云南地区波速比异常图像的南北差异

动态追踪了云南地区第4 强震活跃期6 .3 级以上强震前波速比异常图像,显示出明显的南北差异:滇西南的1988 年11 月6 日澜沧- 耿马7 .6 、7 . 2 级和1993 年1 月27 日普洱6 .3 级强震发生在低波速比异常区内; 中缅边境上的1992 年4 月23 日6 .7 、6 .8 级和1995 年7 月12 日孟连西7 .2 级强震发生在低波速比异常区边缘;而滇西北的1996 年2 月3 日丽江7 .0 级、1976 年11 月7 日、12 月14 日宁蒗6 .7 、6 .4 级和滇东的1995 年10 月24 日武定6 .5 级强震却都发生在高波速比异常区内.强震前近震震级 ML 与持续时间震级 MD 的震级差的南北差异也进一步证实了波速比异常的差别.     

应用地震资料设计水平井轨迹

应用三维地震资料设计水平井的轨迹,用人工合成记录标定层位和岩性并进行精细的构造解释和储层横向预测,对测区速度场进行研究,利用Geoquest 人机联作解释系统编绘层拉平图、转弯测线剖面图,不整合面构造图,各套油层顶面构造图,沿地层倾向设计水平井的轨迹.经两口井钻探,钻遇不整合面的误差0.19%—0.39%,一口井平均钻遇油层204m,相当9口直井的效益.用地震资料设计巷道水平井的关键是油层标定、深度标定和确定油层走向,用人机联作系统绘制水平切片图、反射波振幅图、油层顶构造图,设计了在油层内钻探的巷道井.经钻探,钻遇不整合面的误差0.07%,在真厚度8.23m 的油层内钻进563m.     

Characterizing mixed-use buildings based on multi-source big data

To-date few research has successfully integrated big data from multiple sources to characterize urban mixed-use buildings. In this paper, we introduce a probabilistic model to integrate multi-source and geospatial big data (social network data, taxi trajectories, Points of Interest and remote sensing images) to characterize urban mixed-use buildings. The usefulness of our model is demonstrated with a case study of the Tianhe District in megacity Guangzhou, China. The model predicted building functions at 85% accuracy based on ground truth data from field surveys. We further explored the spatial patterns of the identified building functions. Most mixed-use buildings are located along major streets. Our proposed model can identify mixed-use buildings in a city; information is useful for planning evaluation and urban policymaking.     

中国北极科技外交论析

鉴于北极特殊的地理位置和自然环境,北极科技外交往往是各国参与北极事务的起点和实现北极利益的先导。中国也概不能外,北极科技外交对保障北极科研装备、提高北极认识水平和促进北极资源开发等都具有重要意义。回溯中国参与北极事务的历程,北极科技外交是其中的主要线索和核心内容,现已取得了一些成绩。但作为域外国家和发展中国家,中国北极科技外交还面临着缺乏顶层设计、政策和资金支持不足以及若干国际因素的掣肘。对此,中国应通过充分发挥政府的主导作用、强化和完善运行机制、扩展北极科技外交的广度和深度等加以改进。     

Empirical calibration of climate policy using corporate solvency: a case study of the UK’s carbon price support

Emission reductions improve the chances that dangerous anthropogenic climate change will be averted, but could also cause some firms financial distress. Corporate failures, especially if they are unnecessary, add to the social cost of abatement. Social value can be permanently destroyed by the dissolution of organizational capital, deadweight losses paid to liquidators, and unemployment. This article proposes using measures of corporate solvency as an objective tool for policy makers to calibrate the optimal stringency of climate change policies, so that they can deliver the least loss of corporate solvency for a given level of emission reductions. They could also be used to determine the generosity of any compensation to address losses to corporate solvency. We demonstrate this approach using a case study of the UK’s Carbon Price Support (a carbon tax).

Key policy insights

• Solvency metrics could be used to empirically calibrate the optimal stringency of climate policies.

