Numerical modeling of groundwater inflow from a confined aquifer into Sangan open pit mine,northeast Iran

Numerical models are useful in the evaluation of the interaction between groundwater systems and mining activities. They can be successfully used to predict the quantity of inflow into open pits and to design an appropriate dewatering system. In this paper, a two-dimensional axi-symmetric finite element model called SEEP/W has been used to predict the groundwater inflow into Sangan open pit mine (anomaly north C). The Sangan iron mine is located at 280 km south-east of Mashhad, Iran, in arid and warm climate conditions wherein precipitation is generally limited. The water inflow to the pit is mainly from a confined aquifer, mainly by horizontal flow in the upper layers and vertical flow at the pit bottom. The results of the numerical model of the ground water inflow are presented and compared with those obtained from Theis, Cooper-Jacob and Jacob-Lohman analytical solutions. Ground water inflow monitoring was also carried out in a trial excavation at the Sangan mine in order to calibrate the model. The model was then used to predict groundwater inflow into Sangan open pit mine during its advancement. This model provides valuable information for designing an appropriate dewatering system.     

兴隆庄煤矿3煤顶板岩层富水性分区

分析了矿井顶板水害及防治现状,以兴隆庄煤矿４３１８工作面为例,用信息拟合方法对顶板富水性进行分区,应用模糊评判预测方法进行了顶板水量预测计算：涌水量等级为３级,正常涌水量为０．５～１．５ｍ＾３／ｍｉｎ,最大涌水量为２．２５ｍ＾３／ｍｉｎ,与实际涌水量一致。     

Daily reservoir inflow forecasting using artificial neural networks with stopped training approach

In this paper, an early stopped training approach (STA) is introduced to train multi-layer feed-forward neural networks (FNN) for real-time reservoir inflow forecasting. The proposed method takes advantage of both Levenberg–Marquardt Backpropagation (LMBP) and cross-validation technique to avoid underfitting or overfitting on FNN training and enhances generalization performance. The methodology is assessed using multivariate hydrological time series from Chute-du-Diable hydrosystem in northern Quebec (Canada). The performance of the model is compared to benchmarks from a statistical model and an operational conceptual model. Since the ultimate goal concerns the real-time forecast accuracy, overall the results show that the proposed method is effective for improving prediction accuracy. Moreover it offers an alternative when dynamic adaptive forecasting is desired.     

离层积水存在的矿井工作面涌水量预计

通过对某矿发生特大顶板突水工作面的充水条件分析,认为工作面采动叠加影响,在顶板厚层砂岩中形成的离层积水,是突水的主要充水水源。采用经验类比法和当量流径法,基于工作面涌水量值为正常涌水量与离层裂隙积水引起的涌水量之和,提出了涌水量预计计算理论公式,预计了该工作面未采区段恢复生产的涌水量大小。经实际开采检验,该方法基本可行。      

新驿煤矿下组煤矿井涌水量预测研究

在系统收集水文地质资料的基础上,运用"大井法"和水文地质比拟法对开采16煤的涌水量进行了预测,利用突水系数法,对八采区16煤底板奥灰突水危险性进行了评价,得出了突水系数分区图。经综合分析对比,采用大井法的预测结果:即开采16煤正常涌水量为482m3/h,最大涌水量为540m3/h;奥灰突水量初期为1 083～10 640m3/h,一般为660～4470m3/h;如对奥灰采取疏排降压方案,疏降排水量预计为770m3/h。此结果可作为矿井回采阶段防治水设计的参考。     

基于多元Copula函数的引滦水库径流丰枯补偿特性研究

研究引滦水库的天然来水系列之间的丰枯补偿特性,以期优化滦河中下游水库群联合供水的调度及合理配置该区域水资源.通过运用三元Copula联结函数构造了潘家口水库、陡河水库和于桥水库年入库天然径流系列的三维联合分布,然后利用此联合分布计算了这3个水库年天然来水量丰枯遭遇的概率.结果表明,3个水库径流系列的丰枯同步概率高达46.96%,潘家口水库对陡河水库和于桥水库不具补偿能力的概率为30.2%;为保证天津、唐山等地的供水安全,必须加强引滦水库群的优化调度,充分发挥各个引滦水库的调蓄功能,以降低不利丰枯遭遇带来的影响.     

