全文获取类型
收费全文 | 2709篇 |
免费 | 301篇 |
国内免费 | 215篇 |
专业分类
测绘学 | 274篇 |
大气科学 | 332篇 |
地球物理 | 870篇 |
地质学 | 713篇 |
海洋学 | 358篇 |
天文学 | 118篇 |
综合类 | 70篇 |
自然地理 | 490篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 45篇 |
2023年 | 30篇 |
2022年 | 39篇 |
2021年 | 63篇 |
2020年 | 92篇 |
2019年 | 76篇 |
2018年 | 67篇 |
2017年 | 89篇 |
2016年 | 90篇 |
2015年 | 89篇 |
2014年 | 118篇 |
2013年 | 240篇 |
2012年 | 92篇 |
2011年 | 99篇 |
2010年 | 61篇 |
2009年 | 124篇 |
2008年 | 156篇 |
2007年 | 180篇 |
2006年 | 133篇 |
2005年 | 156篇 |
2004年 | 110篇 |
2003年 | 118篇 |
2002年 | 112篇 |
2001年 | 82篇 |
2000年 | 98篇 |
1999年 | 85篇 |
1998年 | 65篇 |
1997年 | 89篇 |
1996年 | 59篇 |
1995年 | 44篇 |
1994年 | 34篇 |
1993年 | 46篇 |
1992年 | 36篇 |
1991年 | 25篇 |
1990年 | 28篇 |
1989年 | 25篇 |
1988年 | 28篇 |
1987年 | 20篇 |
1986年 | 17篇 |
1985年 | 19篇 |
1984年 | 9篇 |
1983年 | 9篇 |
1982年 | 8篇 |
1981年 | 6篇 |
1980年 | 3篇 |
1979年 | 2篇 |
1978年 | 2篇 |
1976年 | 2篇 |
1971年 | 1篇 |
1954年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有3225条查询结果,搜索用时 0 毫秒
51.
52.
T. S. V. Vijaya Kumar J. Sanjay B. K. Basu A. K. Mitra D. V. Bhaskar Rao O. P. Sharma P. K. Pal T. N. Krishnamurti 《Natural Hazards》2007,41(3):471-485
This study entails the implementation of an experimental real time forecast capability for tropical cyclones over the Bay
of Bengal basin of North Indian Ocean. This work is being built on the experience gained from a number of recent studies using
the concept of superensemble developed at the Florida State University (FSU). Real time hurricane forecasts are one of the
major components of superensemble modeling at FSU. The superensemble approach of training followed by real time forecasts
produces the best forecasts for tracks and intensity (up to 5 days) of Atlantic hurricanes and Pacific typhoons. Improvements
in track forecasts of about 25–35% compared to current operational forecast models has been noted over the Atlantic Ocean
basin. The intensity forecasts for hurricanes are only marginally better than the best models. In this paper, we address tropical
cyclone forecasts over the Bay of Bengal for the years 1996–2000. The main result from this study is that the position and
intensity errors for tropical cyclone forecasts over the Bay of Bengal from the multimodel superensemble are generally less
than those of all of the participating models during 1- to 3-day forecasts. Some of the major tropical cyclones, such as the
November 1996 Andhra Pradesh cyclone and October 1999 Orissa super cyclone were well handled by this superensemble approach.
A conclusion from this study is that the proposed approach may be a viable way to construct improved forecasts of Bay of Bengal
tropical cyclone positions and intensity. 相似文献
53.
54.
紧密结合国家非常规能源勘探开发的重大战略,聚焦重庆涪陵页岩气勘查开发区环境地质调查工作,总结了研究区岩溶发育特征与分布规律,评价了涪陵页岩气开发区区域水资源量和地下水质量。在此基础上,收集分析国内外资料,梳理了页岩气勘查开发所引发的6类环境(地质)问题及勘查、钻井、压裂、开采、闭井等5个阶段需关注的地质环境问题或风险等,其中涪陵页岩气勘查开发区主要诱发水土污染、地质灾害和大气污染等环境(地质)问题; 基本识别了2种地下水污染模式、3种污染类型及可能的地下水污染风险途径; 初步确定了涪陵页岩气勘查开发区污染指示性特征因子,并形成了页岩气勘查开发区地质环境影响评价指标体系,可指导页岩气勘查开发的环境地质调查。该研究为页岩气国家新型清洁能源的绿色开发和开发区生态文明建设提供支撑。 相似文献
55.
