福建省滨海火电厂地质灾害问题及风险控制探讨

滨海火力发电厂工程主要包括厂区建筑、码头、管道、取排水、填海和贮灰场等工程。其主要面临着福建省海岸带构造运动、断裂及地震活动、港湾淤积、海底滑坡、软土地基、海底活动地貌、基岩不均匀风化以及人类工程活动等主要的灾害性地质因素。通过对这些因素潜在的致灾特点分析，提出了滨海火电厂地质灾害风险控制应包括选址阶段地质灾害风险回避、设计施工阶段地质灾害风险处理及运行阶段地质灾害风险监控等3方面。地质灾害风险评估是滨海火电厂地质灾害风险控制的首要任务。针对滨海电厂工程的特点，评估内容应着重于地质灾害危险性评估及易损性评估。选址阶段地质灾害风险回避主要是对构造不稳定的回避。地质灾害风险处理主要是电厂工程的基础处理及管道抗冲刷处理。电厂运行阶段地质灾害风险监控主要是对建筑物基础稳定性及海域冲淤变化的监控。     

四川通江—南江—巴中地区长兴组—飞仙关组沉积模式

有关通江—南江—巴中地区长兴组—飞仙关组沉积模式及其空间分布的研究较少,并且较为粗略。以前认为该区发育开阔台地、缓坡和盆地等沉积相沉积,但对缓坡相尚未进行详细的划分,是否存在台地边缘礁滩相带未能提出明确的认识。因此,利用新的资料,开展长兴组—飞仙关组沉积相研究对通南巴地区的油气勘探具有非常重要的意义。本文在以往研究的基础上,利用地表露头和地震资料,初步建立了通南巴地区长兴组—飞仙关组沉积模式,认为该区存在台地边缘礁滩相带,建议油气勘探部门给予重视。     

大型海藻龙须菜与锥状斯氏藻间的营养竞争研究

利用生物和化学方法研究了大型海藻龙须菜（Gracilaria lemaneiformis）与赤潮生物锥状斯氏藻（Scrippsiella trochoidea （Stein） Loeblich Ⅲ）共培养时二者的生长情况,以及二者之间营养盐NO-3、PO3-4竞争的情况.结果显示,两者共培养时,由于龙须菜的影响,锥状斯氏藻的生长周期以及所能达到的最大细胞密度与对照组相比都有所下降,且受抑制程度随龙须菜起始密度的增大而增强;而锥状斯氏藻对于龙须菜的生长不构成明显的影响.当龙须菜起始密度较低时（0.2、0.1gFW/L）,共培养组微藻细胞密度的下降是因为水体中NO-3的耗尽;当龙须菜起始密度较高时（0.5gFW/L）,共培养组微藻细胞密度的下降可能是因为龙须菜与微藻之间的“互荫效应”,或者龙须菜能够分泌出足够浓度的克生物质所致.龙须菜可作为有效吸收营养盐的大型海藻,用以降低近海水域富营养化程度及有害赤潮发生的几率.     

Models for analyzing the driving force of cultivated land supply change

This paper focuses on a series of quantitative analysis models, such as grey relational analysis model, hierarchical cluster analysis model, principal component analysis model, linear regression model and elastic coefficient model. These models are used to analyze the comprehensive function and effect of driving forces systemically, including analysis on features, analysis for differentiating the primary and the secondary, analysis on comprehensive effects, analysis of elasticity, analysis of prediction. The primary and characteristic factors can be extracted by analysis of features and analysis for differentiating the primary and the secondary. Analysis on prediction and elasticity can predict the area of cultivated land in the future and find out which factors exert great influence on the cultivated land supply.     