VisualModflow模型在白涧铁矿区矿井涌水量预测中的应用

在分析确定白涧矿区水文地质边界条件的基础上,运用实测资料对Visu-almodflow模型进行识别和验证,同时修正了含水层的参数,修正后的模型较为可靠,可用于白涧矿区涌水量的预测。依据矿区奥灰含水层边界条件和渗透系数的不同,设计了-200m和-400m水平面不同边界及渗透系数三个方案对矿井的涌水量进行预测。结果表明:方案2的涌水量比较合理,能较真实的反映白涧铁矿矿体分布区水位疏降至-400m时的涌水量情况,预测其涌水量为7505m3/h。      

前倾槽背景下河套地区一次强冰雹天气成因分析

利用常规观测资料、多普勒雷达资料以及NECP(1°×1°)逐6 h再分析资料,对2016年9月22日内蒙古河套地区强冰雹天气成因进行分析,结果表明:在前倾槽有利的天气尺度环流背景下,中高层干冷空气叠加在低层暖湿空气上形成了对流不稳定层结条件。较大的对流有效位能(CAPE)、假相当位温θse高能区、0～6 km中等强度的垂直风切变有利于强冰雹的形成。反射率因子有"钩状回波"、前侧入流缺口、后侧入流缺口;前侧入流缺口表明有上升气流,强盛的上升气流有利于空中大冰雹的增长,后侧入流缺口表明有下沉气流,有可能引起破坏性大风。基本径向速度剖面有明显的中气旋特征,强烈的辐合有利于对流风暴上升运动的进一步发展;对流风暴后侧有辐散下沉气流降落到地面,辐散风出流促使对流风暴前沿的暖湿气流强迫抬升,从而使上升运动得到进一步的加强。反射率因子剖面有弱回波区、回波悬垂且55 dBZ以上的强回波核心位置超过-20℃层等温线高度以上;弱回波区左侧的回波强度高达55～60 dBZ且已经接地,表明有大冰雹降落到地面。     

Geochemical characteristics and source analysis of inflow of mine water in Wang’ershan Gold Mine, Shandong

Through a systematic observation of water level and temperature, and a comprehensive analysis of the data on major/trace elements, nitrite, hydrogen-oxygen isotopes, the conclusion has been drawn that there are two relatively independent groundwater systems (cool water and hot water), and the geochemical indicators of hot/cool waters are described. The cool water system is relatively enriched in Ca2 , Mg2 and HCO3-. Its TDS is relatively low, about 1400–1800 mg/L. The hot water system is relatively enriched in K , Na , Cl- and SO42-. Its TDS is relatively high, about 2200–2300 mg/L. The cool water system is enriched in Ba, Ga, Cd, and the hot water system is enriched in B, Ti, Cr, Ni, Cu, Mo, Rb, and Cs, relatively. Especially, the contents of Rb and Cs in the hot water system are more than five times as high as those in the cool water system. The NO3- contents of cool water discharged from the gold mine are relatively high, and those of hot water are extremely low. The δD and δ18O values follow an increasing order of surface water>mine cool water>mine hot water. The cool water comes mainly from the lateral supply of phreatic water, while the hot water comes mainly from the vertical supply of deeply circulating structure-fracture water. The ratio of cool water over hot water was estimated to be about 1:1 by a water quality model..     

孔隙砂岩多次化学注浆试验研究

选取宁东地区典型的孔隙砂岩,采用不同颜色示踪的化学浆液进行4次注浆试验;揭示了浆液在孔隙中的扩散、充填规律及注浆次数与被注岩层渗透系数、孔隙率之间的关系。研究发现：每次化学注浆浆液的充填情况有明显的差别,首次注浆浆液在整个岩样均有较均匀的充填,后续的各次注浆浆液均呈现部分区域积聚充填的现象;随着注浆次数的增加岩样的渗透系数减小,孔隙充填率增加,渗透系数、孔隙充填率与注浆次数的关系可分别采用幂函数及对数函数拟合;4次注浆后岩样的渗透系数减小了97%,说明多次注浆起到了很好的减渗效果。依据试验成果,建立数值计算模型,预测了不同注浆次数、不同开挖条件下注浆孔及井筒的涌水量,并与井筒实际涌水量进行对比,发现两者数据较为吻合,说明依据试验结果建立数值模型进行涌水量预测是可行的。