一个人造台风方案及其在移动套网格模式中的应用

发展了一个用于台风路径预报的初始场人造台风方案。该方案除包含对称台风环流外,也考虑了非对称凤的作用。使用双向移动套网格模式作的试验预报结果表明,初始场中引入人造台风后能明显提高路径预报的水平。      

T63预报产品对暴雨增强预报业务系统的影响及效果分析

利用兰州区域气象中心暴雨增强数值预业务系统，对应Ｔ６３模式预报产品资料和不用Ｔ６３模式预报产品资料两种方案进行了对比试验，并逐日分析了１９９６年７月、８月西北区的降水及形势预报结果，对其中几次大的降水过程作了重点讨论。     

水文模式DHSVM与区域气候模式RegCM2/China嵌套模拟试验

本研究在改进水文 -土壤 -植被模式DHSVM ,用气候观测资料驱动DHSVM进行模拟试验的基础上 ,建立了区域气候模式RegCM2 /China与水文模式DHSVM的嵌套系统 ,将区域气候模式对中国和东亚地区控制试验 (目前气候情景 )和敏感性试验 (未来 2×CO2 气候情景 )结果用双线性插值方法降尺度 (downscaling)到滦河、桑干河流域的 8个气象站点 ,然后再用数字高程模式DEM插值到DHSVM的细网格点 ,驱动水文模式进行嵌套模拟试验。试验结果表明 ,滦河、桑干河流域在未来大气中CO2 浓度加倍情况下 ,地面气温呈一致的增加趋势 ,年平均气温增加2 .8℃ ;两流域未来降水也呈增加趋势 ,滦河、桑干河流域年降水量分别增加 6mm和 4 6mm ;两流域未来蒸发量有所增加 ,年均蒸发量增加 2 9mm ;未来滦河流域年径流深减少 2 7mm ,流量减少 14 .72× 10 8m3 ,桑干河流域径流深增加 2 6mm ,流量增加 12 .2 2× 10 8m3 ,两流域合计 ,流量减少 2 .5× 10 8m3 ;未来滦河、桑干河流域径流深趋向一致 ,分别为 74和 71mm ,约为全国目前平均径流深 2 84mm的 1/ 4。可见 ,两流域未来总体上仍呈现暖干化趋势。本研究发展的嵌套模式系统具有一定的预测能力 ,而且通过参数移植 ,可应用于中国其他流域     

扎陵湖和鄂陵湖大气边界层特征的数值模拟

利用美国科罗拉多州立大学和MRC/ASTER发展的中尺度数值模式RAMS(Regional Atmos-pheric Modeling System),设计了有、无湖对比模拟试验,以NCEP再分析资料作为初始条件和边界条件进行了120h的三重嵌套模拟试验。结果表明,模式的模拟性能良好。模拟的大气边界层特征显示,由于扎陵湖、鄂陵湖的存在,白天(夜晚)具有很好的降温(保温)作用,并表现出明显的冷(暖)湖效应;在白天(夜晚)扎陵湖、鄂陵湖有明显的湖(陆)风效应;在两湖之间的陆地低层有辐合和风切变,且鄂陵湖西岸的湖风比扎陵湖东岸的强,削弱了扎陵湖东岸的湖风;扎陵湖、鄂陵湖使得白天湖区的边界层顶低,周边陆地区域的边界层顶高,夜间则相反;扎陵湖、鄂陵湖对感热和潜热的影响有很强的日变化,白天湖面的感热小于周围陆地,夜间湖面的潜热则大于周围陆地。     

Unstructured grid based 2-D inversion of VLF data for models including topography

We present a 2-D inversion code incorporating a damped least-squares and a minimum-model approach for plane wave electromagnetic (EM) methods using an adaptive unstructured grid finite element forward operator. Unstructured triangular grids permit efficient discretization of arbitrary 2-D model geometries and, hence, allow for modeling arbitrary topography. The inversion model is parameterized on a coarse parameter grid which constitutes a subset of the forward modeling grid. The mapping from parameter to forward modeling grid is obtained by adaptive mesh refinement. Sensitivities are determined by solving a modified sensitivity equation system arising from the derivative of the finite element equations with respect to the model parameters. Firstly, we demonstrate that surface topography may induce significant effects on the EM response and in the inversion result, and that it cannot be ignored when the scale length of topographic variations is in the order of magnitude of the skin depth. Secondly, the dependency of the inversion on the starting model is discussed for VLF and VLF-R data. Thirdly, we demonstrate the inversion of a synthetic data set obtained from a model with topography. Finally, the inversion approach is applied to field data collected in a region with undulating topography.     

