Optimizing precipitation station location: a case study of the Jinsha River Basin

Precipitation stations are important components of a hydrological monitoring network. Given their critical role in rainfall forecasting and flood warnings, along with limited observation resources, determining the optimal locations to deploy precipitation stations presents an important problem. In this paper, we use a maximal covering location problem to identify the best precipitation station sites. Considering the terrain conditions and the characteristics of a rainfall network, the original maximal covering location model is modified with the introduction of a set of additional constraints. The minimum density requirement is used to determine a precipitation station’s coverage range, and three weighting schemes are used to evaluate each demand object’s covering priority. As a typical mountainous watershed with high annual precipitation, the Jinsha River Basin is selected as the study area to test the applicability of the proposed method. Results show that the proposed method is effective for precipitation station configuration optimization, and the model solution achieves higher coverage than the real-world deployment. Compared with the commercial solver CPLEX, a genetic algorithm-based heuristic can significantly reduce the computation time when the problem size is large. Several deployment strategies are also discussed for establishing the optimal configuration of precipitation stations.     

FTIR characterization of amorphous uranyl-silicates

Ambient-temperature environments in which dissolved silica and U(VI) are present may lack the conditions necessary to readily form crystalline uranyl-silicate phases; however amorphous phases, as defined by the absence of well-defined Bragg reflections in powder X-ray diffraction patterns, are kinetically favored when solution saturation levels are appropriate. Such amorphous uranyl-silicates may be related to the crystalline phases predicted to be thermodynamically stable and influence the mobility of U in the environment. To investigate amorphous uranyl-silicates and their relation to crystalline phases we precipitated solids from solutions containing 0.05 M UO₂(ClO₄)₂ and 0.1 M Na₂SiO₃ adjusted to pH values from 2.2 to 9 and allowed the precipitates to age in their mother liquors for approximately 6 weeks at 22 °C. We compared the chemical composition, X-ray diffraction patterns, and Fourier transform infrared spectra of the precipitates to those of the crystalline phases predicted by thermodynamic modeling. The precipitates were amorphous with U:Si ratios of 0.8 ± 0.1. Their FTIR spectra revealed changes in the UO₂²⁺ and SiO₄⁴⁻ vibrations as a function of pH that are consistent with a shift in mid-range structural linkages from those similar to soddyite to those more like Na-boltwoodite. Structural H₂O, OH, and SiO₃OH³⁻ vibrations do not change as a function of pH and are consistent with a mixture of soddyite-like and Na-boltwoodite-like features. Six weeks of aging at ambient temperature is enough time for the precipitate structures to rearrange and adopt mid-range structural linkages characteristic of crystalline phases predicted by thermodynamic modeling.     

淮河上游地区夏玉米生长降水关键期内旱涝致灾降水阈值研究

基于淮河上游地区11个气象站点1959—2015年降水资料,利用夏玉米气候产量与生育期降水序列进行相关性分析,确定降水影响夏玉米生长的关键时段,定义为夏玉米生长降水关键期,并采用21种分布函数对降水关键期内降水序列进行拟合,选取K-S和A-D方法进行拟合优度检验,建立最优概率分布模型,再基于降水概率分位数法定量化设计夏玉米各级旱涝的降水阈值R,并验证指标的合理性。结果表明:(1)淮河上游地区夏玉米抽雄-成熟生育时段及前一旬降水量对夏玉米产量影响显著;(2)各站点夏玉米生长降水关键期内降水序列的最优概率分布模型差异明显;(3) 11个站点夏玉米各级旱涝灾害的降水阈值地区差异较大,利用泰森多边形法确定整个淮河上游地区夏玉米生长降水关键期内旱涝致灾降水阈值分别是:重旱R73 mm,旱73 mm≤R138 mm,正常138 mm≤R337 mm,涝337 mm≤R475 mm,重涝R≥475 mm。     

