登陆台风近地层湍流特征观测分析

在对多个登陆台风实地观测的基础上,选取出较有代表性的实验观测个例:“黄蜂”、“杜鹃”和“黑格比”3个登陆台风,分析探讨在登陆台风的中心、靠近中心位置的强烈影响区域和台风外围环流影响地区近地层湍流特征,以期对登陆台风的边界层湍流过程有所认识。观测资料分析显示,在登陆台风的中心及其强烈影响的区域:(1)风速和湍流强度均有强烈的变化;(2)水平湍流积分尺度明显增大,越靠近中心位置,增大越明显,而垂直方向没有明显变化;(3)在湍流谱的低频和高频区,湍能均可增大1~2个量级,其中垂直方向湍能增大的幅度略小于水平方向;(4)湍谱在惯性子区u,v,w3个方向的分布均不满足-5/3次方律,存在较大偏移,而在台风外围环流影响区和无台风影响时,则无上述的4个特征。     

Moving boundaries in transboundary air pollution co-production of science and policy under the convention on long range transboundary air pollution

This article focuses on the science–policy interaction in international negotiations in the context of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe's Convention for Long Range Transboundary Air Pollution (CLRTAP). It addresses the question how participants in the assessment process divide and co-ordinate work between science and policy and how this enhances credibility, legitimacy and relevance with multiple audiences. For this purpose the article combines an analytical framework to approach effectiveness of scientific assessment in policy making, with the notion of boundary work and co-production of science and policy. The article argues that knowledge produced within the CLRTAP process and the institutional setting in which this knowledge production takes place cannot be separated from each other. Furthermore credibility, legitimacy and relevance are to a large extent determined by boundary work in an early stage of the process. At the same time boundary work has to take place continuously in order keep the assessment process credible, legitimate and relevant for new audiences. The application of a combined framework for analysing credibility, legitimacy and relevance and for analysing boundary work turns out to be helpful in describing in detail what happens in practice at the science–policy interface. In particular it helps to address the question of the way participants in the assessment process divide and co-ordinate work, how this shapes design elements and how this enhances credibility legitimacy and relevance of an assessment.     

上海“7·31”局地强对流快速更新同化数值模拟研究

利用雷达、自动气象站、飞机观测(AMDAR)和探空等多种观测资料,采用中尺度数值预报模式WRF和资料同化系统ADAS,对2011年7月31日上海局地强对流过程进行了快速更新同化数值试验。结果表明,数值试验模拟降水的发生时间、落区和随时间演变与实况基本一致,较好再现了海陆热力差异导致上海南北两支海陆风爆发、形成低层辐合线,在热岛效应的叠加下进一步增强,继而引发局地强对流的过程。快速更新同化技术可有效延长此次过程的预警时效,这为城市强对流业务预报提供了新的思路。     

参数化的多次散射雷达方程和它的反演理论 Ⅱ:反演理论

本文根据参数化的多次散射雷达方程,分析了激光多次散射对激光回波信号和一次散射雷达方程反演结果的效应,提出了迭代前向积分法和迭代后向积分法以求解参数化的多次散射雷达方程,并根据多次散射信号对云和气溶胶的前向散射相函数的高度敏感性提出了一个从双接收视场的多次散射激光回波信号,同时确定云和气溶胶消光系数分布和前向散射相函数的方法.此外,本文还根据数值试验分析了这些反演方法在地基激光雷达和空间站激光雷达两种情形下的适用性.     

基于等效源的重力异常空间导数计算方法及其在川滇地区的应用

在综合分析前人研究成果的基础上,采用基于贝叶斯准则的等效源模型滤波增强方法来识别地质体边界。通过理论模型实验讨论了在相同的噪声水平情况下,不同算法对于计算结果的影响,模型实验结果表明,与直接计算和传统高斯滤波增强技术相比,新算法可以有效消除传统算法中普遍存在的对于噪声的过度敏感问题,所得到的地质体边界形态失真更小。随后,利用此方法对川滇地区的重力数据进行了处理,并对该地区的重力水平总梯度(THD)、重力垂直梯度模(AVG)、重力解析信号模量(AAS)、重力水平梯度垂向导数(VGHD)应用效果进行了对比分析。研究结果提供了川滇地区的构造分区信息,对该地区构造演化、边界定位及动力学过程分析具有重要的指导意义。     

辽东半岛南部震旦-寒武系界限剖面古地磁特征

在辽东半岛南部震旦-寒武系界限剖面中采集了32块古地磁岩石标本。古地磁测试结果表明:①辽东半岛南部震旦系兴民村期曾出现一次极性倒转,它发生在650Ma左右,可称之为兴民村反极性期,据此,可与国外上先寒武系对比;②本区震旦-寒武系沉积地层曾经历了中纬度→低纬度→中纬度的古地理纬度区的变化历史;③初步建立了辽东半岛南部震旦-寒武系界限附近地层的视古地磁极迁移轨迹。根据古地磁测试结果,结合本区地层特征,将震旦-寒武系界限定在兴民村组与葛屯组之间,兴民村组的顶为震旦系的上限,葛屯组的底为寒武系的下限。     

Three-dimensional analysis of the screening effectiveness of hollow pile barriers for foundation-induced vertical vibration

The study applies the three-dimensional boundary element method in frequency domain to investigate the screening effectiveness of circular piles in a row for a massless square foundation subject to harmonic vertical loading. Four types of piles were studied: steel pipe piles, concrete hollow piles, concrete solid piles and timber piles. A parametric study was undertaken to examine the effects of pile dimensions, operational frequency, and source distance on the screening effectiveness. The results showed that screening effectiveness of steel pipe piles is generally better than that of solid piles, and that a concrete hollow pile barrier can be ineffective due to its stiffness. The influence of pile length on screening effectiveness is more significant than that of pile spacing and the distance between the vibrating foundation and the pile barrier.     

