地球内核平动振荡的地震激发

本文利用球对称、非自转、弹性和各向同性地球模型(SNREI)理论模拟计算了地球内核平动振荡的地震激发.以2004年12月26日苏门答腊大地震为例,讨论震源机制解(标量地震矩、走向、倾角、滑动角和深度)对内核平动振荡振幅激发的影响;基于全球21个Mw8.0级以上的大地震,分别计算10个数据资料较好的超导重力台站理论上可以接收到的内核平动振荡信号的频率域振幅.结果表明标量地震矩对内核平动振荡振幅的影响最大,走向、倾角、滑动角和深度对内核平动振荡振幅也有一定影响,但是影响相对较小;不同区域获得的由大地震引起的内核平动振荡信号的幅度存在显著差异,此结果为频率域多台站加权迭积提供了计算基础.另外,只有武汉台站接收到的2011年日本Tohoku Mw9.1地震激发的内核平动振荡的振幅值达到了地球表面高精度、高灵敏度的超导重力仪检测水平,振幅值为0.0103nm·s-2.结果说明地震激发的内核平动振荡的信号极其微弱,信号几乎淹没在背景噪声中,必须利用多台站迭积法才有可能将信号提取出来.     

2012-2013年中国西南地区秋、冬、春季持续干旱的成因

利用多种资料从大尺度大气环流、水汽输送、热带海表温度、北极涛动、平流层极涡等方面分析了2012-2013年中国西南地区秋、冬、春季持续干旱的成因。结果表明, 西南水汽输送偏弱、高纬度地区南下冷空气路径偏东、冷暖空气难以在西南地区上空交汇, 是此次持续干旱的直接原因。这段时间西南地区大都受平直西风气流控制, 孟加拉湾和中南半岛地区位势高度较常年偏高, 不利于这些地区气旋性环流的发展;热带海表温度异常变化,特别是冬春季印度洋海表温度的持续偏高, 使得菲律宾地区上空低层反气旋异常环流增强。这些都导致了西南向水汽输送偏弱。此外, 北极涛动异常变化对西南地区的干旱也有重要影响, 北极涛动持续处于负位相, 不仅使南支槽减弱变浅, 西南水汽输送减少, 还导致贝加尔湖高压脊偏弱, 使北方南下冷空气主体偏东。冬季平流层极涡强度的变化在各个高度的位势高度场和位势涡度场上都有体现, 其变化对冷空气的强度及路径有明显影响。     

利用周期振荡法测试超低渗储层的渗透率

渗透率是储层最重要的物性参数,也是油气开发的基础。随着页岩气、致密砂岩油气等非常规油气的开发,迫切需要开展超低渗透率（<0.1×10-3 μm2）测试,对测试方法和仪器都提出了挑战,是非常规油气开发研究的难点。目前我国石油工业中主要采用稳态法和脉冲衰减法进行超低渗透率测试,在测试精度、稳定性和测试周期方面还存在不足,探索高精度超低渗透率的方法十分重要。分析了室内渗透率测量的稳态法、脉冲衰减法和周期振荡法3种方法原理,在三轴应力下进行了岩石超低渗透率对比测量。结果表明,相比稳态法和脉冲衰减法,周期振荡法具有稳定性好、精度高、用时短的优点,建议引入非常规超低渗透储层渗透率测试。对周期振荡法的设备要求和数据处理方法进行了讨论,提出采用快速富里叶变换（FFT）、互谱法等信号处理方法提高数据信噪比,提高超低渗透率的测试精度和稳定性。     

Oscillation characteristics of summer precipitation in the Huaihe River valley and relevant climate background

Based on the summer precipitation data from the Huaihe River valley and the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River from 1922 to 2007,we analyzed the interannual and interdecadal oscillation and probability distribution characteristics of summer precipitation in the Huaihe River valley during the same period,using the wavelet transform and generalized extreme distribution methods.Whereby,we studied the climate background of East Asia Summer Monsoon (EASM),Sea Surface Temperature (SST),East Asia teleco...     

