西藏甲玛铜多金属矿元素分布规律及地质意义

甲玛铜多金属矿床已经成为冈底斯成矿带内为数不多的铜品位高、规模大、矿体连续性好的超大型斑岩-矽卡岩-角岩型铜多金属矿床。文章根据167个钻孔的成矿元素化学分析结果,对各元素平面分带、（Pb+Zn）/Cu、Au/Cu、Mo/Cu、Pb/Ag、Zn/Pb、Zn/Cu比值分带以及剖面上元素的分带等进行了系统分析,认为甲玛铜多金属矿具有典型的与岩浆成矿作用有关的元素分带特征,矿体由深部向浅部具有Mo→Mo（Cu）→Cu+Mo→Cu（Pb+Zn+Mo）→Cu（Pb+Zn）→Pb+Zn的成矿元素分带现象,具有高温→中低温成矿演化的特点。研究提出,成矿流体的运移方向是由北东至南西,流体源位于矿区北东部的则古朗地区。这种典型的热液分带特征同海底喷流沉积矿床近管道相Pb/Ag比值高、远离喷口Zn/Pb、Zn/Cu比值高的元素分带特征有着本质的区别。矿区北部则古朗地区高Mo/Cu比值以及钼元素矿化强度随标高降低愈强的分布特点,均预示了该地区是深部隐伏含矿斑岩体之所在。     

张宣幔枝构造的成矿作用研究

地幔热柱具有多级演化特征。河淮亚热柱顶部地幔物质以薄板状斜插至燕山造山带之下，燕山造山带轴部东西向尚义－赤城韧性剪切带与太行山构造岩浆带轴部北北东向乌龙沟－上黄旗韧性剪切带交汇叠加，使深部中下地壳应变软化岩石及深部幔源物质减压释荷产生深熔岩浆并上侵，从而加速了造山带的上隆速度，并可形成地幔热柱的第三级构造单元——幔枝构造。其中隆升较快的地段发育成为典型的变质核杂岩构造。幔枝构造控制着构造变形－岩浆活动－蚀变变质－成矿作用统一体系，并形成与幔枝构造密切相关的内带为金（铜钼）、外带为银（铅锌）多金属的成矿系列。论述了不同构造部位的成矿特征及其相关性、统一性。据此提出了在有利构造部位（参照已有矿点分布）扩大找矿和向深部扩大找矿的认识。     

湖南香花岭复式碱长花岗岩体侵入期次关系的识别

香花岭碱长花岗岩为一复式岩体。不同期次侵入体之间的接触关系、白色和绿色含铍条纹岩以及磁铁矿条纹岩与不同期次侵入体之间的对应关系、通天庙、塘官铺、太平和新风不同矿化组合与不同期次侵入体之间的成因联系以及遥感图像中的环形构造特点和差异明显的Rb-Sr同位素等时年龄表明该岩体是两期四次碱长花岗质岩浆侵入作用的产物,燕山早期的三次岩浆侵入与本区矿化关系密切;而燕山晚期的一次岩浆侵入与矿化无关。上述认识可对矿区的某些地质问题作出合理的解释。     

Quantifying Organization of Atmospheric Turbulent Eddy Motion Using Nonlinear Time Series Analysis

Using three methods from nonlinear dynamics, we contrast the level of organization inthe vertical wind velocity (w) time series collected in the atmospheric surface layer(ASL) and the canopy sublayer (CSL) for a wide range of atmospheric stability ()conditions. The nonlinear methods applied include a modified Shannon entropy, waveletthresholding, and mutual information content. Time series measurements collected overa pine forest, a hardwood forest, a grass-covered forest clearing, and a bare soil, desertsurface were used for this purpose. The results from applying all three nonlinear timeseries measures suggest that w in the CSL is more organized than that in the ASL, and that as the flows in both layers evolve from near-neutral to near-convective conditions, the level of organization increases. Furthermore, we found that the degree of organization in w associated with changes in is more significant than the transition from CSL to ASL.     

