Two-dimensional time dependent hurricane overwash and erosion modeling at Santa Rosa Island

A 2DH numerical, model which is capable of computing nearshore circulation and morphodynamics, including dune erosion, breaching and overwash, is used to simulate overwash caused by Hurricane Ivan (2004) on a barrier island. The model is forced using parametric wave and surge time series based on field data and large-scale numerical model results. The model predicted beach face and dune erosion reasonably well as well as the development of washover fans. Furthermore, the model demonstrated considerable quantitative skill (upwards of 66% of variance explained, maximum bias − 0.21 m) in hindcasting the post-storm shape and elevation of the subaerial barrier island when a sheet flow sediment transport limiter was applied. The prediction skill ranged between 0.66 and 0.77 in a series of sensitivity tests in which several hydraulic forcing parameters were varied. The sensitivity studies showed that the variations in the incident wave height and wave period affected the entire simulated island morphology while variations in the surge level gradient between the ocean and back barrier bay affected the amount of deposition on the back barrier and in the back barrier bay. The model sensitivity to the sheet flow sediment transport limiter, which served as a proxy for unknown factors controlling the resistance to erosion, was significantly greater than the sensitivity to the hydraulic forcing parameters. If no limiter was applied the simulated morphological response of the barrier island was an order of magnitude greater than the measured morphological response.     

钢弹簧浮置板道床在西安地铁中减振效果分析

西安地铁二号线绕行通过西安钟楼,为降低地铁长期运营对钟楼的振动影响,在钟楼段采用钢弹簧浮置板道床进行减振。主要以地铁二号线运行影响下对钟楼的振动监测数据为基础,通过对钢弹簧浮置板道床段和普通道床段的振动实测值比较与分析,得出隧道内减振段和普通段的振动差异,以此评价钢弹簧浮置板道床在地铁应用中的减振效果。     

大庆地震短临跟踪监测网络前兆数据共享平台系统的建设

介绍了黑龙江省大庆短临前兆数据网的布局和业务流程，阐述了台网存在的一些问题并提出完善措施。     

On statistical estimation in fission track dating

Statistical methodology is described for obtaining point and interval estimates of age in fission track dating experiments, particularly for (a) the external detector method, which is reviewed briefly, and (b) the population method, which is considered in more detail. Some mathematical background to models, based on the underlying physical process, is given. This is used to suggest appropriate statistical methods, to assess them and to help understand sources of variation in the data. For the external detector method, a model is required for numbers of tracks given the amount of uranium; the usual Poisson model is derived as a consequence of independent thinning of a bivariate point process. For the population method, uranium heterogeneity does not necessarily invalidate the estimate but does represent a source of variation that must be allowed for in its error; thus an interval estimate of age might be relatively uninformative.     

Geologic impact of Hurricane Andrew on Everglades coast of southwest Florida

Hurricane Andrew, one of the strongest storms of the century, crossed the southern part of the Florida peninsula on 24 August 1992. Its path crossed the Florida Everglades and exited in the national park across a mangrove-dominated coast onto the shallow, low-energy, inner shelf. The storm caused extensive breakage and defoliation in the mangrove community; full recovery will take decades. It produced no extensive sedimentation unit; only local and ephemeral ebb-surge deposits. The discontinuous shelly storm beach ridge was breached at multiple locations, and it moved landward a few meters. After seven months, there was little geologic indication that the storm had passed. It is likely that the stratigraphic record in this area will not contain any recognizable features of the passage of Hurricane Andrew.     

MSComm控件在港口引航中的应用

介绍了MSComm控件和GPS NMEA-0183数据格式，结合SageGuide1．3中航迹法，详细论述了MSComm控件在港口引航中的应用，给出试验结果。     

0216号台风(森拉克)路径分析

针对0216号台风(森拉克)的移动路径，应用MM5对其路径进行模拟，结合GMS逐时的云图资料和其他观测资料，分析其移动路径变化的原因。分析发现，当台风进入弱环境场后，台风东部的热带中尺度低涡与台风互相作用，产生了藤源效应，使台风向西南方向移动；台湾岛地形、沿海槽和台风东侧的新生高压脊是使台风再次向西北移动的主要原因。这些结果对以后类似的台风预报有一定的参考价值。     

气象卫星资料在天气预报分析业务中的应用

对TOVS和云导风非常规反演资料进行了质量控制，并将控制后的反演场与常规观测资料以及T106分析场资料进行变分同化，得到合成分析场。结果表明：在合理的目标函数设计的基础上，合成分析场与仅用常规探空资料相比更接近于实况，弥补了实况资料的不足。运用MICAPS中特有的网格点绘图功能实现了机器自动绘制历史天气图工作。经检验误差较小，线条平滑。该方法为在实时天气图和历史图分析中使用非常规资料提供了一条新的途径，具有一定的实用价值。     

非开挖导向钻进轨迹自动控制系统的研究

非开挖导向钻进技术以其施工速度快、适用范围广等优点，得到了广泛的应用。但在目前实际钻进中，对于钻孔轨迹的控制主要是依靠操作人员的经验进行判断，使得钻进速度和效率大大降低。本文通过建立钻孔轨迹的数学计算模型，并利用Visual Basic和AutoCAD实现了钻孔轨迹的可视化，同时将测得实际轨迹与预先设计轨迹在同一界面进行同点比较，纠正超出范围的误差，使钻进轨迹更好的接近设计轨迹，并能顺利穿越地下障碍物完成导向钻进过程。     

利用磷灰石裂变径迹法研究鄂尔多斯盆地地热史

本文应用磷灰石裂变径迹法研究了鄂尔多斯盆地的热历史．不同构造单元的磷灰石裂变径迹分析资料表明：在中生代晚期,地温梯度为３．３－４．１℃／１００ｍ,大地热流值为８１－９５ｍＷ／ｍ２,高于盆地现今的平均地温梯度（２．８０℃／１００ｍ）及平均大地热流值（６３ｍＷ／ｍ２）．这次热事件有利于油气的生成、运移及大气田的形成．另外,在２０－２３Ｍａ前,发生了一期显著的冷却事件．