山东雨季季内降水分型及旱涝并存与急转——气候特征

采用1965—2007年山东省地面测站的逐日降水量和同期NCEP日平均再分析资料,运用统计学方法,探讨了季内降水分型、季节内振荡及旱涝突变的气候特征。结果表明,主要分为全省一致Ⅰ、东西反相Ⅱ、南北反相Ⅲ三种类型。他们的季内旱涝急转显示了典型的气候意义,Ⅰ型在6月下旬旱涝急转、8月中旬后期和9月初涝旱急转,与山东“夏季”雨季开始、结束时间的关键期是一致的。分型不仅限于山东,而是有着更广的旱涝区域。当Ⅰ型正相位时500 hPa高度场对应亚欧-北太平洋中高纬度为正距平,Ⅱ型表现出西北太平洋西岸的PJ波列,Ⅲ型对应着从西太沿岸-美洲西岸的类PNA型遥相关。      

大气准定常行星波异常传播及其在平流层影响东亚冬季气候中的作用

东亚季风区同时受世界上最广阔的大洋和陆地的影响,这种行星尺度的海陆热力对比以及青藏高原大地形的作用,从而产生很强的行星尺度扰动,并且这种扰动具有准定常的性质。利用再分析资料研究了准定常行星波活动的变化对东亚地区冬季气候异常的影响,主要侧重于年际和季节内时间尺度上的变化。在年际时间尺度上,冬季行星波两支波导的变化存在反相关的振荡关系,这种年际振荡一方面影响了北半球环状模的位相,另外一方面导致了东亚地区的气候异常。当有异常强的低纬波导时,一般对应有西伯利亚高压的减弱和我国东北、华北地区的增温;反之当有异常弱的低纬波导时,我国东北和华北温度则普遍偏低。研究还表明,行星波传播的年际振荡与东亚地区气候异常的关系显著地受到热带平流层准两年周期振荡（QBO）的调制,只是当QBO处于东风位相时,行星波传播的年际振荡才与东亚气候异常有显著的关系。在季节内时间尺度上,准定常行星波的变化与平流层极涡的低频变化密切相关,并且这种平流层极涡的异常通过和行星波的相互作用,可以自上而下影响到对流层的短期气候;平流层极涡异常下传对对流层大气环流有明显的影响,并且这种影响在东亚地区非常显著。由于平流层变化通常维持时间长,并且平流层极涡异常下传领先于对流层,因此这为东亚冬季短期气候异常的预报提供了一个新的预报依据。     

Stratigraphic analysis of the northern polar layered deposits of Mars: Implications for recent climate history

We examine the stratigraphy of the polar layered deposits (PLD) within the north polar cap of Mars to assess its layer continuity, correlations, cyclicity and structure and implications for the recent climate record. PLD sequences characterized using Fourier analysis and curve shape matching algorithms show that layers correlate throughout the upper part of the PLD. We tested for cyclicity and found that the uppermost ∼300 m contain a dominant wavelength layer packet of ∼30 m, interpreted to be a climate signal related to the 51 kyr precession cycle. Directly below this region we document a section of polar layered deposits ∼100 m thick without a dominant periodic signal; this is interpreted to represent a phase of low net accumulation and lag deposits formed during the last ice age, about 0.5-2 Ma ago. We further analyzed layer structure by combining these results with three-dimensional determinations of layer orientation (strike and dip) to assess the internal stratigraphy of the PLD and its implications for polar history. We show that individual layers within the PLD stratigraphy are not horizontal (no dip) but rather show broad variation in elevation with distance. Correlations suggest that the layer strikes and dips broadly follow present cap surface topography. Local variations in layer orientations in the vicinity of the troughs suggest that (1) trough structures were present at the time of layer accumulation and (2) dips may have been influenced by ice flow and/or static ice accumulation in the presence of preexisting troughs. This new information favors models in which the troughs are long-term structures of the PLD rather than (1) recently eroded into the PLD, or (2) very active and laterally migrating around the PLD. Our results strongly support the hypothesis that significant volumes of polar volatiles are mobilized and transported equator-ward during periods of increased obliquity. Our results predict that the upper ∼300 m of the north polar PLD accumulated in the last 500 ka, yielding net accumulation rates of ∼0.06 cm/yr. The presence and albedo of the no periodic signal zone suggest that polar net accumulation rates are very low and that dust rich lag deposits form during periods of sustained high obliquity. Layer sequences in the south polar and equatorial regions are examined and compared to those in the north; rhythmic sequences are observed in both regions but no direct correlations to the dominant signals of the north polar deposits have yet been found. These new techniques and observations provide a paradigm for further analysis of recent polar history (the upper kilometer of the record) and a basis for extending assessments to the lower part of the polar deposits and to other cyclic deposits in the geological record of Mars.     