中国近46年冬季气温序列变化的研究

利用１９５１～１９９７年中国大陆６９５个站的实测气温资料和纬度余弦加权平均法建立了全国及８个区域近４６扑冬季气温的时间序列,并对其变化特征作了分析研究。结果表明：我国冬季气温总体上呈非连续的增暖趋势。线性变化约为０．１５５℃。（１０ａ）＾－１,９０年代较５０年代约上升了０．６１℃,其中１９８５年以后地肝极为明显;冬季气温变暖不完全是由夜间最低气温引起的,最高气温的变化也是近期气温增暖的重要特征;青     

A Comparison of Four Precipitation Distribution Models Used in Daily Stochastic Models

Stochastic weather generators are statistical models that produce random numbers that resemble the observed weather data on which they have been fitted; they are widely used in meteorological and hydrologi- cal simulations. For modeling daily precipitation in weather generators, first-order Markov chain-dependent exponential, gamma, mixed-exponential, and lognormal distributions can be used. To examine the perfor- mance of these four distributions for precipitation simulation, they were fitted to observed data collected at 10 stations in the watershed of Yishu River. The parameters of these models were estimated using a maximum-likelihood technique performed using genetic algorithms. Parameters for each calendar month and the Fourier series describing parameters for the whole year were estimated separately. Bayesian infor- mation criterion, simulated monthly mean, maximum daily value, and variance were tested and compared to evaluate the fitness and performance of these models. The results indicate that the lognormal and mixed-exponential distributions give smaller BICs, but their stochastic simulations have overestimation and underestimation respectively, while the gamma and exponential distributions give larger BICs, but their stochastic simulations produced monthly mean precipitation very well. When these distributions were fitted using Fourier series, they all underestimated the above statistics for the months of June, July and August.     

IMPACT OF LATENT HEAT FLUX ON INDIAN SUMMER MONSOON DURING EL NI(N)O/LA NI(N)A YEARS

El Ni(n)o or La Ni(n)a manifest in December over the Pacific and will serve as an index for the forecasting of subsequent Indian summer monsoon,which occurs from June to mid-September.In the present article,an attempt is made to study the variation of latent heat flux (LHF) over the north Indian Ocean during strong El Ni(n)o and strong La Ni(n)a and relate it with Indian monsoon rainfall.During strong El Ni(n)o the LHF intensity is higher and associated with higher wind speed and lower cloud amount.During E1 Ni(n)o all India rainfall is having an inverse relation with LHF.Seasonal rainfall is higher in YY+1 (subsequent year) than YY (year of occurrence).However there is a lag in rainfall during El Ni(n)o YY+1 from June to July when compared with the monthly rainfall.     

地面气象站环境变化对气温序列均一性影响

为研究浙江省地面气象站环境变化对气温序列均一性的影响程度,采用测站历史沿革资料,对全省测站环境的时空演变进行了分析。采用距平累加、偏差界限值、F值检验法,对36个代表站的年平均气温序列进行均一性检验,并对非均一性产生的原因进行分析。结果表明:1971~2004年,浙江省测站的地理环境有显著改变;36站中有39%的测站为非均一性,产生非均一性的测站中,迁站原因占57%,环境恶化占36%;测站迁站引起的非均一性多发生在1980年以后;测站迁站时,新旧站址海拔高度差大且地理环境差异显著是造成气温序列非均一性的主要原因,迁站后气温序列较旧址存在偏高或偏低现象,其值对累年平均值有影响。指出了测站在迁移或环境变化过程中应注意的事项,以助于减少气温序列非均一性。     

浙江中西部一次大范围降水过程的多普勒雷达资料分析

运用多普勒天气雷达和天气图资料,对2006年7月6日出现在浙江中西部的1次大面积强降水过程进行了分析,探讨了多普勒天气雷达资料在大面积降水过程中的图像特征。发现在不同的降水时段,垂直风廓线(VWP)产品和径向速度PPI图像都表现出非常明显的特征。利用EVAD技术和变分法计算的散度和垂直速度产品,能比较直观地反映这次过程中大气各层辐合、辐散和垂直运动情况,并以此对浙江大面积降水过程发生、发展、维持和消亡的动力学机制进行了探讨。     

季节指数及其在季节性监测资料分析和预报中的应用

基于灰色模型的诸多优点，作者选用GM(1，1)模型分析和预报形变监测序列。然而直接应用GM(1，1)灰色模型分析和预报具有季节性的监测序列时往往精度不高。因此，作者提出运用基于季节指数的“去季节波动”法与GM(1，1)混合建模，对监测资料进行分析与预报。基于均方差和平均绝对误差两个精度准则，作者对此方法与周期函数拟合模型进行了比较。结果表明，此方法提高了具有季节性波动监测序列的预报精度，且建模方法简便、快捷。