宁夏产业结构演进与经济增长系统研究

产业结构的演进与升级一定程度上反映了区域经济的发展阶段与发展能力。以1978-2003年的统计数据为基础,系统研究了宁夏产业结构变迁与区域经济发展的关系。研究结果表明:(1)宁夏产业结构的变化符合产业结构变迁的一般规律,但产业结构高度化水平依然低下;(2)宁夏产业结构变迁的空间集聚效应明显;(3)宁夏产业结构演进对经济增长的影响形成产业结构偏离为正,竞争力偏离份额为负型、产业结构偏离为正,竞争力偏离份额为正型和产业结构偏离为负,竞争力偏离份额为正型三种类型;(4)产业结构变迁对各地区经济增长的影响差异较大。研究指出,在西部大开发和区域经济一体化进程中,以及在国家和地区产业政策调整的背景下,建立产业协调与分工合作机制,发展特色优势产业,推进重点地带布局开发,形成区域性“群落型”经济优势,成为新时期宁夏产业结构调整的战略选择。     

Climate change in Mt. Qomolangma region since 1971

Using monthly average, maximum, minimum air temperature and monthly precipitation data from 5 weather stations in Mt. Qomolangma region in China from 1971 to 2004, climatic linear trend, moving average, low-pass filter and accumulated variance analysis methods, the spatial and temporal patterns of the climatic change in this region were analyzed. The main findings can be summarized as follows: (1) There is obvious ascending tendency for the interannual change of air temperature in Mt. Qomolangma region and the ascending tendency of Tingri, the highest station, is the most significant. The rate of increasing air temperature is 0.234 oC/decade in Mt. Qomolangma region, 0.302 oC/decade in Tingri. The air temperature increases more strongly in non-growing season. (2) Compared with China and the global average, the warming of Mt. Qomolangma region occurred early. The linear rates of temperature increase in Mt. Qomolangma region exceed those for China and the global average in the same period. This is attributed to the sensitivity of mountainous regions to climate change. (3) The southern and northern parts of Mt. Qomolangma region are quite different in precipitation changes. Stations in the northern part show increasing trends but are not statistically significant. Nyalam in the southern part shows a decreasing trend and the sudden decreasing of precipitation occurred in the early 1990s. (4) Compared with the previous studies, we find that the warming of Mt. Qomolangma high-elevation region is most significant in China in the same period. The highest automatic meteorological comprehensive observation station in the world set up at the base camp of Mt. Qomolangma with a height of 5032 m a.s.l will play an important role in monitoring the global climate change.     

Berriasian (Lower Cretaceous) brachiopods from the Crimea

Four successive assemblages of Berriasian brachiopods distinguished for the first time in the Crimea are correlated with concurrent subdivisions of the ammonoid scale. Berriasian brachiopods are represented by 44 species of 27 genera and 14 families, which are most complete in terms of taxonomic composition as compared to other concurrent brachiopod faunas known elsewhere. The assemblages are dominated by local species. As is proved, the Berriasian brachiopods studied are appropriate for age determination, subdivision and correlation of their host deposits. Their geographic distribution that has been analyzed elucidates connections of the Berriasian sea basins within the Mediterranean paleozoogeographic region.     

新疆库鲁克塔格地区二叠纪脉岩群岩石地球化学特征，Nd、Sr、Pb同位素组成与岩石成因

库鲁克塔格地区二叠纪脉岩群非常发育,主要岩石类型是辉绿岩,并有少量的斜闪煌斑岩、斜长玢岩和花岗斑岩。花岗斑岩属高钾钙碱性系列,具有A型花岗岩的稀土元素和微量元素地球化学特征;斜长玢岩的地球化学特征与花岗斑岩相似,二者都亏损U、Nb、Ta。斜闪煌斑岩的岩石化学组成属过碱性系列,显著富集轻稀土元素和大离子亲石元素。辉绿岩的岩石化学组成以钙碱性系列为主,稀土元素总量变化较大,Cs、Rb、Ba、Th元素丰度变化大,普遍亏损U、Nb、Ta。研究证明,辉绿岩脉的这些地球化学特征都与同化混染作用有关,大离子亲石元素丰度的变化还与热液蚀变有关。辉绿岩具有富集型Nd、Sr同位素组成,且变化范围大,是岩浆源区同化混染作用的结果。它们的铅同位素组成属低U(Th)/Pb值的正常铅,主要受混染物控制,并不代表源区特征。库鲁克塔格地区岩石圈地幔Nd、Sr、Pb同位素比塔里木板块西缘岩石圈地幔的富集程度更高,且变化范围大,反映了这两个地区岩石圈地幔的演化历史存在明显差异。     

相山火山-侵入杂岩的反方向岩浆演化系列研究

相山因是中国最大火山岩型铀矿产地而倍受关注,相山火山-侵入杂岩从喷发-侵出-侵入,SiO2含量、Rb/Sr、Rb/Ba比值降低,而TFe（Fe2O3＋FeO）、CaO、MgO、TiO2、P2O5含量、SI（固结指数）、δEu则呈增高趋势,岩浆演化与正常岩浆房酸度逐渐增高的岩浆分异趋势相反,称反方向岩浆演化系列.不相容元素的比值如Th/U、Rb/Ba、Th/Nb、Th/Ta、La/Nb、Nb/Ta变化幅度较大,与SiO2组分没有明显的正消长或反消长关系,稀土配分曲线也不尽一致,火山喷发相、侵出相和侵入相岩石具有不同的源区性质.     

区域性地质灾害气象预报方法研究

从气象的角度，基于对全国地质灾害预警区域的划分，利用历史地质灾害记录以及历史气象资料，分区建立了全国范围的区域气象潜势预报模型，并从2003年6月1日开始投入业务应用。总体预报服务效果较好，收到了较好的社会效益。同时还要进一步加强科学研究，提高科技含量，优化预报模型。     

云南省冰雹的时空分布特征

利用近40年的云南省冰雹资料，统计分析了云南省冰雹的时空分布特征，进一步揭示了其活动规律及主要影响因素。研究结果表明：冰雹的季节分布比较复杂，呈现出春季和夏季两个峰值的特点；冰雹的季节分布还与海拔高度有关，低海拔地区为春季多雹型，高海拔地区为夏季多雹型；滇西地区冰雹日数的年际变化特征较滇东地区显著而年代际变化特征没有东部地区站点明显；滇东地区表现出了明显的年代际变化特征，目前处于冰雹相对较少时期。从区域来看，年冰雹日数山区较坝区高，高海拔地区较低海拔地区高。