messages than during equivalent periods having no messages, indicating a motorist travel response to these messages.     

大同地区暴雨的天气分型及其成因的初步分析研究

根据大同市所辖8个县气象站点自有气象记录以来的暴雨资料，应用天气学及气候学等原理，对大同地区暴雨的天气气候特征和形成机制进行了系统的分析与研究，得出了相关结论。     

春季海温对中国夏季降水影响的诊断研究和预测试验

文中利用季降水异常集合的典型相关预测模式 ,以全球春季 (3～ 5月 )海温场作为因子场 ,对中国夏季降水场进行了诊断研究 ,并对 1998,1999及 2 0 0 0年这几个典型的中国夏季降水进行了回报试验。结果表明 ,春季海温与中国夏季降水之间存在较好的关系 ,春季海温在较大程度上决定了中国夏季降水雨带及其分布类型。考虑面积因子的集合典型相关预测方案对中国夏季降水具有较强的回报能力 ,此模式不仅能诊断出降水场和海温场中一些比较典型的空间模态和时间变化规律 ,而且可以再现 1998和 2 0 0 0年中国大部分地区的旱涝灾害。揭示了全球春季海温的异常变化在中国夏季 (6～ 8月 )降水异常中的作用。     

Errors Due to the Common Ray Approximations of the Coupling Ray Theory

The common ray approximation considerably simplifies the numerical algorithm of the coupling ray theory for S waves, but may introduce errors in travel times due to the perturbation from the common reference ray. These travel-time errors can deteriorate the coupling-ray-theory solution at high frequencies. It is thus of principal importance for numerical applications to estimate the errors due to the common ray approximation.We derive the equations for estimating the travel-time errors due to the isotropic and anisotropic common ray approximations of the coupling ray theory. These equations represent the main result of the paper. The derivation is based on the general equations for the second-order perturbations of travel time. The accuracy of the anisotropic common ray approximation can be studied along the isotropic common rays, without tracing the anisotropic common rays.The derived equations are numerically tested in three 1-D models of differing degree of anisotropy. The first-order and second-order perturbation expansions of travel time from the isotropic common rays to anisotropic-ray-theory rays are compared with the anisotropic-ray-theory travel times. The errors due to the isotropic common ray approximation and due to the anisotropic common ray approximation are estimated. In the numerical example, the errors of the anisotropic common ray approximation are considerably smaller than the errors of the isotropic common ray approximation.The effect of the isotropic common ray approximation on the coupling-ray-theory synthetic seismograms is demonstrated graphically. For comparison, the effects of the quasi-isotropic projection of the Green tensor, of the quasi-isotropic approximation of the Christoffel matrix, and of the quasi-isotropic perturbation of travel times on the coupling-ray-theory synthetic seismograms are also shown. The projection of the travel-time errors on the relative errors of the time-harmonic Green tensor is briefly presented.     

关于网外地震的定位问题--利用福建区域数字地震台网资料测定台湾地震震源位置

针对地壳内部的网外地震震源的定位问题，由震相组合成不同的方程组，利用均值寻查定位法迭代求解。在选取地球物理参数模型时，考虑了台湾地震部门定位时所用的模型和华南地区地震走时表等。利用福建数字地震台网记录到的绕射波Pn、Sn的到时资料，通过定位程序测定了134个位于台湾区域的壳内地震的震源位置。测定结果与台湾地震部门在其网址上公布的结果进行比对．平均震中位詈相差9km．震源深度相差8km．