湖南岳阳一次重度霾过程近地层物理量场异常特征分析

利用杭瑞高速公路洞庭湖大桥北岸测风塔的梯度风观测资料、三维超声风温仪资料以及岳阳气象站提供的逐小时气溶胶浓度和能见度观测资料,对湖南岳阳2017年1月28日的一次重度霾天气中的重污染过程的近地层物理量变化特征进行了分析,结果表明:（1）重污染来临前约130 min即28日01:50（北京时间,下同）,水平风速、垂直风速、高低层风切变都出现零值,大气处于静稳状态。重污染结束前180 min即28日09:00,上述物理量和高低层温度切变出现零值。（2）湍流强度在重污染来临前有强烈异常信号,其中水平纵向湍流强度异常信号最明显,于重污染发生前130 min出现异常峰值4.15,重污染结束前180 min出现异常峰值3.24。（3）湍流动能和动量通量都在重污染来临前130 min接近0.0 m2/s2,即湍流交换最弱,有利于污染物在近地面的持续堆积和重污染过程的发生。近地层的平均物理量和湍流特征量的异常信号的出现时间有较好的一致性,即出现在重污染来临前的130 min和结束前的180 min。揭示了重度霾污染天气的近地层物理量时间变化规律,着重分析了霾污染的生成、发展、消亡全过程的边界层湍流异常的前期信号,为深入认识霾污染天气进行有益的探索并为这类天气的预测预警提供科学依据。     

三种全球预报产品中国区近地面气温短期预报效果检验

全球气象预报产品是扩散模式、空气质量模式的重要基础资料和前提条件,其误差直接影响模拟结果的准确度。为考察不同气象预报产品的误差,选取2016年6月至2017年5月GFS、ECMWF、T639三种全球气象预报产品,利用中国2100个地面观测站数据,对预报产品中近地面气温进行了对比,并分析了其在不同季节、不同区域的特征。结果表明：在中国区域三种气象产品气温预报存在偏低预报的趋势,其均方根误差的年平均值为2.60—3.52℃,相关系数的年平均值为0.89—0.92,平均绝对误差的年平均值为1.87—2.67℃。整体而言,EC表现最佳,其余依次为GFS、T639。气温预报误差存在季节变化特征,三种产品均方根误差与平均绝对误差均表现为夏秋季优于春冬季,相关系数表现为秋冬季优于春夏季。气温预报误差存在明显的地域差异,三种气象预报产品的气温误差空间分布特征较为相似,在中国华东地区误差值表现较低,在西南地区误差较高。同时,其误差水平在中国沿海地区表现较低,在地形复杂地区表现较高。     

融合土地覆盖和土壤水分产品的近地表空气温度空间化方法

空气温度是评价人居环境的重要指标,与人类的生产生活息息相关;其观测对于水文、环境、生态和气候变化等方面的研究具有重要意义。传统的大范围空气温度观测数据一般通过气象站点获取,但由于气象观测站点空间分布离散稀疏的特点,所获取的数据不能精确描述空间连续的空气温度变化情况。因此,实现基于遥感数据的近地表空气温度精准估算具有重要的现实意义。本研究基于精细的地表覆盖类型、空间连续的土壤水分、地表温度（LST）数据,并结合其他辅助数据,构建了近地表空气温度空间化模型,并对近地表空气温度影响因子进行评估,发现地表覆盖类型对近地表空气温度的影响最大,土壤水分为最活跃的影响因素,经验证,模型精度较高,R²接近0.85,RMSE为0.5℃。本研究获取的精确空间连续的近地表空气温度信息,能够充分表达其空间异质性,为农业气象灾害灾变过程监测、农作物生长过程模拟、区域气候变化分析等研究提供良好的近地表空气温度数据支撑。     

高铁地震信号直达波波形反演建模

高铁地震信号由高速行驶的高铁列车与铁轨挤压形变后产生,具有频带宽、低频强、重复性好等优点.如何利用高铁地震信号进行地下介质重构,尚处于前期探索阶段.全波形反演建模技术是目前地球物理领域建模精度较高的方法之一,但其需要低频数据才能保证结果的稳定收敛,因此利用全波形反演对高铁地震信号进行近地表建模及属性变化监测和灾害预警具有独特优势.本文通过对高铁地震信号的分析,研究了高铁地震的理论震源信号和基于桥墩的离散震源信号,并通过模型测试实现了利用高铁地震信号的全波形反演建模及属性变化监测.     