应用CGDPA评估中国大陆地区IMERG的降水估计精度

应用国家气象信息中心基于地面雨量计的逐日降水分析产品CGDPA (China Gauge-Based Daily Precipitation Analysis)为基准数据,采用定量和分类评分指标分析了2014年9月—2015年8月中国大陆地区全球降水观测GPM (Global Precipitation M easurement)多星集成降水产品IM ERG (Integrated M ulti-satellite Retrievals for GPM)的精度。结果表明:1) IMERG日平均降水量能够较好地反映我国降水量的空间分布特点(局部地区偏低),季节平均降水强度的空间分布与CGDPA具有较好的一致性(尤其中东部和南部)。2) IMERG与CGDPA日平均降水量的相关系数在大部分地区介于0. 2～0. 5,只有少数地区超过0. 6,局部地区甚至出现负相关。3) IM ERG在中国大陆东部的降水估计精度明显优于西部,但东部绝大部分地区IMERG日降水量比CGDPA偏低10%～30%,甚至更低。4) IMERG与CGDPA降水概率密度相差最大的是微量降雨,其次是中雨,其他降水强度则相差很小。5)各季节IMERG探测降水的准确率POD都比较低,空报率FAR则比较高,临界成功指数CSI也比较低。     

中国大陆日降水峰值时间位相的区域特征分析

利用高密度的中国国家级地面气象站逐时降水数据,系统分析和比较了中国大陆地区暖季降水量、降水频次和降水强度的日变化峰值位相的整体特征、空间分布差异及典型区域平均的日变化演变特征。研究指出,中国大陆暖季降水日变化峰值时间主要表现为下午、清晨、夜间3类典型位相,且整体而言降水频次的清晨峰值更凸出,降水强度以下午峰值为主。综合考虑降水量和降水频次的日变化峰值位相,发现中国大陆地区降水日变化峰值位相在空间分布上存在7个典型区域:下午峰值区(东北至华北山区、东南内陆地区)、夜间峰值区(四川盆地西部至云贵高原东部、华北平原西部贴近山地的区域)和清晨峰值区(华北平原东部、秦巴山区至华中西南部)各两个,以及傍晚至夜间峰值位相的青藏高原区。各典型区域内部具有较一致的降水量和频次的日峰值时间位相,而区域边缘或交界处降水量和频次的峰值位相则相反,主要是降水量的下午主峰值时段与降水频次的清晨主峰值时段的错位。从降水量、降水频次和降水强度的日变化的演变特征来看,午后峰值区、夜间峰值区和青藏高原的傍晚至夜间峰值区的多数台站,都存在降水量位相滞后于降水强度而超前于降水频次的特征,这应是降水演变过程中时间演变不对称性和对流云系发展演变的具体表现。     

地基GPS遥感西藏改则站大气可降水量变化特征及其与夏季降水的关系

利用中日JICA项目2010-2011年期间的地基GPS探测逐时大气可降水量（PWV）资料,分析了西藏西部改则站PWV的季节变化和日变化特征及其与夏季降水的关系。结果表明：（1）该站PWV存在明显的季节变化特征,其高（低）值出现在6-9（12-3）月,呈现出明显的单峰型变化特征,同时表现出春季持续上升和秋季快速下降的特点。（2）谐波分析表明,改则站各季PWV日变化均以日循环为主,只是夏季也表现出一定的半日循环特征。（3）改则站PWV存在明显的日变化特征,低值一般出现在当地时间的凌晨至次日上午,各季谷值普遍出现在当地时间10：00前后;高值通常出现在当地的午后至午夜,但各季最大值出现时间不固定;（4）改则站降水通常都发生在PWV高值期,降水发生前后PWV有明显的逐渐积累与迅速下降的变化特征,PWV达到峰值的时间提前于降水。PWV对累积降水频次的影响要比累积降水量更显著。     

