Seismotectonic deformation during the filling of Toktogul Reservoir,Kirghizia

Natural seismicity and induced seismic events are discussed in the context of the seismotectonic deformation method through the example of earthquakes in the Toktogul Reservoir region in the Central Tien Shan, Kirghizia. The parameters of seismotectonic deformation of various sites in the Toktogul Reservoir region are described, based on a statistical study of focal mechanisms. The relationship of induced seismicity to changes of water level in the reservoir is reviewed. The temporal stress-strain characteristics are investigated. Average focal mechanisms for the entire region, as well as areas in the immediate vicinity of Toktogul Dam are analyzed. The vertical component of seismotectonic deformation varies in time from compression to extension-opposite to what is expected from the influence of the reservoir load; strike-slip motions become oblique thrusts. Changes in the orientation of focal mechanisms coincide with the time of maximum rate of the filling of the reservoir.     

中国西北地区1993年5月5日黑风暴的机理探讨

该文用天气学、诊断分析方法对1993年5月5日我国西部地区黑风暴天气过程的发生发展及形成机理进行研究。结果表明，这次黑风暴是由强寒潮爆发，在特定季节（春季）和裸露、疏松的下垫面（沙漠、戈壁）条件下形成的中尺度现象。在对流层中低层垂直方向上存在很强的风切变，利于湍流发展；非地转强迫作用对次级环流贡献大于地转强迫作用；黑风暴前后显著的辐射加热不均匀分布所形成的热力正反馈作用，造成近地层局地锋生，并使热力正环流大大加强。     

FORECASTING IMPACTS OF HYDRAULIC STRUCTURESON AN ALLUVIAL RIVER

In the last decades the construction of large hydraulic projects on alluvial rivers in China has spurred the development of both physical and one-dimensional mathematical modeling to the point that deposition and erosion predicted by modeling in either way conform to prototype observations over periods of 3 to 19 years. The prototype data are those of Gezhouba on the Yangtze River and Danjiangkou on the Han River. The accuracy attained is in the neighborhood of 20% which is considered good enough in sedimentation engineering. Thus these techniques of modeling may be applied to forecast the impacts of hydraulic structures on an alluvial river. Mathematical modeling in 2 space variables has also been developed, but still awaits further verification.     

Crustal Texture and Rheological Evolution of Tongbai－Dabie Orogenic Belt，China

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Spectral index determination between 408 MHz and 5 GHz in the northern sky

We present the joint analysis of two 5-GHz interferometric surveys of the northern sky, taken with different baselines. The two surveys were carried out on the Jodrell Bank 5-GHz interferometer based at Manchester. The Maximum Entropy Method is used to check the consistency of the two surveys and the final two-dimensional maps are used, together with low-frequency full sky surveys, to put constraints on the Galactic spectral index. It is found that synchrotron emission is the dominant process at high Galactic latitudes below 5 GHz.     

Circulating subbeam systemsand the physics of pulsar emission

The purpose of this paper is to suggest how detailed single-pulse observations of slow radio pulsars may be utilized to construct an empirical model for their emission. It links the observational synthesis developed in a series of papers by Rankin in the 1980s and 90s to the more recent empirical feedback model of Wright (2003a) by regarding the entire pulsar magnetosphere as a non-steady, non-linear interactive system with a natural built-in delay. It is argued that the enhanced role of the outer gap in such a system indicates an evolutionary link to younger pulsars, in which this region is thought to be highly active, and that pulsar magnetospheres should no longer be seen as being driven by events on the neutron stars polar cap, but as having more in common with planetary magnetospheres and auroral phenomena.Received: 8 May 2003, Published online: 14 November 2003 Correspondence to: Joanna M. Rankin. On leave from: Physics Department, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05405, USA     

A laboratory simulation of mesoscale flow interaction with the Alps

A series of laboratory experiments, aimed at the simulation of some aspects of Alpine lee cyclogenesis has been carried out in the rotating tank of the Coriolis Laboratory of LEGI-IMG in Grenoble. Dynamic and thermodynamic processes, typical of baroclinic development triggered by the orography, were simulated. The background flow simulating the basic state of the atmosphere consisted of a stream of intermediate density fluid introduced at the interface between two fluid layers. The structure of the intermediate current was established by mixing fluid obtained from the upper layer of fresh water with fluid removed from the heavier salty layer below.The dynamical similarity parameters are the Rossby (Ro), Burger (Bu) and Ekman (Ek) numbers, although this last, owing to its small values, need not be matched between model and prototype, since viscous effects are not important for small time scales. The flow in both the prototype and laboratory simulation is characterized by hydrostatics; this requires (Ro²δ²/Bu)1 (where δ=H/L is the aspect ratio of the obstacle) which is clearly satisfied, in the atmosphere and oceans, and for the laboratory experiment.A range of experiments for various Rossby and Burger numbers were conducted which delimited the region of parameter space for which background flows akin to that found to the northwest of the Alps prior to baroclinic cyclogenesis events, were observed.One such experiment was carried out by placing a model of the Alps at the appropriate place in the flow field. The subsequent motion in the laboratory was observed and dye tracer motions were used to obtain the approximate particle trajectories. The density field was also analyzed to provide the geopotential field of the simulated atmosphere. Using standard transformations from the similarity analysis, the laboratory observations were related to the prototype atmosphere. The flow and the geopotential fields gave results compatible with the particular atmospheric event presented.     

库车坳陷西段出露盐体的溶解物理模拟

库车坳陷西段古近系库姆格列木群中分布着巨厚的盐岩层,喜山末期构造运动使得大量的盐体在库车前陆褶皱冲断带前缘被逆冲推覆至地表,遭受大气降水的溶解.除了平衡剖面恢复所得出的缩短量之外,盐推覆构造的逆冲推覆距离还应包括溶解盐体的厚度.通过采集研究区出露地表的盐岩样品,进行溶解物理模拟实验,估算自1.64Ma以来,研究区出露盐体的溶解厚度为3.969~14.727km.根据前人利用平衡剖面恢复所计算出该区的盐推覆构造的最大推覆距离为30km以上,从而得出该区的盐推覆构造的最大推覆距离为44.727km以上.     

吕梁市2005年9月20日暴雨过程分析

本文从天气形势、物理量场、卫星云图等方面对2005年9月20日出现在吕梁市的大到暴雨,局部大暴雨天气过程进行了综合分析,得到了一些有益的结论。     

回归分析方法在地震科学应用中的问题与探讨

分析了回归分析方法在地震科学应用中存在的问题,提出了按变量之间的物理关系进行分类回归的新观点。针对实际地震问题给出了具体的分类方案,从理论上论述了不同类型问题采用不同的回归方法的必要性。通过对实际地震问题分析,剖析了现有回归分析方法的优缺点和适用条件。在此基础上,对不同类型统计问题如何选用适当的回归分析方法提出了合理的建议。