Sapphirine parageneses from the Caraiba complex, Bahia, Brazil: the influence of Fe2+–Fe3+ distribution on the stability of sapphirine in natural assemblages

Abstract Sapphirine-bearing rocks occur in three conformable, metre-size lenses in intrusive quartzo-feldspathic orthogneisses in the Curaçà valley of the Archaean Caraiba complex of Brazil. In the lenses there are six different sapphirine-bearing rock types, which have the following phases (each containing phlogopite in addition): A: Sapphirine, orthopyroxene; B: Sapphirine, cordierite, orthopyroxene, spinel; C: Sapphirine, cordierite; D: Sapphirine, cordierite, orthopyroxene, quartz; E: Sapphirine, cordierite, orthopyroxene, sillimanite, quartz; F: Sapphirine, cordierite, K-feldspar, quartz. Neither sapphirine and quartz nor orthopyroxene and sillimanite have been found in contact, however. During mylonitization, introduction of silica into the three quartz-free rocks (which represent relict protolith material) gave rise to the three cordierite and quartz-bearing rocks. Stable parageneses in the more magnesian rocks were sapphirine–orthopyroxene and sapphirine–cordierite. In more iron-rich rocks, sapphirine–cordierite, sapphirine-cordierite–sillimanite, cordierite–sillimanite, sapphirine–cordierite–spinel–magnetite and quartz–cordierite–orthopyroxene were stable. The iron oxide content in sapphirine of the six rocks increases from an average of 2.0 to 10.5 wt % (total Fe as FeO) in the order: C,F–A,D–B,E. With increase in Fe there is an increase in recalculated Fe₂O₃ in sapphirine. The four rock types associated with the sapphirine-bearing lenses are: I: Orthopyroxene, cordierite, biotite, quartz, feldspar tonalitic to grandioritic gneiss; II: Biotite, quartz, feldspar gneiss; III: Orthopyroxene, clinopyroxene, hornblende, plagioclase meta-norite; IV: Biotite, orthopyroxene, quartz, feldspar, garnet, cordierite, sillimanite granulite gneiss. The stable parageneses in type IV are orthopyroxene–cordierite–quartz, garnet–sillimanite–quartz and garnet–cordierite–sillimanite. Geothermobarometry suggests that the associated host rocks equilibrated at 720–750°C and 5.5–6.5 kbar. Petrogenetic grids for the FMASH and FMAFSH (FeO–MgO–Al₂O₃–Fe₂O₃–SiO₂–H₂O) model systems indicate that sapphirine-bearing assemblages without garnet were stabilized by a high Fe³⁺ content and a high X_Mg= (Mg/ (Mg+Fe²⁺)) under these P–T conditions.     

基于非结构网格的波流耦合数值模式研究

本文采用ADCIRC模型和SWAN模型, 建立了一个基于非结构化网格的波流耦合数值模式, 风浪计算和潮汐风暴潮计算均采用同一套三角网格, 对复杂岸线和建筑物布置均有较好的描述, 且避免了模型插值, 提高了计算效率和精度。利用该模型对渤海湾西南海域几次强风过程中的风浪和潮汐风暴潮进行了研究, 通过实测资料对该模型进行了验证, 结果表明该模式具有较高的精度, 能较好地描述风浪、潮汐风暴潮的传播演变及其相互作用, 可应用于风浪与潮汐风暴潮的模拟计算。     

广西电网灾害性天气短信预警发布系统及应用

为提高行业气象预警信息的针对性、准确性、及时性,实现电网定区域、定点气象灾害精细化预警,充分发挥气象预警信息在行业气象领域的防灾减灾作用,在Window操作系统环境下,采用VC＋＋6.0开发工具,利用现有的广西气象短信发布系统、精细化流域分区面雨量监测和区域自动站实时监测资料,建立了阈值判断、针对性预警用语的电网灾害性天气短信预警发布系统;该系统具有自动检索、灾害性天气识别、人工与自动发送预警信息的功能,通过业务应用证实,该系统能及时、快捷提供更准确的针对性预警服务,为广西电网水电优化调度安排、电力发电增益、防灾减灾等生产决策提供及时有效的决策信息。     

复杂地表地质条件下地震波数值模拟综述

通过对复杂地质地表条件的分析研究,总结了近年来在这方面地震波场数值模拟的新方法。复杂地表的类型很多,对地震资料的影响程度不同,要想完全描述近地表的影响因素是不可能的。文中所介绍的模拟方法在处理这些问题上都是各有侧重、各有优势,目的是寻找合适的方法解决适合的问题。     

嵌套叉树网格的FDS数值模式在近海水域污染混合区计算中的应用

鉴于海域覆盖面积大而污水排放形成混合区相对集中的特点,基于四叉树网格布设的思想,分层次对不同研究区域按不同尺度网格对近海水域进行嵌套网格联合布置,重点模拟污水排放形成的混合区范围,在此基础上建立了Godunov型通量差分裂(FDS)格式有限体积法计算模式,实现了在不同尺寸的网格联立求解,提高了数值计算效率,又保证了计算精度.以海州湾近海水域为例,对海州湾近海水域流场及污染物混合区的范围进行了模拟计算,由此建立了排污量与混合区面积之间的响应关系,为环境管理部门对入海排污量的总量控制提供了依据.