Prediction of episodic acidification in North‐eastern USA: an empirical/mechanistic approach

Observations from the US Environmental Protection Agency's Episodic Response Project (ERP) in the North‐eastern United States are used to develop an empirical/mechanistic scheme for prediction of the minimum values of acid neutralizing capacity (ANC) during episodes. An acidification episode is defined as a hydrological event during which ANC decreases. The pre‐episode ANC is used to index the antecedent condition, and the stream flow increase reflects how much the relative contributions of sources of waters change during the episode. As much as 92% of the total variation in the minimum ANC in individual catchments can be explained (with levels of explanation >70% for nine of the 13 streams) by a multiple linear regression model that includes pre‐episode ANC and change in discharge as independent variables. The predictive scheme is demonstrated to be regionally robust, with the regional variance explained ranging from 77 to 83%. The scheme is not successful for each ERP stream, and reasons are suggested for the individual failures. The potential for applying the predictive scheme to other watersheds is demonstrated by testing the model with data from the Panola Mountain Research Watershed in the South‐eastern United States, where the variance explained by the model was 74%. The model can also be utilized to assess ‘chemically new’ and ‘chemically old’ water sources during acidification episodes. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

南水北调总干渠中线工程豫北段基础稳定性的InSAR时序分析

南水北调总干渠中线工程豫北段受矿区开采沉陷、区域地质构造活动及城市地下水开采沉降等多种威胁,区域地质结构稳定性较差。为了评估干渠沿线基础稳定性,为引水工程提供安全评价保障,以南水北调中线豫北段为例,利用2009年全年共9期ENVISAT ASAR雷达数据,采用二通加外部DEM的D-InSAR数据处理算法和"相位累积式"干涉测量甄别大气影响,采用"相邻重访周期式"干涉测量减小时间退相干影响,获得了沿线126km渠段、33个监测点在2009年8个时间段的时序差分形变相位图像;提取了不同时期采矿、地下水开采造成的地面沉降区及沉降幅度信息;评价了区域活动构造及稳定性。研究表明:研究渠段全线有不均匀下沉,350d累积最小下沉量为-33mm,最大下沉量为-73mm。年下沉速率0.34~0.76m/a,年平均下沉速率0.53m/a。监测点下沉总体符合指数分布,平均相关系数R2=0.741 8。根据监测点下沉拟合曲线预测,调水干渠多数段落基础下沉趋稳;南水北调中线工程豫北段受多种因素叠加影响,总体基础稳定性较差,地质构造活动、城市地表沉降为主要影响因素,基础施工为次要影响,矿区开采沉陷对基础失稳未见直接相关性。     

水库地震监测与预测技术研究项目实施情况

介绍了"水库地震监测与预测技术研究"项目在广东河源新丰江水库库区详细的实施情况,包括观测场址的勘选、台基测试、台站建设、仪器安装、数据处理等工作,总结了项目成功实施的经验。     

未来50a中国地区冻土面积分布变化

在检验CMIP3模式比较计划中模式在中国地区的温度模拟效果的基础上,选取模拟效果相对较好的HadCM3、EACHE5模拟结果,采用Kudryavtsev方法,应用数字化土壤和植被资料,借助Arc-GIS,对未来50 a中国地区在A2情景下的冻土空间变化趋势进行了模拟计算. 结果表明,在A2情景下,未来50 a中国地区的冻土呈现出退缩趋势,在2050年,多年冻土在青藏高原地区的巴颜喀拉山-唐古拉山之间、冈底斯山地区出现退化,中国的冻土面积较2006年减少约10.7%.     

可视化人体的整体坐标系统

可视人数据集是人体解剖结构的基础信息数据集.为了确定人体结构在三维空间中的准确定位以及在不同个体之间便于比较,文中提出和建立了可视化人体的整体坐标系统.以通过耻骨联合上缘中点的水平横切面为标准原点平面,将人体分为上、下部:上部包括头,颈、胸、腹、上臂、前臂等重要部位;下部包括骨盆、下肢和手.人体的整体坐标系可以确定人体重要结构的每一个体元的空间绝对坐标及相对坐标,在图像的分割、匹配、重建中起重要作用.通过坐标系统的变换,人体整体坐标系统可以方便地应用于临床的定位定量诊断,手术导航,放射定位治疗以及人体运动功能等领域的研究.     