连续小波变换在新疆地震活动周期分析中的应用

利用连续小波变换分析和研究了 1 970年 1月— 2 0 0 1年 1 2月新疆地区 30年来的地震活动情况。结果表明 ,新疆地震活动存在比较稳定的 1 0年左右活动周期 ,并存在 5年和 1 7年左右的不稳定的准活动周期 ,也就是说新疆地区地震活动既存在比较稳定的优势周期 ,也存在一定的时变性。根据 MS≥ 4.7地震时间序列的连续小波变换结果可推测 ,2 0 0 2— 2 0 0 5年新疆地区地震活动相对偏弱 ,中、强地震的发生次数偏少 ,有可能发生 5级或 6级地震 ,而到 2 0 0 6— 2 0 0 7年新疆有可能再次发生 7级左右的大地震。     

生态水文研究前沿问题及生态水文观测试验

自1987年Ingram HAP提出生态水文学概念以来,生态水文学得到了快速的发展。2007年,“生态水文学与环境可持续性”已成为UNESCO/IHP第7阶段计划的主题之一。回顾了生态水文学概念的变迁,综述了有关术语及其科学内涵,简要分析了水循环与生物地球化学循环、水文与生态系统相互作用、水文过程与生命过程耦合、绿水及其生态作用等方面关注的科学问题及其观测研究进展;介绍了黑河流域生态水文学研究的初步认识。     

柴达木盆地东北部中新世沉积物色度记录的气候变化

中新世是新生代古气候变化的关键时期。本文以柴达木盆地东北部瑙格剖面18.4～6.9Ma沉积物为研究对象,通过对沉积物颜色指标的测定与分析,获得该时段沉积物高分辨率颜色指标变化序列。发现色度值变化与氧化—还原作用有关,红度值与赤铁矿相对含量呈正相关。结合其它资料分析表明,柴达木盆地东北部地区中新世气候变化为18.4～14.2Ma相对暖湿阶段、14.2～7.7Ma相对冷湿阶段、7.7～6.9Ma相对干冷阶段,其变化可能受到全球温度变化的影响,气候转型主要导致了该区沉积相和沉积物色度的变化。     

New evidence for an extended occupation of the Provo shoreline and implications for regional climate change, Pleistocene Lake Bonneville, Utah, USA

Lake Bonneville was a climatically sensitive, closed-basin lake that occupied the eastern Great Basin during the late Pleistocene. Ongoing efforts to refine the record of lake level history are important for deciphering climate conditions in the Bonneville basin and for facilitating correlations with regional and global records of climate change. Radiocarbon data from this and other studies suggest that the lake oscillated at or near the Provo level much longer than depicted by current models of lake level change. Radiocarbon data also suggest that the lake dropped from threshold control much more rapidly than previously supposed. These revisions to the Lake Bonneville hydrograph, coupled with independent evidence of climate change from vegetation and glacial records, have important implications for conditions in the Bonneville basin and during the Pleistocene to Holocene transition.     

黄河源区草地退化对局地气候环境影响的数值模拟

土地覆盖变化会影响到近地层各气象要素发生不同程度的变化.利用中尺度数值模式MM5,设计了一个控制试验和一个敏感性试验.通过对2003年7月一个月的积分,模拟了黄河源区草原退化对局地气候环境的影响.结果表明,黄河源区草原退化导致该地区2 m高度气温及地表温度明显升高;空气湿度及土壤湿度不同程度减小;草原退化后降水的减小影响到径流减小;草原退化后还引起退化区感热通量增加,潜热通量减小,有效通量(感热通量+潜热通量)减小.与草地农牧化相比,草原退化对气候环境的影响程度更强.     

Changing climate affects vegetation growth in the arid region of the northwestern China

The northwestern China is a typical dry-land region of Inner Asia, where significant climate change has been observed over the past several decades. How the regional vegetation, particularly the grassland-oasis-desert complex, responds to such climatic change is poorly understood. To address this question, we investigated spatio-temporal changes in vegetation growth and their responses to a changing climate by biome and bioregion, using satellite-sensed Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data from 1982 to 2003, along with corresponding climate data. Over the past 22 years, about 30% of the total vegetated area showed an annual increase of 0.7% in growing season NDVI. This trend occurred in all biomes and all bioregions except Sawuer, a subregion of the study area with no significant climate change. Further analyses indicated that NDVI change was highly correlated with the current precipitation and evapotranspiration in growing season but was not associated with temperature. We also found that NDVI was positively correlated with the preceding winter precipitation. These findings suggest that precipitation may be the key cause of vegetation growth in this area, even for mountain forests and grasslands, whose growth are often regarded to be limited by low temperate in winter and early spring.