• An idealized solvency trajectory for firms affected by climate change policy would cause corporate solvency to initially decline – approaching but not exceeding ‘distressed’ levels – and then gradually improve to a new ‘steady state’ once the low-carbon transition had been achieved.

• In terms of the UK’s Carbon Price Support, corporate solvency of energy-intensive industries was found to be stable subsequent to its introduction. Therefore, the available evidence does not support its later weakening.

     

安丘台定点形变监测与地震活动性的相关性分析

应用安丘台跨断层定点形变的水准观测资料进行一般多项式曲线分段拟合,结合周边的地震活动背景．研究断层活动与地震活动之间的关系。结果表明,断层活动和周边的地震活动在频度上存在对应关系。可利用断层活动与地震活动的对应关系,为台站周边地区的地震预报提供参考指标。     

皋兰老虎台红砂种群在不同坡向的空间格局及关联性

种群的空间格局是研究植物种群相互作用及种群与环境关系的重要方法。红砂（Reaumuria soongarica）是黄土高原半干旱区的主要物种,通过野外的群落调查,运用空间点格局分析法中的Ripley K函数,分析甘肃皋兰老虎台荒漠植被不同坡向红砂种群的空间分布格局与种内关联。结果显示：红砂种群为增长型种群,其在不同坡向的分布具有显著差异;南坡及西南坡坡向上,红砂种群Ⅰ、Ⅱ级个体在小尺度上呈显著聚集分布,随着龄级及空间尺度的增加,红砂种群聚集强度逐渐减弱,最后趋于随机分布。西坡、西北坡坡向上生长大量的蓍状亚菊（Ajania achilloides）和短花针茅（Stipa breviflora）等对红砂的生长造成抑制并加剧种间竞争,各级红砂种群的分布格局均以随机分布为主。不同坡向上,红砂种群Ⅰ、Ⅱ龄级个体之间在小尺度内表现为负关联,随着尺度增加关联度降低,Ⅲ、Ⅳ龄级与Ⅰ、Ⅱ龄级个体之间呈显著的负关联,而Ⅲ、Ⅳ龄级之间没有明显关联性,表明龄级相近的个体在空间分布上是相互独立的。综上所述,在黄土高原半干旱区,影响红砂种群分布的主要因素除了其自身的生物、生态学特性外,微生境的影响也十分重要。     

BDS静态精密单点定位模糊度固定解精度分析

针对BDS单系统未校准相位延迟(UPD)估计以及不同时长精密单点定位(PPP)模糊度固定对定位精度影响的问题,该文选取56个测站估计UPD,利用未参与UPD计算的8个测站进行不同时长BDS静态PPP模糊度固定实验。结果表明:BDS星间单差宽巷和窄巷UPD在连续时段内具有一定的稳定性,其估计精度满足用于PPP模糊度固定要求。时长越短模糊度固定率越低。以IGS周解为参考值,不同时长模糊度固定解较浮点解三维定位精度均提高12%以上,时长越短模糊度固定解精度提高越显著。因此,模糊度固定是提高BDSPPP定位精度的重要手段。     

An Interpretation of ISO Guidelines for the Certification of Geological Reference Materials

Recommendations for the certification of reference materials, as published by the International Organisation for Standardisation (ISO), are reviewed and proposals made as to how they can be adapted for the certification of new geological reference materials. Whilst acknowledging the important contribution made by the large number of existing matrix-matched geological reference materials, it is recommended that future characterisation programmes should follow the ISO guidelines for certification, not the least so that laboratories can readily use the resultant samples to establish the traceability of geoanalytical results.     

GPS技术在金川露天矿边坡变形监测中的应用

本文结合金川露天矿边坡变形GPS监测研究,主要论述监测基点的选择,基点WGS-84坐标的确定,变形监测网的布设,GPS数据采集、处理和质量,坐标转换的实施等,给出反演推出的若干四等三角点及其它控制点的变形数据,这些数据和造成变形的物理成因符合得很好,最后概括出GPS技术应用于变形观测的若干优点。