近30 a江苏夏季降水日变化的气候学特征

基于1980—2013年江苏省61站小时降水资料,分析了江苏省夏季降水日变化的特点及小时极端降水、不同级别雨日的日变化特征。结果表明,江苏省夏季降水日变化具有显著的双峰分布特征,然而江苏省北部和南部降水的主峰时段并不一致。从降水频次、累积降水量来看,江苏省北部降水以清晨至早上时段为主峰、午后至傍晚时段为次峰,南部降水与之相反。长持续性降水占夏季降水的2/3左右,且江苏北部占比多于南部,均为清晨至早上的单峰分布;短持续性降水占夏季降水的1/3,在江苏北部呈现出以午后至傍晚为主峰,清晨至早上为次峰的双峰分布,而在江苏南部呈现出以午后至傍晚的单峰分布特点。小时极端降水,阈值分布南低北高,虽然频次较少,但占夏季降水的40%左右。小时极端降水日变化的双峰分布和夏季总体降水分布类似,但主峰大都出现在午后至傍晚。不同级别雨日的日变化分布各有不同,但全省各区无显著差异。累积降水量贡献主要来自于暴雨和大雨。暴雨无论是从降水频次、累积降水量还是降水强度都呈现清晨至早上的单峰分布。     

西南三江兰坪盆地金满铜矿床成因研究:来自铜和硫同位素的联合约束

三江地区兰坪盆地中-新生代砂岩和板岩中赋存有脉状铜矿床,其成因一直存在争议。本文选取金满矿床作为实例进行了详细的铜和硫同位素研究。解析了该矿床成矿物质来源及其富集机理。研究表明金满矿床具有多期性、成矿物质多来源性。硫同位素数据显示,大部分分布在-5.0‰~+3.4‰之间,个别富集硫的轻同位素,δ~(34)S值达-10.1‰、-11.4‰、-11.6‰,认为硫主要来源于盆地蒸发岩硫酸盐,通过有机质热分解作用还原成H_2S,同时有少量生物成因硫及深部来源硫。铜同位素研究表明,成矿早阶段铜同位素δ~(65)Cu值在零附近,铜主要来源于深部地壳或上地幔,晚阶段硫化物富集铜的轻同位素,δ~(65)Cu值达-1.10‰、-1.02‰,铜主要来自盆地内成矿流体流经的地层。结合研究区成矿物质来源、流体性质及地质背景,认为不同性质流体混合发生氧化还原作用促使金属硫化物沉淀是金满矿床主要形成机制。另外,成矿流体沿断裂上涌,外界条件突变,压力下降,气体逸出等过程对硫化物沉淀也起到一定作用。     

Estimating snow distribution over a large area and its application for water resources

The spatial and temporal distribution of the snow water equivalent (SWE), snow density and snow depth were estimated by a method combining remote sensing technology and degree‐day techniques over a study area of 370 000 km². The advantages of this simulation model are its simplicity and the availability of degree‐day parameters, which can be successively evaluated by referring to snow area maps created from satellite images. This simulation worked very well for estimating SWE and helped to separate the areas of thin snow cover from heavier snowfall. However, shallow snow in warm regions led to some misjudgments in the snow area maps because of the time lag between when the satellite image was acquired and the simulation itself. Vulnerable areas, where a large variation in the amount of snow affects people's life, could be identified from the differences between heavy and light snow years. This vulnerability stems from a predicted lack of irrigation water for rice production caused by future climate change. The model developed in this study has the potential to contribute to water management activities and decision‐making processes when considering necessary adaptations to future climate change. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

湖南洛塔表层岩溶带水文地质地球化学特征分析

湖南洛塔为西南具有一定代表性的溶丘洼地型岩溶区,本文利用近两年来洛塔水环境监测资料,进行洛塔表层岩溶带的水化学和水温场特征的研究,认为该表层岩溶带的水化学和水温场的特征与气候、生态环境和岩溶含水介质等多种因素明显相关。不同影响因素对表层岩溶水水化学组分的作用有所不同,表层岩溶带岩溶水受气候影响较大,大气降水的降雨强度,直接影响到地下水化学组分含量的大小,总硬度和HCO-3 含量与降雨量呈明显的负相关关系,植被、土壤的覆盖程度与水化学组分含量高低呈正相关性。