利用一个简单的月水量平衡模型,模拟了位于中国不同气候区的21个典型流域的径流量过程,采用假定的气候情景,分析了河川径流量对不同气候变化的敏感性。结果表明,所采用的月水量平衡模型能够较好地模拟不同气候区的月流量过程,21个典型流域的Nash-Sutcliffe模型效率系数大多超过65%,水量平衡误差也均控制在1%以内。黄河以北干旱半干旱地区的典型流域径流量对气温和降水变化的响应敏感,其次为华中、华南半湿润区和湿润区,西部高寒山区径流对气候变化的响应最弱。因此,中国适应气候变化的重点应集中在干旱半干旱地区。 相似文献
56.
《The Journal of geography》2012,111(5):211-217
Abstract The development of new transport systems has been an important and highly visible component of economic development and spatial reorganization in the past two centuries. The Ideal-Typical Sequence of network development has been a widely used model of transport development. This paper shows that this model has been used in several different ways, with different notions regarding the appropriate use, interpretation, and limitations of the model over time. Students must therefore think critically about ongoing changes to transport and communications systems and their impacts on economic and social conditions, as well as how these impacts are represented in models. 相似文献
57.
A previous multiple-AGCM study suggested that Indian Ocean Warming (IOW) tends to warm and weaken the southern polar vortex.Such an impact is robust because of a qualitative consistency among the five AGCMs used.However,a significant difference exists in the modeled strengths,particularly in the stratosphere,with those in three of the AGCMs (CCM3,CAM3,and GFS) being four to five times as strong as those in the two other models (GFDL AM2,ECHAM5).As to which case reflects reality is an important issue not only for quantifying the role of tropical ocean warming in the recent modest recovery of the ozone hole over the Antarctic,but also for projecting its future trend.This issue is addressed in the present study through comparing the models' climatological mean states and intrinsic variability,particularly those influencing tropospheric signals to propagate upward and reach the stratosphere.The results suggest that differences in intrinsic variability of model atmospheres provide implications for the difference.Based on a comparison with observations,it is speculated that the impact in the real world may be closer to the modest one simulated by GFDL AM2 and ECHAM5,rather than the strong one simulated by the three other models (CCM3,CAM3 and GFS).In particular,IOW during the past 50 years may have dynamically induced a 1.0℃ warming in the polar lower stratosphere (~100 hPa),which canceled a fraction of radiative cooling due to ozone depletion. 相似文献
58.
地质遗迹资源保护与开发的社区参与模式——以华蓥山大峡谷地质公园为例 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
以华蓥山大峡谷地质公园为例,应用问卷调查和登门访谈的方法,对地质公园内居民的社区参与现状和意愿进行调查,分析他们对地质遗迹资源保护与开发的认知态度,明确他们在资源开发中的利益诉求。调查表明,在资源保护和开发中社区参与存在的主要问题是,居民参与度低,参与机会有限,有强烈的参与决策、规划、商业经营的愿望,并希望在参与中分享资源开发的利益,参与过程得到政府、企业的保障。本文在现有的经营体制下,从资源保护(含环境保护)、规划决策、商业经营、利益分配、社会参与保障等五个方面,构建了居民在地质遗迹资源保护和利用中的社区参与模型体系,为我国地质遗迹资源保护和开发中的社区参与问题研究和实践提供了参考。 相似文献
59.
Although China was one of the countries with the fastest-growing aging population in the world, limited scholarly attention has been paid to migration among older adults in China. The full picture of their migration in the entire country over time remains unknown. This study examines the spatial patterns of older interprovincial migration flows and their drivers in China over the period 1995 to 2015, using four waves of census data and intercensal population sample survey data. Results from eigenvector spatial filtering negative binomial regressions indicate that older adults tend to migrate away from low cost-of-living rural areas to high cost-of-living urban and rural areas, moving away from areas with extreme temperature differences. The location of their grandchildren is among the most important attractions. Our findings suggest that family-oriented migration is more common than amenity-led migration among retired Chinese older adults, and the cost-of-living is an indicator of economic opportunities for adult children and the quality of senior care services. 相似文献
60.