A multiple scale modeling system for coastal hurricane wind damage mitigation

Hurricane wind damage constitutes the largest percentage of catastrophic insured losses in the US. Yet the complicated wind structures and their changes are not fully understood and, thus, have not been considered in current risk catastrophic models. To obtain realistic landfall hurricane surface winds, a large eddy simulation (LES) framework in a weather forecasting mode has been developed from a multiple nested Weather Research & Forecasting (WRF) model to explicitly simulate a spectrum of scales from large-scale background flow, hurricane vortex, mesoscale organizations, down to fine-scale turbulent eddies in a unified system. The unique WRF-LES enables the high resolution data to be generated in a realistic environment as a hurricane evolves. In this paper, a simulation of the landfalling Hurricane Katrina is presented to demonstrate various features of the WRF-LES. It shows that the localized damaging winds are caused by the large eddy circulations generated in the hurricane boundary layer. With a sufficient computational power, WRF-LES has the potential to be developed into the next generation operational public wind-field model for hurricane wind damage mitigation.     

华北主要构造单元及边界带现今水平形变与运动机制

根据华北地区12，15，16，1年高精度GPS观测结果，给出了华北地区各主要构造单元间两个时段(12-16年和16-1年)的相对水平运动.其结果为：①相对于鄂尔多斯单元，阴山单元的运动为(0-2.3)±1.6mm/a，方向约0°-W13°N，属于相对较弱左旋走滑运动.②相对于鄂尔多斯单元，晋冀鲁豫单元的运动为(4.4±1.0)-(2.5±1.5)mm/a，方向约为S50°-30°E，属于右旋型拉张运动；相对于燕山单元，则为(4.7±1.4)-(4.3±1.4)mm/a，方向约为E37°-°S，属拉张型左旋走滑运动.③相对于晋冀鲁豫单元，胶辽鲁苏单元12-16年的运动显示了顺扭的运动特征；16-1年的运动为(2.6±1.5)mm/a，保持顺扭趋势，方向约为W11°S，总体上属于北张南压的右旋走滑运动.分析表明：现今地壳构造活动与现代地壳构造运动性质基本一致，但量值有所差别；地壳运动存在着数年尺度的较明显的波动性，这可能是大陆地壳运动的一个主要特征；16-1年的运动不同于12-16年，主要表现为鄂尔多斯单元北移态势增强，山西断陷带和燕山构造带两侧拉张性有所减弱，可能是张北地震后应力调整与华北地区边界力耦合共同作用的结果.     

Fast numerical solution of the linearized Molodensky problem

 When standard boundary element methods (BEM) are used in order to solve the linearized vector Molodensky problem we are confronted with two problems: (1) the absence of O(|x|⁻²) terms in the decay condition is not taken into account, since the single-layer ansatz, which is commonly used as representation of the disturbing potential, is of the order O(|x|⁻¹) as x→∞. This implies that the standard theory of Galerkin BEM is not applicable since the injectivity of the integral operator fails; (2) the N×N stiffness matrix is dense, with N typically of the order 10⁵. Without fast algorithms, which provide suitable approximations to the stiffness matrix by a sparse one with O(N(logN) ^s ), s≥0, non-zero elements, high-resolution global gravity field recovery is not feasible. Solutions to both problems are proposed. (1) A proper variational formulation taking the decay condition into account is based on some closed subspace of co-dimension 3 of the space of square integrable functions on the boundary surface. Instead of imposing the constraints directly on the boundary element trial space, they are incorporated into a variational formulation by penalization with a Lagrange multiplier. The conforming discretization yields an augmented linear system of equations of dimension N+3×N+3. The penalty term guarantees the well-posedness of the problem, and gives precise information about the incompatibility of the data. (2) Since the upper left submatrix of dimension N×N of the augmented system is the stiffness matrix of the standard BEM, the approach allows all techniques to be used to generate sparse approximations to the stiffness matrix, such as wavelets, fast multipole methods, panel clustering etc., without any modification. A combination of panel clustering and fast multipole method is used in order to solve the augmented linear system of equations in O(N) operations. The method is based on an approximation of the kernel function of the integral operator by a degenerate kernel in the far field, which is provided by a multipole expansion of the kernel function. Numerical experiments show that the fast algorithm is superior to the standard BEM algorithm in terms of CPU time by about three orders of magnitude for N=65 538 unknowns. Similar holds for the storage requirements. About 30 iterations are necessary in order to solve the linear system of equations using the generalized minimum residual method (GMRES). The number of iterations is almost independent of the number of unknowns, which indicates good conditioning of the system matrix. Received: 16 October 1999 / Accepted: 28 February 2001