The construction of a simple portable electromagnetic vibrator from commercially available components

Since its introduction in the late 1950s, hydraulic vibrators have become the dominant source for land seismic surveys. The hydraulic vibrators typically used for commercial land seismic acquisition, however, are large, costly to operate and expensive to purchase. This inhibits their use for small-scale and short-duration surveys as well as Vibroseis research. In this paper we describe, in detail, the construction of a portable vibrator from commercially available components for a cost of less than $US2,000. Data shows that the vibrator is able to successfully transmit sweeps from 15 to 180 Hz with different spectral contents. The vibrator produces a stronger signal than a sledgehammer and we estimate its output to be around 1 kN. The frequency content of the data was concentrated at lower frequencies (<100 Hz) and the ground-roll was far more energetic than that produced using a sledgehammer.     

Monitoring near-surface soil freeze–thaw cycles in northern China and Mongolia from 1998 to 2007

Remote sensing based near-surface soil freeze–thaw cycles detection in middle latitude especially where near-surface changing seriously still rare. In this research, soil temperature and 7-day maximum/minimum combined passive microwave brightness temperature were employed to apply a soil freeze–thaw algorithm in northern China and Mongolia. We proposed a random sampling technique to determine brightness temperature thresholds for 37 GHz vertically polarized radiation: 258.2 and 260.1 K for the morning and evening satellite passes, respectively, and determined the onset, offset, and duration of the phases of the near-surface soil freeze–thaw cycle. During the 10 years from 1998 to 2007, the onset and offset of soil frozen/thawed in spring and autumn progressed from south to north and northwest, and from low elevation to high elevation. The durations of the freeze–thaw transitions in spring, autumn and whole year were longest in the Loess Plateau, Ordos Plateau, and Songnen Plain, where they were 1–3 weeks longer than in other regions. The total annual durations of soil frozen/thawed increased/decreased progressively from the south to both the northwest and northeast. Over the 10 years, changes to both the timing and duration of phases of the freeze–thaw cycle were greater in spring than in autumn. Most of the changes were less than 2 weeks, but there were changes of up to 3–4 weeks on the Northeast Plain, Loess Plateau, and at Mt. Yinshan. Our research has contributed to understanding near-surface earth systems and suggests that changes in earth surface may cause extreme environmental events such as the dust emission in semi-arid and arid regions of East Asia.     

Forecasting near-surface ocean winds with Kalman filter techniques

In this paper a statistical forecasting model designed for bounded areas of near-surface ocean wind speeds is implemented.Dimension reduction is achieved by decomposing the covariance structure into one large-scale and one small-scale component using empirical orthogonal functions. The large-scale component is modelled with an AR process and forecasts are calculated by applying a Kalman filter.The model is suited for stable weather situations as for unsteady situations it requires more frequent wind information. From the prediction variance fields it is possible to identify where unexpected weather usually enters the area.     

On the Origin of Near-Surface Streaks in the Neutrally-Stratified Planetary Boundary Layer

The dynamics of near-surface streak formation in the neutrallystratified, rotating planetary boundary layer areinvestigated. The purpose of this note is to compare large-eddysimulation results to theoretical predictions suggesting thatstreaks are associated with non-normal mode optimal perturbations.Streaks are regions near the surface of alternating high and lowspeed fluid organized into nearly linear bands, with horizontalspacing of several hundred metres, oriented up to 30° relativeto the geostrophic wind, that evolve through a continuous cycle ofgeneration, growth, decay and reformation. We find that the earlystages of streak formation and growth are consistent with thelinear theory.     

Comparing shear-wave velocity profiles inverted from multichannel surface wave with borehole measurements

Recent field tests illustrate the accuracy and consistency of calculating near-surface shear (S)-wave velocities using multichannel analysis of surface waves (MASW). S-wave velocity profiles (S-wave velocity vs. depth) derived from MASW compared favorably to direct borehole measurements at sites in Kansas, British Columbia, and Wyoming. Effects of changing the total number of recording channels, sampling interval, source offset, and receiver spacing on the inverted S-wave velocity were studied at a test site in Lawrence, Kansas. On the average, the difference between MASW calculated V_s and borehole measured V_s in eight wells along the Fraser River in Vancouver, Canada was less than 15%. One of the eight wells was a blind test well with the calculated overall difference between MASW and borehole measurements less than 9%. No systematic differences were observed in derived V_s values from any of the eight test sites. Surface wave analysis performed on surface data from Wyoming provided S-wave velocities in near-surface materials. Velocity profiles from MASW were confirmed by measurements based on suspension log analysis.