预报技巧的诊断研究

利用国家气象中心（北京）Ｔ４２Ｌ９模式的初始资料和预报资料，对５００ｈＰａ高度场的预报技巧进行了统计分析，并用一个简单的正压准地转谱模式对两个典型个例的正压不稳定性进行了研究。结果发现：北半球５００ｈＰａ高度场第五天的预报与初始场的某些经验正交函数的典型场有关。预报技巧与初始场的稳定性及其误差和背景场的配置有关。     

大气化学研究进展——臭氧、气溶胶研究综述

大气化学是大气科学的一门新兴分支学科．早在100多年以前就已开始研究，但是真正发展则以1929年对大气臭氧的观测和对平流层臭氧光化学的理论研究为契机。现阶段大气化学的研究许多事实和现象还不清楚。尤其是关于一些大气微量成分的源、汇和时空分布，它们的迁移、输送和全球循环等问题，都需要进行更加深入广泛的观测和研究。     

地球的起源与演化研究进展

地球科学在研究远古地球的形成与演化方面积累了越来越多的证据 ,人类对于太空的观测程度也不断提高 ,加深了对类地行星的认识 ,取得了重要的成果。太阳系中的火星和金星可能存在已经绝灭了的生命。慧星和小行星对地球的多次撞击有能力导致严重的环境效应及生命大灭绝。行星的演化可能有两种模式 :冷的星团加热及热的星云冷却。火星上存在与地球壳体非常相似的沉积岩 ,说明有流动水存在的可能。较高地热的太古代地壳热流输出被认为是认识地壳构造特性的关键。晚太古代会聚与离散大陆边缘的对比研究表明太古代板块运动与年轻的板块构造旋回在样式及幕次方面都没有根本的区别。元古代大陆的增生是由于元古代源于地幔的板块构造及产生于地幔的热柱构造导致新生成分的加入而造成的。裂谷、盆地、推覆及伸展、火山侵入作用是显生宙大陆增生的主要因素。     

异黄酮的合成研究进展

综述了异黄酮合成方法和近年来我国在合成异黄酮化合物的研究进展。     

我国大地电磁测深新进展及瞻望

简要回顾了上世纪60－80年代，我国大地电磁测深工作的起步和发展， 较全面地介绍了90年代以来的新进展，并瞻望了新世纪的发展方向。     

ADVANCES IN STATISTICAL METEOROLOGY IN CHINA IN RECENT YEARS

Great advances in statistical meteorology have been made in recent years in China.The mainpoints are as follows:Introducing entropy principle into meteorology,entropy meteorology isfounded;Introducing memory function,self-memorization equation of atmospheric motion isderived;The fuzzy reasoning is introduced into meteorology;Using the method of nonlineardynamics in researches of climatology,some forecasting schemes of phase space are proposed;Chebyshev polynomial is generalized at irregular grids and an iterative scheme for forecast of timeseries is proposed:The wavelet transform is used in researches in climatology;Logisticdiscrimination is used in meteorology and quadratic discrimination and stepwise discrimination areinvestigated;The theory on grey system and the multilevel recursion proposed by Chinesescientists are introduced into meteorological forecast.In addition,complex empirical orthogonalfunction,singular value decomposition,projection pursuit,principal oscillation patterns and so onare also introduced.All the above methods have played great roles in operational weatherforecasts.     

Application of a simple headcut advance model for gullies

Gully erosion begins in streambanks and uplands as a consequence of adjustments in driving forces on the landscape imposed by changes in land use or climate. The deleterious effects of gullies worldwide have led to many site‐specific studies of gully form and function. In the continental United States, gully erosion in agricultural land has destroyed valuable farmland yet, prediction of gully processes remains problematic on a national scale. This research has proposed a simple method to predict gully headcut advance. When combined with SWAT hydrologic flow routines, the model predicted gully headcut advance with reasonable accuracy on a daily time step for time periods exceeding two decades. The model was tested in two distinct land resource areas of the United States with differing climate, soils, cover and drainage. The inputs for the headcut model have been kept simple as the model will be applied over large areas. Model inputs consist of headcut height, headcut resistance (based on soil erodibility and a root‐cover factor), and daily flow. The model is compared with an annual time step model used in assessment of headcut advance and appears to offer a better way to assess gully headcut advance. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

音乐欣赏之我见

音乐欣赏是人们对音乐本身产生认识、发生共鸣获得审美愉悦的过程,在音乐欣赏中,人们必须学会倾听音乐、体验音乐情感,掌握一定的音乐基础知识,懂椁音乐欣赏技巧,才能培养音乐审美能力并提升音乐艺术的审美情趣。     

Advance in application of regional climate models in China

Regional climate models have become the powerful tools for simulating regional climate and its change process and have been widely used in China. Using regional climate models, some research results have been obtained on the following aspects： 1） the numerical simulation of East Asian monsoon climate, including exceptional monsoon precipitation, summer precipitation distribution, East Asian circulation, multi-year climate average condition, summer rain belt and so on; 2） the simulation of arid climate of the western China, including thermal effect of the Qinghal-Tibet Plateau, the plateau precipitation in the Qilian Mountains; and the impacts of greenhouse effects （CO2 doubling） upon climate in the western China; and 3） the simulation of the climate effect of underlying surface changes, including the effect of soil on climate formation, the influence of terrain on precipitation, the effect of regional soil degradation on regional climate, the effect of various underlying surfaces on regional climate, the effect of land-sea contrast on the climate formulation, the influence of snow cover over the plateau regions on the regional climate, the effect of vegetation changes on the regional climate, etc. In the process of application of regional climate models, the preferences of the models are improved so that better simulation results are gotten. At last, some suggestions are made about the application of regional climate models in regional climate research in the future.     

南海现代海平面变化研究的进展

本文根据笔者近年对广东海平面变化的研究,并参考前人的研究结果,对南海现代海平面研究的进展进行了较系统的评述.认为数十年来南海相对海平面总体上呈上升趋势,上升速率一般小于2.5mm/a.1.8mm/a或1.9mm/a可以近似地作为绝对海平面上升速率.预测2030年或2025年相对海平面上升幅度为20～25cm.