东北第五地震活跃期结束时间及最大地震强度预测

本文在以往对东北地震大形势研究的背景上,基于1900年以来东北地区地震目录资料,利用多种分析方法,对该区地震活动规律及其发展趋势作了详细研究。结果认为,东北第五地震活跃期约到2008年结束,本活跃期最大地震强度为6级左右。     

Common oscillatory modes in geomagnetic activity, NAO index and surface air temperature records

Detection and extraction of quasi-oscillatory dynamical modes from instrumental records of geophysical data became a useful tool in analyzing variability of observed phenomena reflected in complex, multivariate geophysical signals. Using the extension of the Monte Carlo singular system analysis (MC SSA), based on evaluating and testing regularity of dynamics of the SSA modes against the colored noise null hypothesis, we demonstrate detection of oscillatory modes with period of about 96 months in the long-term records of aa index as well as in the records of surface air temperature from several mid-latitude European locations and in the North Atlantic Oscillation index.     

上海浦东地区“梅雨期”降水及其多尺度时频特征

提出了浦东地区“梅雨期”降水的概念。在此基础上,利用小波变换分析了浦东地区“梅雨期”降水的多尺度时频特征及其突变现象。结果表明:浦东地区6月1日—7月10日期间的降水序列能更加客观地反映该地区春末夏初这一特殊的“梅雨期”降水量的实际状况;浦东地区“梅雨期”降水存在准2 a和10～20 a的主要振荡周期;利用小波逆变换重构的不同振荡周期的时间序列能更好地反映原序列的主要周期振荡特征及其趋势信息。     

建筑工程沉降监测若干问题的探讨

根据多年沉降监测的实际经验,结合国家及行业的有关规范标准,对建筑工程沉降监测的方法、监测点的布设、周期的安排等问题进行了探讨,提出了一些新的见解。     

兰坪盆地水泄铜(钴)矿床石英的40Ar-39Ar快中子活化年龄

选取水泄铜(钴)矿床主成矿阶段的石英样品进行⁴⁰Ar-³⁹快中子活化法同位素地质年龄测定,获得坪年龄59.2±0.8Ma,对应的等时年龄为59.8±0.5Ma,反等时线年龄为59.9±0.1Ma,三者在误差范围内完全一致,都可代表矿石的形成年龄。该年龄与兰坪盆地铜多金属矿集区的矿床形成时代一致,反映包括水泄铜(钴)矿床在内的区域矿床形成于喜马拉雅造山运动早期统一的构造地质背景之下,受同一期构造—热演化事件的制约。     

U-Pb dating of zircon fromthe bed parallel anatectic granitic intrusion in the Baoban group in Hainan Island and the tectonic implication

1 Geological setting Hainan Island is situated in the conjunction region between the Euro-Asian plate, the Indian-Australian plate and the Pacific plate, its tectonic setting and evolution is implicated in understanding the continen-tal margin accretion and evolution of East Asia and the formation of the South China sea. The Jiusuo-Lingshui fault zone divides Hainan Island into the Yaxian Pa-leozoic massif in the south and the Qiongzhong Pa-leozoic massif in the north (Fig. 1), they con…     

Pollution au plomb dans la Savoie antique (II–IIIe s. apr. J.-C.) en relation avec une installation métallurgique de la cité de Vienne

In Lake Anterne (NW French Alps), the Roman period is characterised by a lead contamination more important than that of the 1970s, due to the use of leaded gasoline. The maximum of this contamination period has been varve-dated 220 AD, i.e., during the optimum of Roman civilization in the Alps. Crossing palaeoenvironmental and archaeological evidences points out the economic importance of the town of Passy for the City of Vienne and yields a new example of lead contamination due to local metallurgical activity rather than distant impact of the exploitation of the Spanish Rio Tinto mine. To cite this article: F. Arnaud et al., C. R. Geoscience 338 (2005).     

鲁西地区中元古代四堡期辉绿岩基本特征——以蒙阴野店及费县高家围子地区为例

蒙阴野店—费县高家围子一带辉绿岩广泛发育 ,多呈NNW向及近SN向岩墙分布 ,常成群产出。该辉绿岩是幔源基性岩浆沿区域性张裂隙 (刚性陆块伸展作用的结果 )上侵形成的 ,它标志着鲁西乃至整个华北地区早前寒武纪基底第三次克拉通化的完成 ,陆块从此进入稳定发展阶段。     

Representation of near-fault pulse-type ground motions

Near-fault ground motions with long-period pulses have been identified as critical in the design of structures. To aid in the representation of this special type of motion, eight simple pulses that characterize the effects of either the fling-step or forward-directivity are considered. Relationships between pulse amplitudes and velocity pulse period for different pulses are discussed. Representative ratios and peak acceleration amplification can exhibit distinctive features depending on variations in pulse duration, amplitude and the selected acceleration pulse shape. Additionally, response spectral characteristics for the equivalent pulses are identified and compared in terms of fixed PGA and PGV, respectively. Response spectra are strongly affected by the duration of pulses and the shape of the basic pulses. Finally, dynamic time history response features of a damped SDOF system subjected to pulse excitations are examined. These special aspects of pulse waveforms and their response spectra should be taken into account in the estimation of ground motions for a project site close to a fault.     

河南省小麦青枯发生规律的EOF分析

通过对河南省30个台站1967~1996年30年的气象资料统计,得出全省小麦青枯发生日数,对其进行EOF分析,发现全省小麦青枯发生日数主要呈“中部多南北部少”空间分布型,另外还有其它几种空间分布型;小麦青枯发生日数随时间推移呈减少趋势;对各模态时间系数进行功率谱分析,发现小麦青枯发生日数具有较明显的准3年周期;第一、第二模态时间系数与全省小麦单产存在显著负相关关系,为防御和减轻小麦青枯灾害提供了理论依据。