金沙江流域泥石流的组合赋权法危险度评价

针对目前地质灾害危险性评价中对指标权重确定方法的缺陷,使用改进的层次分析法和熵值法确定金沙江流域泥石流的各影响因素权重。在此基础上,提出一种新的组合赋权规则,使两类权重间的差异程度和分配系数间的差异程度相一致,从而排除人为因素及数据奇异点的影响,得到相对客观准确的结果。以金沙江的典型泥石流作为计算实例,对现场数据进行了提取之后,使用上述方法计算出影响因子的权重,将权重代入经典的危险性分析模型进行评估。计算结果与当地泥石流的实际情况和发展趋势相符合,从而证明了该方法的合理性。     

基于分层EOF的深海声速剖面时变特征建模

针对目前局部海域小时间尺度声速场建模方法未顾及不同深度区间内声速变化规律的问题,本文根据实测深海声速剖面的统计特征,提出了声速剖面分层方法,并进一步基于经验正交函数（Empirical Orthogonal Function, EOF）提出了局部小时间尺度的声速剖面分层时变模型构建方法。利用南海实测全海深声速剖面数据,分析了分层EOF第一模态系数和等效平均声速的日变化特征,并比较了不同拟合模型的精度。最后,利用试验海区的温度和潮汐数据分析了声速剖面周期变化的影响因素。结果表明： ①声速剖面分层EOF第一模态系数及等效平均声速具有日周期变化特征,上层声速日周期变化特征不明显,中层声速日周期变化特征较明显,下层声速变化较小但仍具有日周期变化特征;②局部海域小时间尺度声速拟合应考虑长期变化项的影响;③试验海区声速剖面EOF第一模态系数变化与温度显著相关,提取的声速剖面时变特征与海区潮汐周期特征基本吻合。     

Evaluation of the accuracy of the EIGEN-1S and -2 CHAMP-derived gravity field models by satellite crossover altimetry

Since the advent of CHAMP, the first in a series of low-altitude satellites being almost continuously and precisely tracked by GPS, a new generation of long-wavelength gravitational geopotential models can be derived. The accuracy evaluation of these models depends to a large extent on the comparison with external data of comparable quality. Here, two CHAMP-derived models, EIGEN-1S and EIGEN-2, are tested with independent long-term-averaged single satellite crossover (SSC) sea heights from three altimetric satellites (ERS-1, ERS-2 and Geosat). The analyses show that long-term averages of crossover residuals still are powerful data to test CHAMP gravity field models. The new models are tested in the spatial domain with the aid of ERS-1/-2 and Geosat SSCs, and in the spectral domain with latitude-lumped coefficient (LLC) corrections derived from the SSCs. The LLC corrections allow a representation of the satellite-orbit-specific error spectra per order of the models spherical harmonic coefficients. These observed LLC corrections are compared to the LLC projections from the models variance–covariance matrix. The excessively large LLC errors at order 2 found in the case of EIGEN-2 with the ERS data are discussed. The degree-dependent scaling factors for the variance-covariance matrices of EIGEN-1S and –2, applied to obtain more realistic error estimates of the solved-for coefficients, are compatible with the results found here.     

中国地区边界层大气气溶胶辐射吸收特性

采用粒子采样法对中国２３个地区边界层气溶胶的吸收系数作了测量,研究了其分布特征。结果表明：中国地区边界层气溶胶的吸收系数在１０＾－６－１０＾－３ｍ＾－１之间,明显呈北高南低的趋势,四川盆地和贵州有一相对较高的中心,吸收系数与粒子含量之间的相关系数为０．７４,吸收系数与粒子含量的分布一致性较好。小颗粒的吸收性能好于大颗粒。     

一种优化的频率域三维声波有限差分模拟方法

为提高频率域有限差分（FD,finite-difference）正演模拟技术的计算精度和效率,基于旋转坐标系统的优化差分格式被广泛应用,但是只应用于正方形网格的情况.基于平均导数法（ADM）的优化差分格式,应用于正方形和长方形网格模拟.这些频率域有限差分算子,各自具有不同的差分格式和对应的优化系数求解表达式.本文基于三维声波方程发展了一种新的优化方法,只要给定FD模板形式,可直接构造频散方程,求取FD模板上各节点的优化系数.此方法的优点在于频率域FD算子的优化系数对应各个节点,可扩展优化其他格式.运用此优化方法,计算得到了不同空间采样间距比情况下27点和7点格式的优化系数.数值实验表明,优化27点格式与ADM 27点格式具有相同的精度,优化7点格式比经典的7点格式具有更小的数值频散.

     

Determining Q of near-surface materials from Rayleigh waves

High-frequency (≥2 Hz) Rayleigh wave phase velocities can be inverted to shear (S)-wave velocities for a layered earth model up to 30 m below the ground surface in many settings. Given S-wave velocity (V_S), compressional (P)-wave velocity (V_P), and Rayleigh wave phase velocities, it is feasible to solve for P-wave quality factor Q_P and S-wave quality factor Q_S in a layered earth model by inverting Rayleigh wave attenuation coefficients. Model results demonstrate the plausibility of inverting Q_S from Rayleigh wave attenuation coefficients. Contributions to the Rayleigh wave attenuation coefficients from Q_P cannot be ignored when Vs/V_P reaches 0.45, which is not uncommon in near-surface settings. It is possible to invert Q_P from Rayleigh wave attenuation coefficients in some geological setting, a concept that differs from the common perception that Rayleigh wave attenuation coefficients are always far less sensitive to Q_P than to Q_S. Sixty-channel surface wave data were acquired in an Arizona desert. For a 10-layer model with a thickness of over 20 m, the data were first inverted to obtain S-wave velocities by the multichannel analysis of surface waves (MASW) method and then quality factors were determined by inverting attenuation coefficients.     

浮体间距对多浮体系统水动力系数的影响

根据三维线性势流理论，采用格林函数法，对多浮体系统的水动力系数进行了数值分析。数值算例中给出了在固定波频下水动力系数与浮体间相对位置关系曲线。水动力系数的变化幅度随着浮体间距离增大而变小。随着浮体间距的变化，水动力系数极值的出现具有明显的规律，相邻的极大值(或极小值)的间距为半个波长或一个波长。     

高温高压下流体中电解质活度系数的确定

高温高压下流体中电解质的活度系数在地球化学领域有着广泛的应用。本实验测量了100—500℃、0．11—12GPa下0．01mol／L KCl溶液的电导率,并利用Hueckel方程由实验确定的摩尔电导和极限摩尔电导计算出了KCl的平均摩尔活度系数。平均摩尔活度系数随温度升高而减小,随压力升高而增大,而在高温高压下随温度压力的升高几乎保持恒定。     

基于波形相关性的地震事件分类

讨论了地震波形相似性的定量描述手段,计算了长白山及附近地区2004年发生的20个较小地震事件的地震波形相关系数,探讨了波形相关性与震源类型的关系。     

渤、黄、东海底摩擦系数的研究

本文将伴随法用于渤、黄、东海M2分潮的数值模拟,利用Topex／Poseidon高度计资料进行同化,优化海底摩擦系数。文中对底摩擦系数取常数时进行了优化,同时还对底摩擦系数的一种新的处理方法进行了研究,即在计算海区选取一些点给定底摩擦系数,海区中任意一点的底摩擦系数由这些点的底摩擦系数线性播值得到,优化后得到空间分布的底摩擦系数。针对两种不同的线性底摩擦假设分别进行了一系列的实际实验,结果表明由空间分布的底摩擦系数得到的模拟值比底摩擦系数取常数得到的模拟值更接近观测值,能有效地提高数值模拟的精度。