Major Features of Topography,Geology, and Crustal Stability in the Taiwan Strait: A Scientific Approach to the Problem of the Taiwan Strait Tunnel Project

This article discusses briefly the major features of topography, geology, and crustal stability of the possible Taiwan Strait Tunnel Project (TST Project) area. Any one route of the conceived TST Project is larger than either of the English Channel Tunnel or the Seikan submarine Tunnel (Japan) by at least three times in length, and the topographic and geologic conditions are rather more complex and complicated than those of the former two projects. Moreover, the Taiwan Strait is a seismic risk area. Hence, the selection of the route of the submarine tunnel should take advantage of the favorable conditions in the topographic, geologic, seismologic, and other fields to avoid the unfavorable circumstances. At the end of the article, two supposed by comparable routes, especially the south one of TST Project are discussed.     

莱芜市破解用地瓶颈措施解析

当前,国家收紧地根,从严控制新增建设用地指标成为各地建设项目顺利落地的制约瓶颈。为破解这一难题,结合莱芜实际,分析了规划修编、指标利用、挖潜存量、加快供地等做法,对保障项目用地提出了建议和对策。     

IPCC AR4多模式对中国地区未来40 a雪水当量的预估

通过评估参加CMIP3计划的22 个GCM在20 世纪气候情景(20C3M)下中国地区雪水当量模拟能力的检验, 挑选出模拟能力较好的模式, 通过多模式集合方法, 对SEARS的模拟结果进行集合, 预估未来40 a雪水当量在中国地区的时空变化特征.结果表明: 在A1B情景下和B1情景下, 中国地区未来40 a雪水当量年际变化均呈减少趋势; 在A1B和B1情景下, 青藏高原地区、 华北平原地区、 长江中游地区及东北北部地区的雪水当量均呈减少趋势, 其中在昆仑山西段帕米尔高原地区减少最为显著, 其次为喜马拉雅山区和巴颜喀拉山东段地区.在中国北部的内蒙古高原地区、 云贵高原等部分地区的雪水当量则有所增加.总体上, A1B情景下比B1情景下雪水当量的减少更为明显. 2021-2050年雪水当量在青藏高原减少显著; 对于季节变化来说, 在秋冬季积雪的累积期, 雪水当量可能增加, 尤其在10-12月, 而在积雪消融的春夏季(2-6月)有所减少.     

青藏直流线路冻土地基监测研究

青藏交直流联网工程是继青藏公路、 青藏铁路等之后, 在青藏高原多年冻土区建设的另一种新结构的冻土工程. 系统地分析了青藏直流线冻土工程与其它工程的差异, 并就该工程冻土基础温度、 水分、 应力和应变监测系统的建立和观测要素, 以及初步观测结果等问题进行了讨论. 通过对2011年全年观测数据分析发现, 整个监测系统可以准确、 及时反映输电线路冻土基础的不同性状和特征, 可以反映影响塔基稳定性的主要因素及其变化趋势. 初步观测结果表明, 在不同时段, 监测塔式基础底部总体处于冻结状态、 塔基基本稳定, 但个别监测塔基地温增温幅度、 上限融化深度较大, 沉降变形呈现增加趋势. 鉴于工程完工和荷载作用的时效性, 塔基稳定性应处于动态变化过程之中. 为正确评价塔基稳定性, 需要对塔基回填土的冻融、 水热变化和塔基变形等重要过程进行长期监测研究.     

Greening international shipping through private governance: A case study of the Clean Shipping Project

This article aims to generate insights into both private governance and partnerships within the shipping industry, but also tries to improve understanding of the complex process of institutionalisation.This is achieved through a case study of the Clean Shipping Project, a public/private partnership that aims to promote sustainability in the shipping industry. A set of enabling and constraining factors are examined that shape the institutionalisation process and determine to what extent the Clean Shipping Project can establish and expand authority as an industry norm.Overall, the Clean Shipping Project cannot yet be considered a full-fledged private governance institution, because of an insufficient level of collaborative advantage mainly due to weak system robustness and unfavourable market characteristics and conditions. However, institutionalisation is an ongoing process and the future outlook for the Clean Shipping Project remains promising. The Clean Shipping Project is certainly a relevant supplement to existing regulations and there is a basic level of commitment and cohesion within the partnership, so it is not unlikely that in the future this initiative may help to uncouple growth in shipping activities from environmental harm.