Pulsating of the generalized ion and neutral polar winds

A three-dimensional, time-dependent model of the ion and neutral polar winds was used to study their dynamic evolution during the May 4, 1998 magnetic storm. The simulation tracked the dynamics of five species (O⁺, H⁺, H_s, O_s, and electrons) and covered a 9-h period. During the storm, D_st decreased to −210 nT, Ap reached 300, and K_p was elevated. The IMF B_z component was southward at the start of the storm and for several hours thereafter and then turned northward. However, the magnetospheric energy input to the ionosphere exhibited a 50-min oscillation, with the plasma convection and particle precipitation patterns expanding and contracting in a periodic manner. As a consequence, the ion and neutral polar winds pulsated with an approximate 50-min period. The H⁺ and O⁺ ions displayed cyclic upflows and downflows in the topside ionosphere as well as a highly structured spatial distribution that varied with time. The vertical flux of the neutral H_s atoms was upward at the top of the ionosphere, but the magnitude varied in a cyclic manner in response to the oscillating stormtime energy input. The vertical flux of neutral O_s atoms was downward at the top of the ionosphere and varied significantly with the stormtime energy input. For H⁺, O⁺, and H_s, the maximum total (integrated) vertical flux during the storm was upward at the top of the ionosphere, with values of 8–9×10²⁵ particles/s for H⁺, 2–4×10²⁶ particles/s for O⁺, and 2–3×10²⁷ particles/s for H_s. The corresponding total vertical O_s flux was predominately downward, with only localized areas with positive fluxes.     

Pc3–4 ULF waves at polar latitudes

A search for Pc3–4 wave activity was performed using data from a trans-Antarctic profile of search-coil magnetometers extending from the auroral zone through cusp latitudes and deep into the polar cap. Pc3–4 pulsations were found to be a ubiquitous element of ULF wave activity in all these regions. The diurnal variations of Pc3 and Pc4 pulsations at different latitudes have been statistically examined using discrimination between wave packets (pulsations) and noise. Daily variations of the Pc3–4 wave power differ for the stations at the polar cap, cusp, and auroral latitudes, which suggests the occurrence of several channels of propagation of upstream wave energy to the ground: via the equatorial magnetosphere, cusp, and lobe/mantle. An additional maximum of Pc3 pulsations during early-morning hours in the polar cap has been detected. This maximum, possibly, is due to the proximity of the geomagnetic field lines at these hours to the exterior cusp. The statistical relation between the occurrence of Pc3–4 pulsations and interplanetary parameters has been examined by analyzing normalized distributions of wave occurrence probability. The dependences of the occurrence probability of Pc3–4 pulsations on the IMF and solar wind parameters are nearly the same at all latitudes, but remarkably different for the Pc3 and Pc4 bands. We conclude that the mechanisms of high-latitude Pc3 and Pc4 pulsations are different: Pc3 waves are generated in the foreshock upstream of the quasi-parallel bow shock, whereas the source of the Pc4 activity is related to magnetospheric activity. Hourly Pc3 power has been found to be strongly dependent on the season: the power ratio between the polar summer and winter seasons is 8. The effect of substantial suppression of the Pc3 amplitudes during the polar night is reasonably well explained by the features of Alfven wave transmission through the ionosphere. Spectral analysis of the daily energy of Pc3 and Pc4 pulsations in the polar cap revealed the occurrence of several periodicities. Periodic modulations with periods 26, 13 and 8–9 days are caused by similar periodicities in the solar wind and IMF parameters, whereas the 18-day periodicity, observed during the polar winter only, is caused, probably, by modulation of the ionospheric conductance by atmospheric planetary waves. The occurrence of the narrow-band Pc3 waves in the polar cap is a challenge to modelers, because so far no band-pass filtering mechanism on open field lines has been identified.     

内蒙古中西部春季沙尘暴年代际振荡及环流特征分析

利用内蒙古中西部50个气象观测站1961—2000年春季沙尘暴日数资料,国家气候中心提供的北半球月平均500 hPa高度场网格尺度为10°(经度)×5°(纬度)的网格点资料、北半球500 hPa月平均环流特征量资料、东亚季风资料分析研究冬春季中高纬度大气环流的年代际尺度的演变特征及其对内蒙古中西部沙尘暴的影响,进一步揭示内蒙古中西部春季沙尘暴年代际变化的原因。结果表明：青藏高原位势高度、贝加尔湖地区位势高度、乌拉尔山地区位势高度、东亚冬季风、亚州经向环流、印缅槽、西太平洋副热带高压强度都对内蒙古中西部春季沙尘暴年代际振荡产生不同的影响。为内蒙古中西部春季沙尘暴的短期气候预测提供年代际尺度上的基本环流背景。